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Sub-Saharan Africa Mergers and Acquisition Transactions Totalled US$39.6 Billion in the First Nine Months of 2022

An estimated US$327.5 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022

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Refinitiv, a London Stock Exchange Group business, today released the investment banking analysis for the Sub-Saharan African for the third quarter of 2022. 

Investment Banking Fees

An estimated US$327.5 million worth of investment banking fees were generated in Sub Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022, 21% less than the same period in 2021 and the lowest first nine-month total in the region since 2013.  Fees totalled US$112.9 million during the third quarter of 2022, an increase of 46% from the previous quarter.

Advisory fees earned from completed M&A transactions in the region reached US120.8 million, a 64% increase from the first nine months of last year and a three-year high.  Equity capital markets underwriting fees declined 39% to US$30.8 million, the lowest first nine-month total since 2003, while debt capital markets fees declined 50% to US$59.3 million.  Syndicated lending fees declined 33% to US$116.6 million, the lowest first nine-month total since 2014.

Seventy-two percent of all Sub-Saharan African fees were generated in South Africa during the first nine months of 2022, followed by Mauritius (10%) and Nigeria (5%). Citi earned the most investment banking fees in the region during the first nine months of 2022, a total of US$26.7 million or an 8% share of the total fee pool.

Mergers & Acquisitions

The value of announced M&A transactions with any Sub-Saharan African involvement reached US$39.6 billion during the first nine months of 2022, 50% less than the value recorded during the same period in 2021.  Despite the decline in value, the number of deal announcements in the region increased 6% from last year to the highest first nine-month total since 2017.

Deals involving a Sub-Saharan African target totalled US$24.4 billion during the first nine months of 2022, down 61% from the same period last year but higher than the level recorded during each of the previous seven years.  Domestic deals declined 82% from last year’s record high value to US$9.3 billion, while inbound deals increased 47% to US$15.1 billion as the number of transactions increased 11% to an all-time high of 243. Sub-Saharan African outbound M&A totalled US$11.1 billion, down 1% from last year but the second highest first nine-month total since our records began in 1980.

The Energy & Power sector was most active, with deals targeting energy & power companies accounting for 39% of Sub-Saharan African target M&A during the first nine months of 2022, followed by Healthcare with 20%. South Africa was the most targeted nation, followed by Angola and Nigeria. Scotiabank topped the any Sub-Saharan African involvement announced M&A financial advisor league table during the first nine months of 2022.

Equity Capital Markets

Sub-Saharan African equity and equity-related issuance totalled US$993.2 million during the first nine months of 2022, the lowest first nine-month total since 2003.  Proceeds raised by companies in the region declined 15% compared to the first nine months of 2021, while the number of issues fell 18%.

All proceeds were raised by follow-on issuance with Pepkor Holdings, MTN Nigeria Communications and South African coal exporter ThungelaResources among those in the region raising new equity funds from follow-ons.  No convertible or initial public offerings were recorded in Sub-Saharan Africa during the first nine months of 2022.

Issuers in South Africa raised more in the equity capital markets than any other Sub-Saharan African nation during the first nine months of 2022, a total of US$716.1 million, while Nigerian issuers raised a combined US$277.1 million. Citi took first place in the Sub-Saharan African ECM underwriting league table during the first nine months of 2022 with a 37% market share.

Debt Capital Markets

Sub-Saharan African debt issuance totalled US$21.6 billion during the first nine months of 2022, down 43% from the value recorded during the same period in 2021.  The number of issues declined 40% from last year at this time. US$4.2 billion was raised during the third quarter of 2022, down 35% from the previous quarter and the lowest quarterly total in two years.

South Africa was the most active issuer nation during the first nine months of 2022, accounting for 47% of total bond proceeds, followed by Ivory Coast (27%) and Nigeria (10%). Government & agency issuers account for 62% of proceeds raised during the first nine months of 2022, while issuers in the technology sector account for 24%. Citi took the top spot in the Sub-Saharan African bond bookrunner ranking during the first nine months of 2022, with US$3.1 billion of related proceeds, or a 14% market share.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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Banking Sector

CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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