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Nigeria’s Oil Production Rises by 280,700 bpd

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oil
  • Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production Rises by 280,700 bpd

Nigeria’s crude oil production has increased by 280, 700 barrels per day (bpd) from the 1.104 million bpd recorded in August to 1.385 million bpd in September.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which made this known in its monthly oil market report released on Wednesday without giving further details, said crude oil production averaged 33.39 mbpd in September, an increase of 0.22 mbpd over the previous month.

Specifically, the cartel disclosed that crude oil output increased mostly from Iraq, Nigeria and Libya, while production in Saudi Arabia showed the largest drop.

It said that demand for OPEC crude in 2016 is estimated to stand at 31.8 mbpd, an increase of 1.8 mbpd over last year.
OPEC stated that in 2017, demand for OPEC crude is forecast at 32.6 mbpd, a rise of 0.8 mbpd over the current year.

The cartel added: “World oil demand growth in 2016 was adjusted marginally higher by 10 tbpd, to account for upward revisions in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Europe, Asia Pacific and Other Asia outpacing downward revisions in OECD America, Latin America and the Middle East.

“As a result, 2016 world oil demand growth currently stands at 1.24 mbpd, leading to total global consumption of 94.40 mbpd.
In 2017, world oil demand growth was kept relatively unchanged from last month’s MOMR at 1.15mbpd with total global consumption assumed at 95.56 mbpd.”

It disclosed that world liquids supply in September 2016 increased by 1.46 mbpd m-o-m to average 96.4 mbpd, and grew by 0.95 mbpd compared to a year ago.

According to OPEC, the share of OPEC in the monthly increase was only 15 per cent, while non-OPEC producers, including OPEC Natural Gas Liquefied (NGLs), added 1.24 mbpd.

This, it said, was due to some non-OPEC supply outages in second quarter coming back on stream, such as oil sands production that was shut down due to wildfires in Canada, a lower decline in the US following a rise in rig counts and well completion and the end of seasonal maintenance.

It added that non-OPEC oil supply in 2016 is estimated to see a contraction of 0.68 mbpd, a downward revision of 70 tbpd, to now average 56.30 mbpd.

“This was due to the downward adjustment of 135 tbpd in second quarter of 2016, mainly in Canada, Russia and the US, as well as an upward revision of 60 tbpd to the 2015 baseline, mainly coming from the US. In contrast, non-OPEC oil supply growth in 2017 was revised up by 40 tb/d to average 0.24 mbpd from the previous assessment, to settle at an average of 56.54 mbpd, mainly due to new projects coming on stream in Russia.

“OPEC NGL production in 2016 and 2017 is forecast to grow by 0.16 mbpd and 0.15 mb/d, respectively, to average 6.29 mbpd and 6.43 mbpd. In September 2016, OPEC production increased by 0.22 mbpd to average 33.39 mbpd,” it added.

 

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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