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National Reserves 8,000 Tonnes Can’t Solve Food Crisis — Officials

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  • National Reserves 8,000 Tonnes Can’t Solve Food Crisis

The quantity of food items stored in the 23 national reserves across the country are extremely low and cannot effectively address the rising prices of food in Nigeria, various officials at the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development and operators in the sector have said.

According to them, Nigeria’s store houses for food have the capacity to take over one million tonnes of agricultural produce but the reserves currently have only about 8,000 tonnes of food valued at N1.5bn.

On Wednesday, the Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Chief Audu Ogbeh, stated that the Federal Government was considering opening the nation’s food reserves as part of measures aimed at reducing food prices in Nigeria.

“We shall be looking into our reserves if in the next few days the situation persists, to see what we can bring out to lower the prices because another bumper harvest will be coming up at the end of March,” the minister had said.

But operators in the sector and officials at the FMARD noted that the quantity of food items in the reserves were very low and should be restocked.

When asked if the country had enough food in its reserves to open up in order to address the rising food prices, a senior official at the FMARD, who spoke to our correspondent in confidence on Saturday, said, “No, we don’t have.”

One of the officials added, “It is very low; in fact, extremely very low! And the reserves are low because sometime last year, we distributed about 38,000 tonnes to IDPs (Internally Displaced Persons), and the Poultry Association of Nigeria and we were not able to replenish our stock due to lack of adequate budgetary provision.

“For instance, the budget of 2016 can only give us 3,000 tonnes when we have a capacity of almost about a million tonnes. But the ministry is making an arrangement to get extra funds from the Federal Ministry of Finance to see whether they can give us money so that we can take off what the private grain stock holders have with them now and put in the reserves.”

On the conservative value of foodstuff in the reserves, the official said, “As it is now, we have about 8,000 tonnes and this will give you just about N1.5bn. To fully stock the reserves of about one million tonnes capacity will require trillions of naira, which is why it is not something that only the Federal Government should do.

“I think there has to be a partnership between the federal and state governments or the federal and private sector players through public private partnership.”

Another official at the ministry, however, noted that the government might not commence the distribution of food from the nation’s reserves at the moment, unless there was an extreme situation or scarcity.

The source said, “It has to be extreme, but you know that presently we are expecting dry season harvest from the ongoing dry season farming in many states. Therefore, before the next harvest, the price of food should come down because the produce from the various dry season farms will be coming in at the end of March this year.

“It is important to let Nigerians know what the ministry is facing and how we are tackling the issues despite the very limited resources at our disposal. Also, people should know that there isn’t much in the reserves so that they won’t relax with the hope that government has enough in its store houses, no!”

The official explained that on occasions when food from the reserves were shared, the government usually adopted measures that forestall a hijack of the distribution process by middlemen.

The official said, “It cannot be hijacked by any middleman because we do direct sales to the public or give directly to beneficiaries who are primarily those that need it, so that they won’t have to go to the market. We don’t give it to those who don’t need it.”

According to the source, the quality of different food items in the reserves are good enough, adding that Nigeria has a total of 23 functional store houses.

“We have 23 reserves, comprising of 13 old and 10 new ones, while another 10 are under construction. They are located in almost every state in Nigeria except for Rivers and Enugu, which are the states I can remember for now that don’t have. Other states have food reserves,” the official said.

Confirming the drop in food reserves and measures being put in place to increase the production of agricultural produce, the Project Manager, Micro Reforms for Africa, who doubles as the Abuja Liaison Manager for Fertiliser Producers and Suppliers Association of Nigeria, Mr. Gideon Negedu, told our correspondent that food prices would crash soon once the various industry-wide programmes began to have effect.

Negedu said, “We know there are challenges, particularly with respect to food availability and cost, but I can tell you with all confidence that food prices are going to come down tremendously because the cost of production is going to fall seriously. So as far as production and input is concerned, the price of food will come down.”

When asked to specifically state when Nigerians will start experiencing the crash in food prices, Negedu replied, “Very, very soon. When I mean very soon, I’m saying very, very soon because it’s going to be unprecedented.”

Similarly, the Coordinator, Nigeria Agribusiness Group, Mr. Emmanuel Ijewere, also confirmed that food prices were going to crash and agricultural produce would become available once the regulatory framework on fertiliser production and other initiatives in the industry began to take shape.

“There is a new paradigm going on in Nigeria. We are creating a seamless opportunity for win-win outcomes for private and public sector investments in the agribusiness space. This will not only result in adequate fertiliser, but will make food affordable to many,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Energy

Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Overtakes European Giants in Capacity, Bloomberg Reports

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Aliko Dangote - Investors King

The Dangote Refinery has surpassed some of Europe’s largest refineries in terms of capacity, according to a recent report by Bloomberg.

The $20 billion Dangote refinery, located in Lagos, boasts a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels of petroleum products per day, positioning it as a formidable player in the global refining industry.

Bloomberg’s data highlighted that the Dangote refinery’s capacity exceeds that of Shell’s Pernis refinery in the Netherlands by over 246,000 barrels per day. Making Dangote’s facility a significant contender in the refining industry.

The report also underscored the scale of Dangote’s refinery compared to other prominent European refineries.

For instance, the TotalEnergies Antwerp refining facility in Belgium can refine 338,000 barrels per day, while the GOI Energy ISAB refinery in Italy was built with a refining capacity of 360,000 barrels per day.

Describing the Dangote refinery as a ‘game changer,’ Bloomberg emphasized its strategic advantage of leveraging cheaper U.S. oil imports for a substantial portion of its feedstock.

Analysts anticipate that the refinery’s operations will have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s fuel market and the broader region.

The refinery has already commenced shipping products in recent weeks while preparing to ramp up petrol output.

Analysts predict that Dangote’s refinery will influence Atlantic Basin gasoline markets and significantly alter the dynamics of the petroleum trade in West Africa.

Reuters recently reported that the Dangote refinery has the potential to disrupt the decades-long petrol trade from Europe to Africa, worth an estimated $17 billion annually.

With a configured capacity to produce up to 53 million liters of petrol per day, the refinery is poised to meet a significant portion of Nigeria’s fuel demand and reduce the country’s dependence on imported petroleum products.

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man and the visionary behind the refinery, has demonstrated his commitment to revolutionizing Nigeria’s energy landscape. As the Dangote refinery continues to scale up its operations, it is poised to not only bolster Nigeria’s energy security but also emerge as a key player in the global refining industry.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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