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Asia Stocks Look Past Russia Probe to U.S. Jobs

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Asian Stocks
  • Asia Stocks Look Past Russia Probe to U.S. Jobs

Asian equity markets were mixed on Friday as investors awaiting the monthly U.S. jobs report for clues on interest rates largely shrugged off news that Special Counsel Robert Mueller was said to have impaneled a grand jury in the ongoing Russia probe. The euro maintained gains against the dollar.

Benchmark gauges fell in Japan and Australia, while South Korea’s Kospi index rose after plunging on Thursday. Australian government bonds yields slid in line with the slump in Treasury and bund yields on the news out of Washington where Mueller is probing Russia’s interference in 2016 U.S. elections as well as possible collusion with the Trump campaign. The yen held gains, weighing on stocks in Tokyo.

Geopolitics took center stage again ahead of the closely watched U.S. employment report that may provide clues on the strength of the world’s largest economy and the Federal Reserve’s next policy move.

A largely expectation-topping earnings seasons rolls on. Toyota Motor Corp., among the largest companies to update investors, raised its profit forecast after the Tokyo market closed as the yen weakened and on a rebound in U.S. sales.

The U.S. jobs report for July may show the economy is on a steady trajectory and the labor market is staying tight, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. Consensus expects an increase of 180,000 in non-farm payrolls, after a gain of 222,000 in June, and a decline in unemployment to 4.3 percent from 4.4 percent. The data will also signal if income gains are enough to keep consumer spending ticking.

The Australian dollar tested the session’s low after the country’s central bank cut its growth forecast. The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its forecast for economic growth by half a percentage point this year to 2 percent to 3 percent, and a quarter-point in the first half of next to 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent, saying in its quarterly monetary-policy statement that the Aussie dollar “had a modest dampening effect” on GDP growth.

Here are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • Japan’s Topix index slid 0.2 percent and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index lost 0.3 percent. South Korea’s Kospi was up 0.5 percent after sliding 1.7 percent on Thursday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was little changed, while the Shanghai Composite Index swung between gains and losses.
  • Contracts on the Euro Stoxx 50 fell 0.2 percent as of 7:30 a.m. in London.
  • Futures contracts on the S&P 500 Index were little changed. The main gauge lost 0.2 percent on Thursday.

Currencies

  • The euro traded at $1.1878, on course for a fourth week of gains. The European currency has advanced as the dollar has come under pressure amid concerns about the Trump administration’s ability to carry out its economic policy agenda. Meanwhile,
    German factory orders jumped in June, indicating a pickup in momentum in Europe’s largest economy.
  • The Aussie fell as low as 79.34 U.S. cents before shrugging off the RBA report to rise 0.2 percent to 79.67. It’s set for its first weekly decline since the start of July. The central bank said the recent appreciation of the exchange rate has had a “modest dampening effect” on growth forecasts.
  • The yen was little changed against the dollar to 110.13.
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries held at 2.22 percent after declining five basis points on Thursday.
  • Yields on 10-year bunds were steady at 0.46 percent.
  • Ten-year yield on Australian government notes fell four basis points to 2.63 percent.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude extended losses, falling 0.4 percent to $48.84 after losing 1.1 percent in the previous session.
  • Gold was steady at $1,269.59 an ounce.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Energy

Dangote Refinery Denies Legal Battle With NNPCL, Others, Reveals Plan to Withdraw Old Case From Court

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Dangote Refinery

Dangote Refinery has denied reports of filing a lawsuit against the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL), Aym Shafa Limited, A. A. Rano Limited, T. Time Petroleum Limited, 2015 Petroleum Limited and Matrix Petroleum Services Limited, as widely reported.

Dangote made this known in a statement published via its official X handle on Monday.

A viral report alleging that Dangote filed a suit against the NNPCL and five other companies over the importation of petroleum products emerged online sparking a huge controversy.

Reacting to the viral report, the Group Chief Branding and Communications Officer of Dangote Group, Anthony Chiejina, via the statement denied any legal battle with the NNPC.

According to Dangote, the alleged report was an old one and would be fully and formally withdrawn when the matter comes up in court next year.

Dangote revealed that after the president’s directive, they have been in discussions with all parties involved.

