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More Nigerians to Lose Jobs as Economic Crisis Worsens

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With the report that manufacturers’ employment rate will fall below benchmark points to 48.8 points in the first quarter of 2023, there are tendencies that more Nigerians stand the risk of losing their jobs.

This report is coming at a time Nigeria is sliding into more economic crisis.

Investors King had reported that the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) had said that 20 percent of the full-time workforce in Nigeria lost their jobs due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

The NBS disclosed this in a study jointly conducted with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) adding that since then, there has been an increase in the unemployment rate, moving from 27 percent to 33 percent between Q2 2020 and Q4 2020.

Coupled with the naira exchange crisis currently ravaging the country and its negative effects on small and medium-scale businesses, Nigerians have been expressing worry that their jobs are in the verge of being lost.

The lastest index report by the Manufacturers CEOs Confidence showed a downward spiral from the 49.2 points obtained in the preceding quarter.

Investors King reports that the Manufacturers CEOs Confidence Index of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria is a quarterly research and advocacy publication of the association, which measures changes in the pulse of operators and trends in the manufacturing sector on a quarterly basis.

The report, it was gathered, is in response to movements in the macro-economy and government policies using primary data gotten from direct survey of over 400 chief executive officers of MAN member-companies.

According to the report, in the fourth quarter of 2022, Aggregate Index Score of the MCCI reduced to 55.0 points down from 55.4 points recorded in the third quarter of the year.

This revelation is a pointer to manufacturers’ increasing loss of confidence in the economy of Nigeria that is nosediving.

The report disclosed that the fourth quarter of 2022 appeared to be more difficult to manufacturers than the level of hardship experienced in the preceding quarter.

This situation is linked to the continued rise in inflation, high cost of energy, worsening erosion in naira value and difficulty in sourcing forex as well including the harsh effect of the Russian-Ukrainian war.

According to the report, current Employment Condition (rate of employment) and production level in the next three months scored above the 50 benchmark points though with a decline in the period respectively.

It further stated that employment conditions for the next three months fell below the benchmark points to 48.8 points which is also below the 49.2 points obtained in the preceding quarter.

MAN further revealed that the redesign of naira notes, which has negatively affected the economy, would also play a significant role in affecting employment in the first quarter of 2023.

The association noted that the report is robust and realistic, adding that Q1 of every year is usually sluggish and employment decision is hardly completed in the quarter.

In order to control the economy, the Central Bank of Nigeria has been struggling to minimise the cash flow in individual hands, as traders and entrepreneurs groan of low patronage.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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