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Emerging Stocks Extend Drop as China Slumps on Growth Concerns

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Emerging market

Emerging-market stocks fell for a third day as Chinese equities slumped the most in a month after money-market rates jumped and on concern recent gains were overdone relative to the outlook for the economy.

Seven of 10 industry groups in an MSCI gauge retreated, led by industrial and consumer discretionary shares. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and China Construction Bank Corp. contributed the most to the decline. The Taiex Index climbed to a two-month high as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. led technology shares higher. Developing-nation currencies were steady as Wednesday’s jump in crude oil boosted Malaysia’s ringgit.

China’s overnight money rate climbed by the most since the Lunar New Year holidays earlier this month and the Shanghai Composite Index dropped on speculation the gauge’s 10 percent gain through Wednesday from the January’s low was excessive. Concern that Chinese policy makers won’t be able to stem the slowdown in an economy growing at the weakest pace in 25 years and swings in oil prices have pushed the MSCI Emerging Markets Index to a 7.4 percent decline in 2016.

“Oil prices will stay at low levels for some time and China’s economic recovery will be slow, and these factors will limit growth in developing economies,” said Komsorn Prakobphol, a Bangkok-based senior investment strategist at Tisco Financial Group Pcl, whose mutual fund unit manages about $5 billion. “We still advise investors to increase investment in emerging-market equities because of attractive valuations, but to proceed with caution because of the global economic slowdown and volatility in oil prices.”

Emerging-market assets are so cheap that they may be “the trade of a decade,” according to Research Affiliates LLC, a sub-adviser to Pacific Investment Management Co., one of the world’s biggest money managers. They’re joining a growing number of investors, including BlackRock Inc., Franklin Templeton and Goldman Sachs Asset Management, who are turning bullish on emerging markets after three years of underperformance.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Markets

OPEC Agrees to Increase Oil Supply by 500,000 Barrels Per Day Ahead of Surge in Demand

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Nigeria's economic Productivity

OPEC and allies finally agreed to ease their 7.7 million barrels per day production cut by 500,000 barrels per day starting from January 2021.

This will now bring the oil cartel’s total production cuts to 7.2 million barrels per day starting from next year.

Oil prices rose after the news as the market believed the approval of Pfizer COVID-19 in the United Kingdom will kick start a series of approvals and helped restore confidence, increase business activities and demand for the commodity across the globe.

After the outcome of the meeting was made public on Thursday, Brent Crude Oil against which Nigerian oil is priced gained 1.35 percent on Friday after gaining 1.4 percent on Thursday to $49.37 per barrel at 11.35 am Nigerian time on Friday.

The US West Texas Intermediate gained 1.29 percent to $46.23 barrel on Friday.

500,000 bpd from January is not the nightmare scenario that the market feared, but it is not what was really expected weeks ago,” said Rystad Energy senior oil markets analyst Paola Rodriguez Masiu. “Markets are now reacting positively and prices are recording a small increase as 500,000 of extra supply is not deadly for balances,” she added.

Investors King increased business sentiment in the energy sector to boost investment, increase activity in the sector and most important improve crude oil demand enough to accommodate the 500,000 barrels per day extra that would be hitting the global market starting from January.

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Communities in Delta State Shut OML30 Operates by Heritage Energy Operational Services Ltd

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Oil

The OML30 operated by Heritage Energy Operational Services Limited in Delta State has been shut down by the host communities for failing to meet its obligations to the 112 host communities.

The host communities, led by its Management Committee/President Generals, had accused the company of gross indifference and failure in its obligations to the host communities despite several meetings and calls to ensure a peaceful resolution.

The station with a production capacity of 80,000 barrels per day and eight flow stations operates within the Ughelli area of Delta State.

The host communities specifically accused HEOSL of failure to pay the GMOU fund for the last two years despite mediation by the Delta State Government on May 18, 2020.

Also, the host communities accused HEOSL of ‘total stoppage of scholarship award and payment to host communities since 2016’.

The Chairman, Dr Harrison Oboghor and Secretary, Mr Ibuje Joseph that led the OML30 host communities explained to journalists on Monday that the host communities had resolved not to backpedal until all their demands were met.

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Crude Oil Recovers from 4 Percent Decline as Joe Biden Wins

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Oil Prices Recover from 4 Percent Decline as Joe Biden Wins

Crude oil prices rose with other financial markets on Monday following a 4 percent decline on Friday.

This was after Joe Biden, the former Vice-President and now the President-elect won the race to the White House.

Global benchmark oil, Brent crude oil, gained $1.06 or 2.7 percent to $40.51 per barrel on Monday while the U.S West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained $1.07 or 2.9 percent to $38.21 per barrel.

On Friday, Brent crude oil declined by 4 percent as global uncertainty surged amid unclear US election and a series of negative comments from President Trump. However, on Saturday when it became clear that Joe Biden has won, global financial markets rebounded in anticipation of additional stimulus given Biden’s position on economic growth and recovery.

Trading this morning has a risk-on flavor, reflecting increasing confidence that Joe Biden will occupy the White House, but the Republican Party will retain control of the Senate,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney.

“The outcome is ideal from a market point of view. Neither party controls the Congress, so both trade wars and higher taxes are largely off the agenda.”

The president-elect and his team are now working on mitigating the risk of COVID-19, grow the world’s largest economy by protecting small businesses and the middle class that is the backbone of the American economy.

There will be some repercussions further down the road,” said OCBC’s economist Howie Lee, raising the possibility of lockdowns in the United States under Biden.

“Either you’re crimping energy demand or consumption behavior.”

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