Dismissing that no party has been served with court notice, Dangote emphasized that the discussions have made significant headway and there were no intentions of going to court.

The statement read, “This is an old issue that started in June and culminated in a matter being filed on September 6, 2024.

“Currently, the parties are in discussion since President Bola Tinubu’s directive on Crude Oil and Refined products sales in Naira Initiative, which was approved by the Federal Executive Council (FEC).

“We have made tremendous progress in that regard and events have overtaken this development. No party has been served with court processes and there is no intention of doing so. We have agreed to put a halt to the proceedings.

“It is important to stress that no orders have been made and there are no adverse effects on any party. We understand that once the matter comes up January 2025, we would be in a position to formally withdraw the matter in court.”

Investors King reported that following Dangote’s failure to meet petroleum demand by marketers in the country, the oil dealers returned to their former mode of buying the product outside the country and shipping them into Nigeria for sale.

According to the marketers, the move was an effort to save the country from fuel scarcity which Dangote’s inability to meet the supply demand may push the country into.

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Gold

Gold Soars to Record $2,740/oz as Investors Seek Safe Haven Amid Economic Uncertainty

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gold bars - Investors King

Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,740/oz, reflecting heightened demand by genuine buyers who are actively building positions, signaling confidence in gold’s value preservation over time.

The metal’s appeal lies in its ability to provide stability in a relativity fluid macroeconomic environment. With the U.S. election on the horizon, investors are preparing for potential market shifts, which could sustain gold’s upward momentum.

Regardless of the election outcome, expanded fiscal spending appears unavoidable. A red sweep could prioritize defense spending and traditional energy investments while a blue sweep may bring more expansive social programs and green energy investments.

Both scenarios point toward fiscal expansion, which may pressure the U.S. dollar over time, thereby enhancing the appeal of gold.

As Asian currencies remain sensitive to dollar movements, we could see increased demand for gold from these markets as investors seek value protection amidst currency fluctuations.

Gold’s strong rally could extend further toward $2,800-$2,900/oz in the coming months, especially if geopolitical risks persist or market participants anticipate slower monetary tightening.

However, periods of consolidation might occur, especially if higher bond yields temporarily reduce gold’s allure.

Still, buying interest seems well-established, with many investors adopting an accumulate-on-dips approach. If volatility remains elevated and fiscal policies continue expanding, gold’s role as a long-term store of value may solidify further, potentially paving the way for new highs.

Written by Ahmad Assiri Research Strategist at Pepperstone

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Jump 2% as Israel Heightens Attack in Middle East

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices traded 2 percent higher on Monday as the fight in the Middle East ragged on amid heightened Israel retaliation against attacks by Iran earlier this month.

Brent crude rose by $1.23 or 1.68 per cent to close at $74.29 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was $1.34 or 1.94 per cent higher at $70.56 a barrel.

On Monday Israel reportedly attacked hospitals and shelters for displaced people in the northern Gaza Strip as it continued its fight against Palestinian militants.

International media also reported that Israel carried out targeted strikes on sites belonging to Hezbollah’s funding arm in Lebanon.

Meanwhile, the US Secretary of State, Mr Antony Blinken said the Israel ally will push for a ceasefire as he embarks on a journey to the Middle East.

According to the US State Department, the American government will be seeking to kick-start negotiations to end the Gaza war and ensure it also defuses the possibility of escalation in Lebanon.

Mr Amos Hochstein, a US envoy, will hold talks with Lebanese officials in the Lebanon capital, Beirut on conditions for a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.

Support also came from China, as the world’s largest oil importer cut its lending rate as part of efforts to stimulate the country’s economy and offer investors relief.

This development will soothe worries after data showed that China’s economy grew at the slowest pace since early 2023 in the third quarter, fuelling growing concerns about oil demand.

The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol on Monday said China’s oil demand growth is expected to remain weak in 2025 despite recent stimulus measures from the government.

He said this is because the world’s second-largest economy has continued to accelerate its Electric Vehicles (EV) fleet and this is causing oil demand to grow at a slower pace.

Meanwhile, Saudi’s state oil company, Aramco remains fairly bullish in comparison as its Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Mr Amin Nasser said there is more demand for chemical projects on the sidelines of the Singapore International Energy Week conference.

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