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Textile Industry: NECA, Textile Union Back CBN on Forex Restriction

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  • Textile Industry: NECA, Textile Union Back CBN on Forex Restriction

The Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association and the Senior Staff Association of Textile have expressed their support for the Central Bank of Nigeria’s recent restriction of forex to textile importers.

The CBN Governor, Mr Godwin Emefiele, had on Monday said the recent measures announced by the apex bank were to revive the Cotton, Garment and Textile sector. He said the measures were well thought out to reposition the sector for job creation and economic growth.

Emefiele was replying to the position of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry cautioning government over the restriction of foreign exchange for the importation of textile materials.

The LCCI Director-General, Muda Yusuf, had said that there was a need for a strategic approach before such policy pronouncement should have been made.

He had advised the Federal Government to reconsider the Central Bank of Nigeria’s ban of forex to textile importers.

He argued that given the position of Nigeria in Africa as a leader in fashion, the range of fabrics produced by the Nigerian textile industry could not support the industry in terms of the quantity and quality.

Yusuf, who noted that his submission was not to diminish the importance of the local textile industry in any way or the significance of the nation’s industrialisation, however, added that this was to underscore the importance of a strategic approach to industrialisation.

The LCCI DG said before such policy pronouncement, the government ought to have strengthened the capacity of domestic industries, enhanced their competitiveness and reduced their import dependence as espoused in the Nigeria Industrial Revolution Plan.

But reacting to the position of the chamber, the CBN governor said the strategic approach being referred to by Yusuf had never worked.

Speaking in support of the CBN governor on Tuesday, the Director-General, NECA, Mr Timothy Olawale, and the General Secretary, Senior Staff Association of Textile, Mr Foly Owolabi, in separate interviews with our correspondent, described the forex restriction on textile imports as the right step in the right direction.

They added that the revitalisation of the Nigerian textile industry, which used to be the largest employer of labour after the civil service, would stimulate local production and create employment opportunities for Nigerians, given the rate of unemployment in the country.

Olawale said NECA had been clamouring for the strengthening of the local industries, and the CBN had hit the bull’s eye by the action, arguing that the measures would lead to the resuscitation of the moribund textile industries scattered across Lagos, Kaduna, and Kano, among others.

He, however, called on the government to take a decisive action on the nation’s epileptic electricity, and other infrastructure that would aid industrialisation and take the textile industry out of the woods.

He said, “One has to understand the CBN’s position in order to appreciate the restriction it placed on forex for textile imports. At the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association, we have been clamouring for the strengthening of the local manufacturing.

“We are totally in support of the CBN for the restriction of forex for textile imports. Essentially, the CBN’s measures would lead to the resuscitation of the nation’s moribund textile industry, it would make them competitive and lead to the provision of employment for Nigerians.

“As employers, we have many employers involved in the textile importation. The government is not saying it has banned importation of textiles. What the government is saying is that it will no longer offer forex to the importers of textiles. So, they will have to source their forex through others sources.

“To really boost local production, the government must take a decisive action on the issue of electricity. It must ensure that the power generated are all distributed to the consumers. It must settle the acrimony between the Gencos and Discos and the regulators.”

On his own part, Owolabi said he was excited about the fact that the CBN had also announced that it would give loans to the operators at a single digit rate, to enable them to retool and remodel their machinery.

He noted that those textile companies that were still in existence currently operated below 20 per cent capacity, but with the CBN’s intervention, he hoped to see them moved up to between 70 and 80 per cent capacity.

He said, “The restriction of forex to textile importers by the CBN will boost the local textile industry, in terms of increase in production capacity. Currently, they are operating below 20 per cent; I am hopeful that after the CBN’s intervention in providing the loans, their production capacity will move up to between 70 and 80 per cent.”

Owolabi rued the LCCI which had complained about the issue of epileptic power sector, arguing that “electricity is a work in progress.”

The Ogun State Chairman, Trade Union Congress, Olubunmi Fajobi, however, expressed his fears about the issue of power and the inability of the local textile industry to meet the local demand in terms of quality and quantity.

He said, “Let us use the local Adire as an example, some of the fabrics being used for its production are imported from Republic of Niger and Mali, among others. Can we cope with the local demand? Do we have electricity? Are the production lines running at full capacity?

“We must address all these deficits, before taking measures that will have far reaching effects on Nigerians, an industry or a sector of the economy.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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President Tinubu Defends Tough Economic Decisions at World Economic Forum

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Bola Tinubu

President Bola Tinubu stood firm in defense of Nigeria’s recent tough economic decisions during his address at the World Economic Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Speaking to a gathering of global business leaders, Tinubu justified the removal of fuel subsidies and the management of Nigeria’s foreign exchange market as necessary measures to prevent the country from bankruptcy and reset its economy towards growth.

