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Power Sector Reforms Must be Completed

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The President, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Dr. Nike Akande, discusses how to move the nation’s economy forward in this interview with Anna Okon

What is the nation’s economic outlook for 2016?

With the cabinet in place, ongoing budget processes, drive for economic diversification, concerted efforts against corruption and the various reforms in the critical sectors, we expect to see positive developments in the economy.

This year (2016), Gross Domestic Product growth is expected to rebound, though slowly, if the right mix of fiscal and monetary policies is put in place to stimulate the economy and attract domestic and foreign investments.

While the recovery is expected to be driven by increase in government expenditure, the growth in oil sector may be constrained still by low price and dragging investment drive.

The Treasury Single Account is also expected to plug leakages, curb corrupt tendencies, increase revenue to government and thereby improve funding for government projects.

The Managing Director, International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, recently paid a visit to Nigeria. The core of her visit were issues bordering on drastic fall in government revenue occasioned by the plunge in global oil prices, budget deficit financing, economic diversification and lots more. What is your take on these issues?

We must recall that the new political administration led by His Excellency, President Muhammadu Buhari came into power on May 29,, 2015 at the time the country was facing serious economic challenges as you earlier highlighted.

The challenge faced by the economy, as a result of the decrease in oil revenue, which prompted fiscal imbalances, is a global phenomenon especially among the oil-exporting countries. We need international cooperation and partnership as there is, obviously, no easy way out of the crisis. Therefore, the visit of the IMF boss is, indeed, timely as it offers us the opportunity to deliberate on these issues towards fostering the international partnership and cooperation, especially with the Fund.

Above all, the government needs to develop other sectors of the economy like manufacturing, agriculture and solid minerals and service sectors to strengthen the current economic cord.

The way to do this is to create an enabling environment in terms of the right infrastructure, affordable long-term financing and the right policies.

Nigerians are very enterprising. Once the environment is right, Nigerians will make things happen. We also need to patronise made-in-Nigeria products to encourage our local manufacturers.

There had been persisting scarcity of petroleum products leading to long queues at filling stations, traffic congestion on the roads and loss of man hours. What is LCCI’s position on the downstream petroleum sector?

The persistent fuel crisis in Nigeria again underscores the need to urgently review the current policy framework of the oil and gas industry, especially with regard to the petroleum downstream sector. We commend the efforts of the government in revamping the refineries with a view to reducing our fuel importation in the coming years. We hope to see a situation where eventually all our refineries are operating optimally and the private sector should be encouraged to participate more in the sector thereby creating jobs for Nigerians.

The private sector is ready to partner the government to make these efforts work as government must not be left alone in these endeavours.

How have your members been coping with the challenges of electricity supply and consumption in Nigeria? And what is the way out?

The power situation has been a challenge from time past and fixing it will require consistent investments in that sector. The present administration has shown that power supply is one of its top priorities.

The Honourable Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr. Babatunde Fashola, who was the governor of Lagos State, is known to be a go-getter.

I believe private sector businesses are ready to pay for electricity once it is available. I urge the government to continue with the pace of reforms in the sector to ensure that more electricity consumers have meters.

You are the second female president of the LCCI in its 127-year history. How would you assess the leadership opportunities for women in the corporate world in Nigeria? And what is the Chamber doing to encourage women entrepreneurs?

Women are doing well in many spheres of the corporate world. For instance, the Chairmen of First Bank, Access Bank and Guaranty Trust Bank are all women. We also have many women as Chief Executive Officers of big organisations across all sectors. We are doing well. But we can do better.

The ratio, to a large extent, is still skewed towards men. The LCCI has a vibrant women group which focuses on the advancement of the interest of women. They seek opportunities for women in all areas of enterprise and finance. They also collaborate with embassies and international organisations that have programmes for women.

In addition, the Chamber has a robust mentoring programme for young people to make them entrepreneurs. We attach these young people to our members for a period of time to teach them and share experience with them on managing businesses. The third batch of about 35 mentees graduated only a few weeks ago. We also train young entrepreneurs to build their capacities in different areas of business.

You are a two-time Minister of Industry. What was the experience like? And how would you assess the present administration from a private sector point of view?

First of all, my experience as a two-time Minister of Industry was very exciting and yet challenging. But I thank God for the opportunity to serve my country at such a high level.

During my tenure, we set up industrial development centres all over the country to support industrialisation, especially small scale industries. I also supervised many parastatals that interfaced with investors. One of them was the Nigerian Industrial Development Bank, which is now the Bank of Industry.

I have also supervised the Benue Cement Company, the Machine Tools, Oshogbo and many more.

Frankly speaking, the government has been doing a great job fighting terrorism. You know you cannot do business when security is not guaranteed.

Also, the government has also been doing a lot in fighting corruption which is also one of the biggest problems we have in the country.

With the new budget and some new policies, I am sure we will have more programmes and activities this year. We will continue to give government the necessary support to make the country better.

As the new President of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, what is your vision for the chamber and how do you plan to achieve it?

First of all, I give glory to the Almighty God for the opportunity to serve my country on this platform and in this capacity. I am also grateful to members of the LCCI for electing me. Being the President of the Chamber is, indeed, a great task. I will, therefore, be resolute in contributing my quota to the advancement of the cause of the Nigerian private sector and the progress of our economy as a whole.

Furthermore, while a lot has been done by all my predecessors towards achieving the core objectives of the Chamber, I am prepared to build on their worthy legacies by pushing the frontiers as regards strengthening the effectiveness of the LCCI advocacy and research activities to create a more conducive environment for investors.

