Connect with us

Forex

RBA Minutes: Monetary Policy Consistent With Sustainable Growth

Published

on

Governor Glenn Stevens

Interest rates are likely to remain on hold in the foreseeable future, with the Reserve Bank of Australia flagging that growth remains in line with expectations, and the RBA remains unperturbed by the housing market.

“Taking into account the recent data, and having eased monetary policy at its May and August meetings, the Board judged the current stance of monetary policy was consistent with sustainable growth in the Australian economy and achieving the inflation target over time,” the Board said in its minutes.

Key points

  • Growth remains in line with expectations despite further falls in business investment.
  • House market conditions have “eased” since last year.
  • Last meeting for governor Glenn Stevens who is being replaced by Phillip Lowe.
  • RBA warns “appreciating exchange rate could complicate adjustments in economy”
  • The Reserve Bank has an inflation target of between 2 to 3 percent, and the rate cuts in May and August were prompted by weak inflation figures in the March and June quarters.

Housing market conditions weaker

The RBA said indicators pointed to weaker conditions in the housing market than a year earlier. It noted that the number of auctions had declined, and in recent months the value of housing loan approvals had been broadly steady, but housing credit growth had been lower.

“Housing market conditions overall appeared to have eased since the previous year, although the dwelling construction cycle remained in a strong upswing,” the statement said.
“Housing prices had risen modestly over the past year and turnover had been below average.”

In new figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, property prices rose in the June quarter, with Sydney posting a rise after six months of falls, while prices fell in Perth and Darwin.

Australia’s central bank also warned an “appreciating exchange rate could complicate the necessary adjustments in the economy”.

The Australian dollar is currently buying around 75.5 US cents, recovering from a one-and-a-half month low of 74.4 US cents touched earlier in September.

“The RBA has not changed its view since cutting rates to 1.5 per cent in August, which implies it sees little need to cut interest rates again,” wrote Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics in a note to clients.

“Although the strong defence of its view that the housing market has softened implies that housing is not a barrier to further cuts.”

Markets are pricing in around a one in three chance of another rate cut before the end of the year, according to Reuters.

The September meeting is the last for outgoing governor Glenn Stevens, with Philip Lowe, the previous deputy, replacing him.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Continue Reading
Comments

Naira

Naira Records Marginal Rise on Dollar as Supply Weakens

Published

on

New Naira Notes

The Naira exchange rate improved slightly in the official forex market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) failed to resume the retail Dutch auctions again.

The Naira rose by 0.16 percent on the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) to exchange at N1,622.57/$1 on Thursday, October 10 amid a further drop in supply at the official market.

The local currency rose on the greenback by N2.56 versus N1,625.13/$1 which it closed at the previous session on Wednesday.

Demand for foreign currency continues to overshadow FX liquidity, leaping exchange rate movement tight across the markets.

Data showed a decline in supply as the turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $145.56 million. This indicated that the session’s turnover fell by 14.7 percent, indicating an appreciation of $25.04 million compared to the $170.60 million published in the last trading session.

Meanwhile, the Naira witnessed losses against the Pound Sterling and the Euro. The domestic currency made a N41.18 slide on the British currency to wrap the penultimate session at N2,126.26/£1 from N2,085.08/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

In the same trend, against the Euro, the Nigerian currency closed at N1,772.69/€1 versus N1,746.58/€1, indicating an N26.11 depreciation.

In the Parallel market, the Naira closed at N1,674.48 to the US Dollar, a difference of N22.32 compared to N1,652.16 it closed during the Wednesday trading session.

The gap between official and parallel market rates had crossed N120 in the recent past until the Central Bank of Nigeria FX intervention which has brought the gap within N50-N60 on the greenback.

The Naira weakened its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N27.19 to sell at N2,140.38/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,113.19/£1.

It followed the same route against the Euro as it appreciated N22.57 to quote at N1,837.83/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,815.26/€1.

The local currency also pulled a N4.66 depreciation to close on the Canadian Dollar at N1,211.06 against Wednesday’s N1,206.40 per CAD.

Continue Reading

Naira

Naira Gains on Dollar at Black Market, Falls at Official FX Market

Published

on

naira

The Naira strengthened on the US Dollar at the black market but went the other route in the official market on Wednesday, October 9.

The local currency gained N15.23 from the N1,667.39 it closed in the previous session to settle at N1,652.16 at the black market on Wednesday.

At the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), the local currency lost N63.37 or 4.1 percent to close at N1,625.13/$1, weaker from N1,561.76/$1 it closed on Tuesday.

The daily supply of FX as measured by secondary data from FMDQ Securities Exchange Limited indicated that turnover slumped by $83.08 million or 32.7 percent to $170.60 million from $253.68 million.

The decline in supply comes as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) eased with the latest data indicating that the country is not making enough foreign earnings.

For instance, Foreign Direct Investment into Nigeria in the second quarter of 2024 dropped to $29.83 million, a 65.33 percent drop compared to the $86.03 million recorded in the same period last year.

The development marks the lowest level in the last ten years.

It also reflected in both portfolio investments and foreign currency loans as Nigeria’s foreign portfolio investments for Q2 2024 stood at $1.40 billion, marking a sharp decline of 74.97 percent from $5.60 billion recorded in the preceding quarter, and a 65.3 percent drop compared to the $4.05 billion reported in Q2 2023.

Similarly, foreign loans, which constitute a substantial portion of Nigeria’s capital importation, recorded an inflow of $1.15 billion in Q2 2024, reflecting a 74.98 percent decrease from $4.60 billion in Q1 2024.

However, the Naira strengthened its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N46.54 to sell at N2,085.08/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,131.62/£1.

It followed the same route against the Euro as it appreciated N42.40 to quote at N1,746.58/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,788.98/€1.

The local currency also recorded a gain on the UK Pound Sterling in the black market, the Naira rose to N2,113.19 an N18.94 gain from N2,132.13 and on the Euro, the Naira pulled an N18.37 appreciation to close at N1,815.26 versus N1,833.63 and added 53 cents on the Canadian Dollar to close at N1,206.40 against Monday’s N1,206.93 per CAD.

 

Continue Reading

Naira

Naira Gains on Dollars at NAFEX, Others at Black Market

Published

on

New Naira notes

The Naira gained a value of N73.39 to close the Tuesday session at N1,561.76/$1 at the official window, pulling a 4.5 percent gain in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX).

According to data obtained from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, this is compared to N1,635.15/$1 published in the preceding session on Monday.

Turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $253.68 million, indicating that the session’s turnover rose by 100.9 percent. This is a decrease of $127.44 million compared to $126.24 million published the previous day.

The domestic currency also witnessed a gain against the British currency but closed flat on the Euro on Tuesday.

On the Pound Sterling, the local currency made an appreciation of N43.82 to wrap the session at N2,131.62/£1 from N2,175.44/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

Meanwhile, against the Euro, the Nigerian currency closed at N1,788.98/€1.

Data from the black market showed that the Naira appreciated against the US Dollar, the UK Pound Sterling, the Euro, and the Canadian Dollar.

The local currency recorded a N14.28 gain to go from N1,681.67 per Dollar to N1,667.39/$1 while on the UK currency, the Naira rose to N2,132.13, a N24.10 gain from N2,156.23

For the Euro, the Naira pulled a N19.12 appreciation to close at N1,833.63 versus N1,852.75 and added 62 cents on the Canadian Dollar to close at N1,206.93 against Monday’s N1,207.55 per CAD.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending