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Dollar Stable Following Weak U.S. Job Numbers

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U.S Dollar - Investors King
  • Dollar Stable Following Weak U.S. Job Numbers

The U.S. dollar remained fairly steady against counterparts during Asian trading session on Monday despite the weak non-farm payrolls report released on Friday.

The dollar .DXY, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies, was about 0.1 percent higher at 95.261, well off a four-week low of 94.084 hit on July 26.

Investor focus has shifted to the yuan after the People’s Bank of China on Friday made it more expensive to bet against the currency, which helped it rebound from a 15-month low against the greenback.

U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in July, but a drop in the unemployment rate suggested that the labor market conditions were tightening.

“We’re seeing pretty consistent dollar strength across the board. The theme is there,” said Bart Wakabayashi, Tokyo branch manager at State Street Bank.

“Although Friday maybe didn’t hit the target when it comes to the non-farm payrolls, it was still a positive number. It’s a good and strong number. If you line that up with previous releases, you see a trend,” he said.

The Fed kept rates unchanged as widely expected last Wednesday, and gave an upbeat assessment of the world’s biggest economy.

The euro hit a 4-1/2-week low against the dollar on Monday.

The single currency traded at $1.15625 after touching as low as $1.1557, its lowest level since changing hands at $1.15275 on June 28.

The offshore yuan was nearly flat, trading at 6.846 yuan per dollar CNH=D3.

The yuan pulled from a 15-month low against the greenback on Friday after China’s central bank said it would require banks to keep reserves equivalent to 20 percent of their clients’ foreign exchange forwards positions from Monday.

The yen was barely changed against the dollar at 111.25 yen JPY= on Monday.

The yen had moved about 0.4 percent higher on Friday on worries about Sino-U.S. trade tensions after China proposed retaliatory tariffs on $60 billion worth of U.S. goods such as liquefied natural gas and aircraft.

But State Street Bank’s Wakabayashi said the negative impact on markets from the trade tariff exchanges between the Washington and Beijing is not as acute it had been previously.

“Whenever there is an imbalance in the market in terms of uncertainty, the initial flight to safety is probably to the dollar, which is the preferred currency right now,” said Wakabayashi.

“We could extend that a bit to the yen, but definitely the dollar is receiving a lot of support,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Naira to Dollar Exchange Rate Dips to N707 at the Black Market

The Nigerian Naira exchanged at N707 to a United States Dollar on the black market, a N2 decline from N705 it traded on Tuesday.

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NAIRA - Investors King

The Naira to Dollar exchange rate remained under pressure as of Wednesday, September 14, 2022, amid Nigeria’s persistent foreign exchange scarcity.

The Nigerian Naira exchanged at N707 to a United States Dollar on the black market, a N2 decline from N705 it traded on Tuesday.

At the Investors & Exporters (I&E) forex window, the Naira opened at N434.75 against the United States Dollar on Tuesday before shedding 0.11% to N436.04. Currency traders at the window (I&E) traded $83.71 million worth of currency on Tuesday.

At the Central Bank of Nigeria‘s (CBN) managed interbank forex section, the Naira was sold at N428.81 to a U.S Dollar on Tuesday. The Pounds Sterling – Naira exchange rate was  N502.9512 while the Euro traded at N436.4857.

Crude Oil

Oil prices traded lower on Wednesday as uncertainty surrounding interest rates continues to dictate demands for the commodity.

The brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dipped to $92.83 a barrel while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil shed 0.37% to $86.99 a barrel.

On Tuesday, U.S. data showed the inflation rate rose to 8.3% in the month of August, a strong indication that inflation pressures remain stubborn in the world’s largest economy. This coupled with European Central Bank’s comments that it will continue to raise interest rates to curb rising prices weighed on oil prices on Wednesday.

Energy investors have started lowering the outlook projections, saying rising prices would impact demand for the commodity as global economic growth slowdown.

Cryptocurrency

Like every other asset, cryptocurrency extended its decline on Wednesday ahead of Ethereum merge and transition from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake.

Bitcoin, the world’s most dominant cryptocurrency lost 3.25% to N14.65 million, or $20,250.25 per coin. While Eth, the token of the Ethereum protocol appreciated by 0.41% to N1.131 million or $1,597 a coin.

Earlier this week, cryptocurrency appreciated across the board. However, the reports that there is an arrest warrant against Do Kwon, the co-founder of the now defunct stablecoin issuer Terraform Labs, from the financial crimes unit of the Supreme Prosecutors’ Office of South Korea weighed on the cryptocurrency outlook.

 

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Naira

CBN Uses $7.6 Billion to Defend the Nigerian Naira in Five Months

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said a total sum of $7.6 billion was used to defend the Nigerian Naira in the first five months of the year.

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said a total sum of $7.6 billion was used to defend the Nigerian Naira in the first five months of the year.

The bank stated in its recent monthly economic report accessed by Investors King.

In January, February and March, CBN intervened in the forex markets with $1.65 billion, $1.39 billion and $1.82 billion, respectively. This continues in the months of April and May.

The apex bank pumped $1.56 billion into the economy in April and expended another $1.318 billion in May to prop up the value of the Nigerian Naira against its global counterparts.

Despite the $7.6 billion, or N3.25 trillion (using the official exchange rate) spent in sustaining the Naira value, the local currency has shed over 100% of its value this year alone and it is presently being exchanged at over N700 to a United States Dollar at the black market.

Nigeria has official exchange rates used by the CBN and the Deposit Money Banks (DMBs), and the unofficial exchange rates, popularly available, at the black market — the main forex section patronise by most Nigerians in need of forex for various reasons.

At the CBN interbank foreign exchange section, the Nigerian Naira was sold at N428.1 to a United States Dollar to DMBs allowed to deal directly with the CBN. Presently, the Naira is exchanged at N710 to a United States Dollar on the black market. Suggesting that the unofficial rate is 65.84% higher than the CBN official rate. 

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have advised Nigeria to stabilise and unify its exchange rates.

Investors King earlier reported that the World Bank President, David Malpass admonished Nigeria on currency stabilisation when he met with the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo last week in the United States. 

Talking about the issue, Malpass stressed the economic benefits of unifying the exchange rates and the significance of stabilisation to Nigerians.

He disclosed that a unified exchange rate will significantly improve the business-enabling environment in Nigeria, attract foreign direct investment, and reduce inflation. 

Malpass also advised Nigeria on the importance of increasing its domestic revenue by enlarging the country’s tax net through improved efficiency in tax administration. 

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Naira

Naira Likely To Weaken Further; Says Nigeria Finance Minister

Nigerian Naira will decline even further despite losing over 100% of its value since President Muhammadu Buhari came to power.

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Naira - Investors King

Nigeria’s Finance Minister, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed has said the Nigerian Naira will decline even further despite losing over 100% of its value since President Muhammadu Buhari came to power.

The minister disclosed this in an interview granted in Egypt and monitored by Investors King.

This is coming amid the scarcity of foreign exchange, widespread insecurity, increased unemployment and high inflation which has increased to 19.64 percent on a year-to-year basis in July.

Investors King had reported that the prices of goods and services in Nigeria rose to a 17-year high in July 2022, pushing the Consumer Price Index which measures the inflation rate to a 19.64% high, the highest since September 2005 when inflation peaked at 24.32 percent. 

Nigeria’s currency has been on a free fall against its global counterparts this year. On the black market, the exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar stood at N708/$1 on Friday, 9th September 2022. Naira traded against the dollar at the same price on Thursday. 

However, the exchange rate at the official Investors and Exporters window dipped further to close at N436.32/$ on Thursday.

Meanwhile, forex supply fell marginally by 54.4% to $37.5 million when compared to $82.23 million which was traded at the official market on Thursday.

While on the cryptocurrency peer-to-peer market, specifically on Binance, the dollar traded at the rate of N705.30/$. 

The country’s foreign reserve stood at a gross of $39.43 billion and a liquid of $39.18 billion. 

Nigeria which is widely acclaimed as Africa’s largest economy, however, saw its currency “Naira”  rated as the 11th worst performing currency in the world and fourth in Africa

Overall in Africa, the Zimbabwean dollar which has lost 99.33 percent of its value, was rated as the worst performing currency in Africa and the second in the world. Venezuela’s Bolivar was the worst-performing currency against the dollar with a depreciation rate of 99.39 percent. 

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