We will also work towards putting in place strategic innovative programmes to attract and retain more members across sectors. In fact, since my assumption of office, quite a number of people have shown interest in joining the Chamber.

Also, we will diversify our trade fairs and exhibitions to cover more sectors and specialised exhibitions thus making it the best in Africa.

We aim to consolidate on the landmark achievements of our training arm through which we embark on capacity building for Small and Medium Enterprises.

We are looking at improved close collaboration and partnership with federal and state governments as well as the private sector to improve the business environment.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Economy

Nigeria, China Collaborate to Bridge $18 Billion Trade Gap Through Agricultural Exports

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In a concerted effort to address the $18 billion trade deficit between Nigeria and China, both nations have embarked on a collaborative endeavor aimed at bolstering agricultural exports from Nigeria to China.

This strategic partnership, heralded as a landmark initiative in bilateral trade relations, seeks to narrow the trade gap and foster more balanced economic exchanges between the two countries.

The Executive Director of the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC), Nonye Ayeni, revealed this collaboration during a joint meeting between the Council and the Department of Commerce of Hunan province, China, held in Abuja on Monday.

Addressing the trade imbalance, Ayeni said collaborative efforts will help close the gap and stimulate more equitable trade relations between the two nations.

With Nigeria importing approximately $20.4 billion worth of goods from China, while its exports to China stood at around $2 billion, representing a $18 billion in trade deficit.

This significant imbalance has prompted officials from both countries to strategize on how to rebalance trade dynamics and promote mutually beneficial economic exchanges.

The collaborative effort between Nigeria and China focuses on leveraging the vast potential of Nigeria’s agricultural sector to expand export opportunities to the Chinese market.

Ayeni highlighted Nigeria’s abundant supply of over 1,000 exportable products, emphasizing the need to identify and promote the top 20 products with high demand in global markets, particularly in China.

“We have over 1,000 products in large quantities, and we expect that the collaboration will help us improve. The NEPC is focused on a 12-18 month target, focusing on the top 20 products based on global demand in the markets in which China is a top destination,” Ayeni explained, outlining the strategic objectives of the collaboration.

The initiative not only aims to reduce the trade deficit but also seeks to capitalize on China’s growing appetite for agricultural products. Nigeria, with its diverse agricultural landscape, sees an opportunity to expand its export market and capitalize on China’s increasing demand for agricultural imports.

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Economy

IMF Urges Nigeria to End Fuel and Electricity Subsidies

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In a recent report titled “Nigeria: 2024 Article IV Consultation,” the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has advised the Nigerian government to terminate all forms of fuel and electricity subsidies, arguing that they predominantly benefit the wealthy rather than the intended vulnerable population.

The IMF’s recommendation comes amidst Nigeria’s struggle with record-high inflation and economic challenges exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic.

The report highlights the inefficiency and ineffectiveness of subsidies, noting that they are costly and poorly targeted.

According to the IMF, higher-income groups tend to benefit more from these subsidies, resulting in a misallocation of resources. With pump prices and electricity tariffs currently below cost-recovery levels, subsidy costs are projected to increase significantly, reaching up to three percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024.

The IMF suggests that once Nigeria’s social protection schemes are enhanced and inflation is brought under control, subsidies should be phased out.

The government’s social intervention scheme, developed with support from the World Bank, aims to provide targeted support to vulnerable households, potentially benefiting around 15 million households or 60 million Nigerians.

However, concerns persist regarding the removal of subsidies, particularly in light of the recent announcement of an increase in electricity tariffs by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC).

While the government has taken steps to reduce subsidies, including the removal of the costly petrol subsidy, there are lingering challenges in fully implementing these reforms.

Nigeria’s fiscal deficit is projected to be higher than anticipated, according to the IMF staff’s analysis.

The persistence of fuel and electricity subsidies is expected to contribute to this fiscal imbalance, along with lower oil and gas revenue projections and higher interest costs.

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Economy

IMF Warns of Challenges as Nigeria’s Economic Growth Barely Matches Population Expansion

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Nigeria’s growth prospects will barely exceed its population expansion despite recent economic reforms.

Axel Schimmelpfennig, the IMF’s mission chief to Nigeria, who explained the risks to the nation’s economic outlook during a virtual briefing, acknowledged the strides made in implementing tough economic reforms but stressed that significant challenges persist.

The IMF reaffirmed its forecast of 3.3% economic growth for Nigeria in the current year, slightly up from 2.9% in 2023.

However, Schimmelpfennig revealed that this growth rate merely surpasses population dynamics and signaled a need for accelerated progress to enhance living standards significantly.

While Nigeria has received commendation for measures such as abolishing fuel subsidies and reforming the foreign-exchange regime under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, these reforms have not come without costs.

The drastic depreciation of the naira by 65% has fueled inflation to its highest level in nearly three decades, exacerbating the cost of living for many Nigerians.

The IMF anticipates a moderation of Nigeria’s annual inflation rate to 24% by the year’s end, down from the current 33.2% recorded in March.

However, the organization cautioned that substantial challenges persist, particularly in addressing acute food insecurity affecting millions of Nigerians with up to 19 million categorized as food insecure and a poverty rate of 46% in 2023.

Moreover, the IMF emphasized the importance of maintaining a tight monetary policy stance to curb inflation, preserve exchange rate flexibility, and bolster reserves.

It raised concerns about proposed amendments to the law governing the central bank, fearing that such changes could undermine its autonomy and weaken the institutional framework.

Looking ahead, Nigeria faces several risks, including potential shocks to agriculture and global food prices, which could exacerbate food insecurity.

Also, any decline in oil production would not only impact economic growth but also strain government finances, trade, and inflationary pressures.

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