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Nigeria Aims for $1 Trillion Economy by 2030 with New Inclusion Initiative

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In a bold move to propel Nigeria towards a $1 trillion economy by 2030, the federal government has launched an ambitious initiative aimed at establishing an operating model and framework for economic and financial inclusion.

This initiative, announced on Wednesday, underscores the administration’s commitment to combating poverty and driving sustainable economic growth from the ground up.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, speaking during the kickoff meeting for the initiative, highlighted its significance as a core component of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

The Vice President emphasized that this project symbolizes the administration’s dedication to enhancing financial and economic inclusion across Nigeria.

“This initiative represents our unwavering commitment to providing universal access to financial services and creating a broad-based prosperity that will lift millions out of poverty,” Shettima said. “At the heart of every strategy championed by President Tinubu, there has been a need to prioritize inclusive economic growth and development.”

The launch of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion on April 25, 2024, laid the groundwork for this multi-faceted blueprint.

The accord aims to achieve universal access to financial services, addressing both economic and security challenges through inclusive growth.

Vice President Shettima noted several positive outcomes from the administration’s efforts, including the recent upgrade of Nigeria’s credit outlook to positive by Fitch Ratings.

This upgrade reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s economic trajectory and the progress of policy reforms aimed at easing the country’s debt service burden.

“While such an upgrade by a distinguished institution reflects growing confidence in our economic trajectory, particularly in light of policy changes aimed at easing our debt service burden, we remain mindful of the short-term impacts of these reforms,” Shettima said.

“Hence, we are prioritizing measures to mitigate immediate effects, from the Student Loan Act, which democratizes access to education, to the relentless efforts of the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security in combating food insecurity.”

The Vice President stressed that the approach to inclusive growth must be strategic and sustainable, hence the elevation of economic and financial inclusion to the agenda of the National Economic Council (NEC).

This body includes governors from all 36 states and the FCT minister, who participate in crucial policy deliberations alongside other stakeholders.

“You have been entrusted with a vital national assignment, and I have full confidence that you will bring your best efforts to ensure its success,” Shettima told the implementation team.

“As we embark on this essential initiative, I call upon each of you to contribute your insights, expertise, and dedication. Only through such resolve and discipline can we forge a robust operating model that will drive economic and financial inclusion across our nation, ensuring every Nigerian has the opportunity to thrive.”

Technical Advisor to the President on Financial Inclusion, Dr. Nurudeen Abubakar Zauro, reported substantial progress in implementing the Aso Accord on financial inclusion.

The initiative has garnered support and funding from notable organizations, including the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through the Lagos Business School.

Dr. Zauro detailed the ongoing efforts to set up the operating model and legal framework to ensure the project’s smooth takeoff and alignment with the Renewed Hope Agenda.

The team includes Augmentum Advisory, Banwo & Ighodalo, and Ndarani (SAN) & CO. He also highlighted plans for capacity-building initiatives and high-profile training for permanent secretaries and finance commissioners to enhance practical knowledge of financial inclusion.

Prof. Olayinka David-West, Project Manager at the Lagos Business School, commended the administration for prioritizing economic and financial inclusion.

She noted that the initiative aims to establish a legal framework and national coordination to drive ownership and successful implementation across the country.

The project seeks to galvanize relevant authorities and stakeholders to key into the initiative, creating a robust platform for inclusive economic growth that will transform Nigeria into a $1 trillion economy by 2030.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

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Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

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Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

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The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

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IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

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