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RBA Minutes: Monetary Policy Consistent With Sustainable Growth

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Governor Glenn Stevens

Interest rates are likely to remain on hold in the foreseeable future, with the Reserve Bank of Australia flagging that growth remains in line with expectations, and the RBA remains unperturbed by the housing market.

“Taking into account the recent data, and having eased monetary policy at its May and August meetings, the Board judged the current stance of monetary policy was consistent with sustainable growth in the Australian economy and achieving the inflation target over time,” the Board said in its minutes.

Key points

  • Growth remains in line with expectations despite further falls in business investment.
  • House market conditions have “eased” since last year.
  • Last meeting for governor Glenn Stevens who is being replaced by Phillip Lowe.
  • RBA warns “appreciating exchange rate could complicate adjustments in economy”
  • The Reserve Bank has an inflation target of between 2 to 3 percent, and the rate cuts in May and August were prompted by weak inflation figures in the March and June quarters.

Housing market conditions weaker

The RBA said indicators pointed to weaker conditions in the housing market than a year earlier. It noted that the number of auctions had declined, and in recent months the value of housing loan approvals had been broadly steady, but housing credit growth had been lower.

“Housing market conditions overall appeared to have eased since the previous year, although the dwelling construction cycle remained in a strong upswing,” the statement said.
“Housing prices had risen modestly over the past year and turnover had been below average.”

In new figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, property prices rose in the June quarter, with Sydney posting a rise after six months of falls, while prices fell in Perth and Darwin.

Australia’s central bank also warned an “appreciating exchange rate could complicate the necessary adjustments in the economy”.

The Australian dollar is currently buying around 75.5 US cents, recovering from a one-and-a-half month low of 74.4 US cents touched earlier in September.

“The RBA has not changed its view since cutting rates to 1.5 per cent in August, which implies it sees little need to cut interest rates again,” wrote Paul Dales, chief Australian economist at Capital Economics in a note to clients.

“Although the strong defence of its view that the housing market has softened implies that housing is not a barrier to further cuts.”

Markets are pricing in around a one in three chance of another rate cut before the end of the year, according to Reuters.

The September meeting is the last for outgoing governor Glenn Stevens, with Philip Lowe, the previous deputy, replacing him.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Naira

Naira Falls to N500/US$1 at Black Market on Monday

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Naira - Investors King

Despite efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to improve dollar liquidity across the foreign exchange segments and prop up Naira value, the Nigerian Naira dipped to N500 against the United States Dollar on Monday at the nation’s black market.

Last week, the CBN announced plans to increase forex allocation to Deposit Money Banks in a bid to ensure Nigerians access forex at a fair rate and not forced to patronise the black market operators with exuberant rates.

The CBN agreed to increase the amount allocated to banks for travellers, Small and Medium Enterprises among others. The banks also agreed to operate something akin to foreign exchange imprest account such that the coffers of banks will be replenished so long as they retire the initial amounts to the satisfaction of the CBN”, stated Mr. Osita Nwanisobi, the Acting Director, Corporate Communications Department at the CBN.

The Naira quickly gained against its global counterparts, improving to N493 against the American Dollar last week before resuming its long-term bearish trend to N500/US$1 at the black market on Monday 21, June 2021.

The embattled currency depreciated in value against both the Euro and British Pound, exchanged at N590 and N710, respectively.

At the NAFEX window, the CBN new adopted official rate, the Naira traded at N411.67 to a United States Dollar on Monday while investors transacted $94.17 million during the trading hours of Monday.

At the Bureau De Exchange section of forex, Naira sold for N495 per US Dollar, N715 to a British Pound and N603 to a Euro.

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Naira

Nigerian Naira Exchange Rates; Tuesday, June 22, 2021

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Naira - Investors King

 The Nigerian Naira lost N2 against the United States Dollar on Monday to N500 despite efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria to prop the local currency value.

The embattled currency remained pressured at N710 to a British Pound and N590 to a single Euro.  Naira opened at N500 to a United States Dollar on Tuesday.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
22/06/2021 495/500* 703/710* 585/590* 62/69 400/410 300/322
21/06/2021 495/500 703/710 585/592 62/69 400/410 300/325
18/06/2021 492/498 700/710 585/595 62/69 400/410 300/325
17/06/2021 483/493 700/710 590/600 62/69 400/410 300/322
16/06/2021 497/502 707/713 600/606 62/69 400/410 300/322

Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
22/06/2021 485/495 700/715 580/603
21/06/2021 480/490 680/710 550/603
19/06/2021 475/490 680/715 580/603
18/06/2021 475/485 680/715 580/603
17/06/2021 478/490 690/710 590/603
16/06/2021 495/500 707/718 600/609
15/06/2021 495/500 707/718 600/609
14/06/2021 490/498 705/718 600/608

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

Date Currency Buying(NGN) Central(NGN) Selling(NGN)
6/21/2021 US DOLLAR 409.2 409.7 410.2
6/21/2021 POUNDS STERLING 567.6422 568.3358 569.0294
6/21/2021 EURO 486.5797 487.1743 487.7688
6/21/2021 SWISS FRANC 444.0586 444.6012 445.1438
6/21/2021 YEN 3.7166 3.7212 3.7257
6/21/2021 CFA 0.7231 0.7331 0.7431
6/21/2021 WAUA 583.9237 584.6372 585.3507
6/21/2021 YUAN/RENMINBI 63.2634 63.3412 63.4189
6/21/2021 RIYAL 109.1113 109.2446 109.3779
6/21/2021 SOUTH AFRICAN RAND 28.7174 28.7525 28.7876

 

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Naira

Naira Exchange Rates; Monday, June 21, 2021

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Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira continues its decline against global counterparts after gaining on the back of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s proposed increase in foreign exchange supply to all forex operators across the country.

Naira gained on the parallel market to exchange at N493 against the United States Dollar on Tuesday 15, June 2021 before dropping to N497 on Wednesday 16, June 2021.

The local currency plunged as low as N502 to a United States Dollar on the parallel market before the CBN announced its plans to up liquidity in an effort to ease scarcity and speed up business activities in the largely import-dependent economy. See the Naira exchange rates across various sections of foreign exchange markets.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
21/06/2021 495/500 703/710 585/592 62/69 400/410 300/325
18/06/2021 492/498 700/710 585/595 62/69 400/410 300/325
17/06/2021 483/493 700/710 590/600 62/69 400/410 300/322
16/06/2021 497/502 707/713 600/606 62/69 400/410 300/322

Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
21/06/2021 480/90 680/710 550/603
19/06/2021 475/490 680/715 580/603
18/06/2021 475/485 680/715 580/603
17/06/2021 478/490 690/710 590/603
16/06/2021 495/500 707/718 600/609
15/06/2021 495/500 707/718 600/609
14/06/2021 490/498 705/718 600/608

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

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