In his speech, Tinubu acknowledged the challenges and drawbacks associated with these decisions but emphasized that they were in the best interest of Nigeria.

He described the removal of fuel subsidies as a difficult yet essential action to avert bankruptcy and ensure the country’s economic stability.

Despite the expected difficulties, Tinubu highlighted the government’s efforts to implement parallel arrangements to cushion the impact on vulnerable populations, demonstrating a commitment to inclusive governance.

Regarding the management of the foreign exchange market, Tinubu emphasized the need to remove artificial value elements in Nigeria’s currency to foster competitiveness and transparency.

While acknowledging the turbulence associated with such decisions, he underscored the government’s preparedness to manage the challenges through inclusive governance and effective communication with the public.

Moreover, Tinubu used the platform to call on the global community to pay attention to the root causes of poverty and instability in Africa’s Sahel region.

He emphasized the importance of economic collaborations and inclusiveness in achieving stability and growth, urging bigger economies to actively participate in promoting prosperity in the region.

Tinubu’s defense of Nigeria’s economic policies reflects the government’s commitment to making tough but necessary decisions to steer the country towards sustainable growth and development.

As the world grapples with geopolitical tensions, inflation, and supply chain disruptions, Tinubu’s message at the World Economic Forum underscores the importance of collaborative action and inclusive governance in addressing critical global challenges.

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IMF: Nigeria’s 2024 Growth Outlook Revised Upward – Coronation Economic Note

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In its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO), the IMF revised its global growth forecast for 2024 upward to 3.2% y/y from 3.1% y/y projected in its January ’24 WEO.

Meanwhile, the growth outlook for 2025 was unchanged at 3.2% y/y. It is worth highlighting that global growth projections for 2024 and 2025 remain below the historical (2000-2019) average of 3.8%.

Persistence inflationary pressure, turbulence in China’s property sector, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and financial stress continue to pose downside risk to global growth projection.

There was an upward growth revision for United States to 2.7% y/y from 2.1% y/y. The upward revision can be partly attributed to a stronger than expected growth in the US economy in Q4 ‘23 bolstered by healthier consumption patterns; stronger momentum is expected in 2024.

Growth in China remains steady at 4.6% y/y. This is consistent with the projection recorded in its January ’24 WEO, as post pandemic boost to consumption and fiscal stimulus eases off amid headwinds in the property sector. We expect a loosening or a hold stance in the near-term as China continues to seek ways to bolster its economy.

On the flip side, GDP growth was revised downward (marginally) for the Eurozone to 0.8% y/y from 0.9% y/y (in its January ’23 WEO) for 2024. The growth projection for the United Kingdom was also revised downwards to 0.5% y/y from 0.6% y/y.

Russia’s growth forecast was revised upward to 3.2% y/y from 2.6% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO) for 2024. This revision was largely due to high investment and robust private consumption supported by wage growth.

The projection for average global inflation was revised upward to 5.9% y/y for 2024 from 5.8% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO), with an expectation of a decline to 4.5% y/y in 2025.

This is reflective of the cooling effects of monetary policy tightening across advanced and emerging economies.

Based on IMF projections, we anticipate a swifter decline in headline inflation rates averaging near 2% in 2025 among advanced economies before the avg. inflation figure for developing economies returns to pre-pandemic rate of c.5%.

This is driven by tight monetary policies, softening labor markets, and the fading passthrough effects from earlier declines in relative prices, notably energy prices.

We understand that moderations in headline inflation have prompted central banks of select economies to slow down on further policy rate hikes.

For instance, the US Federal Reserve may consider rate cuts three times this year if macro-indicators align with expectations. Also, the UK and ECB are likely to reduce their level of policy restriction if they become more confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.

The growth forecast for sub-Saharan Africa remains steady at 3.8% y/y for 2024. The unchanged projection can be partly attributed to expectations around growth dynamics in Angola, notably contraction in its oil sector, which was offset by an upward revision for Nigeria’s GDP growth estimate.

For Nigeria, IMF revised its 2024 growth forecast upward to 3.3% y/y from 3.0% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO). This revision partly reflects the elevated oil price environment. Bonny Light has increased by 14.6% from the start of the year to USD89.3/b (as at April 2024).

Other upside risks include relatively stable growth in select sectors, improved fx market dynamics as well as ongoing restrictive monetary stance by the CBN.

Nigeria’s headline inflation has steadily recorded upticks (currently at 33.2% y/y as of March ‘24). Our end-year inflation forecast (base-case scenario) is 35.8% y/y. The ongoing geopolitical tension could exacerbate supply chain disruptions, driving commodity prices, and exerting pressure on purchasing
power.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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