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Equities Market Rebounds after Three Weeks of Decline

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Egypt Stocks
  • Equities Market Rebounds after Three Weeks of Decline

The Nigerian equities market closed last week on a positive note as stocks rebounded after three weeks of decline. Following weeks of rally, the market succumbed to the bears due to profit taking. As a result, the market remained under the control of the bears for three consecutive weeks. However, the bulls resurfaced last week following bargain hunting in some bellwether stocks.

Besides, impressive full year results by leading brewer, Guinness Nigeria Plc and Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc bolstered investors’ confidence to increase their demand for stocks. Consequently, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index and market capitalisation appreciated by 1.27 per cent to close the week at 35,957.24 and N12.393 trillion respectively.

Similarly, all other indices finished higher during the week with the exception of the NSE Main Board, NSE Banking, NSE Insurance, NSE Oil/Gas and NSE Industrial Goods Indices that depreciated by 0.24 per cent, 1.08 per cent, 0.10 per cent, 3.77 per cent and 1.01 per cent respectively while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

Daily Market Performance

When trading resumed on Tuesday, sentiments remained negative, pushing the down by 0.28 per cent. The depreciation recorded in the share prices of Lafarge Africa, Total, Unilever, GTBank, and UBA was mainly responsible for the lower close. Investors traded 230.03 million shares worth N4.77 billion in 4,188 deals. The three most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (189.55 million shares), Consumer Goods (24.09 million shares), and Conglomerates (4.74 million shares), while the three most actively traded stocks were: Access Bank (63.29 million shares) UBA (27.61 million shares) and Zenith Bank (17.84 million shares).

In terms of sectoral performance, the NSE Oil & Gas Index recorded the highest decline of 2.99 per cent, followed by the NSE Industrial Goods Index that fell by 2.11 per cent.The NSE Consumer Index shed 0.30 per cent, while the NSE Banking Index went down by 0.06 per cent. On the positive side, the NSE Insurance Index appreciated by 0.13 per cent. Analysts at Afrinvest were, however, bullish that the market would rebound the next day.

“We believe the five days of consecutive negative returns leave some legroom for positioning, as such, we expect the market to close positive in tomorrow’s trading session,” they said.

As expected, the market halted its losing streak on Wednesday with the index rising by 0.58 per cent to close at 35,609.07, pushing the year-to-date to 32.5 per cent. The rebound was propelled by gains in Dangote Cement, Zenith Bank, Nigerian Breweries Plc and Guinness Nigeria.

Similarly, activity level improved as volume and value traded rose 22.5 per cent and 13.6 per cent to 281.8 million shares respectively. A further breakdown of the performance the NSE Oil & Gas Index led sector gainers, up 1.3 per cent as a result of bargain hunting in Seplat that went up by 3.4 per cent.

In the same vein, buy interest in Nigerian Breweries and Guinness Nigeria boosted the NSE Consumer Index 0.8 per cent. Similarly, growth in Zenith Bank and Stanbic IBTC lifted the NSE Banking Index by 0.1 per cent.

On the flip side, despite an uptick in Dangote Cement the NSE Industrial Goods Index closed 0.5 per cent lower. Also, the NSE Insurance Index fell 0.4 per cent.

The stock market sustained its positive performance on Thursday as the index rose by 1.4 per cent to close at 36,112.37, while market capitalisation added N174.8 billion to closed higher at N12.4 trillion.

Guinness Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 10.2 per cent, trailed by Dangote Cement Plc, which rose by 4.7 per cent.

Investors have increased demand for shares of Guinness following its impressive results for the full year ended June 30, 2017.

Details of the audited showed a revenue of N125.919 billion in 2017, up from N101.973 billion in 2016. Net finance cost increased from N6.763 billion to N7.524 billion, making the brewing to end the year with an operating profit of N10.186 billion, up from N4.415 billion in 2016.

Profit after tax stood at N1.923 billion, hence the directors have recommended a dividend of N963.7 million. The company recommended a dividend of N963.7million for the year ended June 30, 2017, showing an increase of 28 per cent compared with N752.9 million in 2016.

Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc, which also released an improved results for the half year to June 30, 2017, closed as the third highest price gainer. It chalked up 3.8 per cent. AIICO Insurance Plc, African Prudential Plc, and Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc garnered 3.6 per cent, 3.5 per cent and 3.4 per cent respectively.

Conversely, Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc led the price losers with 5.0 per cent, trailed by NCR Nigeria Plc with 4.9 per cent. May & Baker Nigeria Plc and Skye Bank Plc shed 4.7 per cent apiece.

However, the bears returned on Friday, leading a decline of 0.44 per cent. But the decline was not enough to offset earlier gains. Hence, the market closed with a weekly gain of 1.27 per cent.

Market Turnover

Meanwhile, market turnover was 887.024 million shares worth N17.450 billion in 16,955 deals, as against 998.973 million shares valued at N11.455 billion that exchanged hands in 13,626 deals the previous week.

The Financial Services Industry maintained its number one spot on the activity chart, accounting for 729.177 million shares valued at N8.816 billion traded in 10,744 deals, thus contributing 82.20 per cent and 50.52 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry trailed with 68.153 million shares worth N6.692 billion in 2,908 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 32.109 million shares worth N183.098 million in 687 deals.

Trading in the top three equities- Access Bank Plc, Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Zenith Bank Plc accounted for 320.549 million shares worth N6.909 billion in 2,643 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 3,000 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N31,590.00 executed in one deal compared with a total of 86,063 units valued at N838,754.79 transacted two weeks ago in eight deals.

A total of 8,535 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N8.660 million were traded last week in 11 deals, compared with a total of 12,244 units valued at N12.374 million transacted the previous week in 11 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart displayed 28 price gainers higher than the 19 of the previous week, while 38 equities depreciated in price, lower than 48 equities of the previous week. Guinness Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 27.5 per cent, trailed by Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc with 6.2 per cent. C & I Leasing Plc garnered 6.0 per cent, just as African Prudential Plc and AIICO Insurance Plc chalked up 5.7 per cent and 5.3 per cent respectively. Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc and Dangote Cement Plc appreciated by 4.9 per cent and 4.8 per cent in that order. Other top price gainers included: Redstar Express Plc (4.7 per cent); Conoil Plc (4.6 per cent) and Berger Paints Plc (4.2 per cent).

Conversely, Jaiz Bank Plc and Sterling Bank Plc led the price losers with 7.7 per cent apiece. Lafarge Africa Plc shed 7.3 per cent, while Seplat Petroleum Development Plc and Fidson Healthcare Plc went down by 6.6 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively.

Other top price losers were: Beta Glass Plc(5.0 per cent), Julius Berger Nigeria Plc, Presco Plc, PZ Cussons Nigeria Plc and Cadbury Nigeria Plc (4.9 per cent apiece).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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