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Nigeria’s LNG Exports Plummet 13% Amid Feedstock Shortages

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Nigeria’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) export industry is facing significant challenges as feedstock shortages have led to a 13 percent decline in exports.

According to the latest 2024 World LNG Report by the International Gas Union (IGU), LNG sales from Nigeria dropped from 15.1 million tonnes in 2022 to 13 million tonnes in 2023.

This decline has caused Nigeria to fall from sixth place to eighth in the global LNG export rankings, losing its spot to Indonesia and Algeria, who exported 15.6 million tonnes and 13 million tonnes of LNG, respectively.

The primary cause of this setback is the dwindling supply of natural gas available for liquefaction. Various factors, including declining output from aging oil fields and pipeline vandalism that disrupts gas transportation, have contributed to the feedstock shortages.

The IGU report noted that Nigeria LNG declared force majeure on some cargo loadings in October 2022 due to significant flooding across its upstream gas supply production regions, which required several gas production wells to be shut down.

While flooding conditions have since been resolved, feedstock deliveries have not fully recovered due to ongoing pipeline vandalism.

This situation has severe consequences for Nigeria. The LNG industry has been a significant revenue generator for the country, and the loss of market share translates to a substantial decrease in income.

Also, the decline could potentially lead to job losses and hinder economic growth. In 2023, Nigeria LNG (NLNG) paid over $40 billion in dividends, with 49 percent going to the Federal Government of Nigeria through its shareholding in the company via the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Payments to joint venture feed gas suppliers from inception to date amount to approximately $32 billion, with 55 to 60 percent of these payments going to the Federal Government through its shareholding in NNPC Limited.

Industry experts highlight several critical reasons for the decline in gas exports and production. Ayodele Oni, a partner at Bloomfield LP, cited insecurity and vandalism of gas infrastructure, which often result in significant losses and production disruptions.

The exit of some major International Oil Companies (IOCs) has also led to a reduction in investment in the gas sector, further exacerbating the problem.

Poor gas infrastructure and the shift of some IOCs from onshore and shallow waters to deep offshore fields, leaving indigenous companies with significantly larger responsibilities, have also contributed to the decline in gas exports and production.

Nigeria’s ability to regain its footing in the LNG export market hinges on addressing these challenges. Increased investment in gas exploration and infrastructure development is essential to ensure a steady supply for LNG production.

In March, Ekperipe Ekpo, Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), assured that serious work was ongoing to resolve the crisis in gas feedstock supplies to LNG production and distribution companies.

He reaffirmed the government’s commitment to bolster the nation’s gas supply and reassured a sustained increase in gas production and distribution.

“We are moving towards zero emissions, and we need to do everything to supply gas to Nigerians,” Ekpo said, highlighting the government’s proactive measures to address energy challenges and meet growing demand.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

Vandalism Sparks Blackouts, Traders in Kano and Kaduna Plead for Urgent Power Restoration

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Many traders in Kano and Kaduna States have been thrown into worry over blackout.

Those affected, especially small business owners whose means of livelihoods largely depend on the availability of electricity, bemoaned the upsurge in vandalisation of public infrastructure.

This panic is coming as the Transmission Company of Nigeria announced that two towers along its 330kV Shiroro–Kaduna transmission lines 1 and 2 have been vandalised, resulting in damage to parts of both transmission lines.

As a result, some areas of Kano and Kaduna states are experiencing blackouts.

The company received a report of the damage from its Shiroro Regional Office on Friday.

A statement signed by the company’s General Manager of Public Affairs, Ndidi Mbah, indicated that arrangements are underway to deploy the newly acquired “emergency restoration system” to the site, pending the reconstruction of the damaged towers.

Although the company did not explicitly attribute the damage to bandits, it is suspected that they may be involved, particularly in light of the recent killing of 13 farmers in the Shiroro community.

According to TCN, the 330kV transmission line 1 tripped first, followed shortly by the second line while efforts were still ongoing to reclose the first. This prompted the urgent mobilisation of local vigilantes to patrol the lines.

It added that the incident revealed damage to towers T133 and T136, with cables severely damaged at multiple points.

The statement further disclosed that an aerial survey, in collaboration with security operatives, has been conducted, and temporary measures are in place to supply bulk power to the Kaduna and Kano regions via the 330kV Kaduna–Jos transmission line.

Mbah said arrangements are in top gear to deploy the newly procured ’emergency restoration system’ to the site, pending the reconstruction of the damaged towers.

He added that TCN has also conducted an aerial survey in collaboration with security operatives, given the area’s vulnerability to banditry, which poses a significant threat to both TCN installations and personnel.

A trader in Kano who identified himself as Usman, urged TCN to intensify efforts in restoring electricity to the affected areas so that more harm would not be done to businesses.

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World Bank VP Lauds CBN Governor Cardoso’s Inflation-Fighting Policies

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The Senior Vice President of the World Bank, Indermit Gill, has praised the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Yemi Cardoso, over his approach to managing inflation in the country.

Gill made this known during his address at the 30th Nigerian Economic Summit organized by the Nigerian Economic Summit Group in Abuja, on Monday.

The World Bank VP decried the high cost of petrol occasioned by the subsidy removal of President Tinubu’s government and the untold hardship it has imposed on Nigerians.

However, he hailed the interest rate increase by the central bank which according to him will boost confidence in the Naira and anchor inflationary expectations.

Gill emphasized that Governor Cardoso through his policies has been steering Nigeria in the right direction.

Meanwhile, Gill noted that Nigeria is just in the beginning stage of reaping the benefits of these policies.

According to him, the country will need to sustain the momentum for a period of ten to seventeen years, before achieving the desired outcome.

He revealed that countries like India, Poland, Korea, and Norway have benefitted from the approach.

He said, “Implementing such a far-reaching reform is impossible without a solid political commitment from the top. The price of PMS has quadrupled since the subsidy cut, imposing terrible hardship across the breadth of Nigeria’s society.  

“The Central Bank has had to hike its policy by a huge 850 basis point, almost 9 percentage points in the last month to boost confidence in the naira and anchor inflationary expectations.  

“The Central Bank financing of fiscal deficit has finally ended, and Governor Cardoso has been putting Nigeria or helping to put Nigeria on the right course.”

“But this is only the beginning, Nigeria will need to stay the course for at least 10 to 17 years to transform its economy. If it does that, it will transform its economy.  

“And it will become an engine of growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. And he will help to transform Sub-Saharan Africa. It’s very difficult to do these things, but the rewards are massive.  

“This is the lesson from the last forty years as well as the experience of countries such as India, Poland, Korea and Norway,” Gill said. 

Investors King reported that on September 24, 2024, the apex bank announced another increase in its Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) to 27.25% from 26.75 percent.

The decision was made during the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting chaired by CBN Governor, Yemi Cardoso.

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Sanwo-Olu Unveils Lagos Red Line Rail For Commercial Operations

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The Governor of Lagos State, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, has officially unveiled the LMRT Red Line for commercial operations.

The governor said the Red Line is the second rail system to become operational in less than two years in the state.

The 27-kilometre Red Line has eight stations at Oyingbo, Yaba, Mushin, Oshodi, Ikeja, Agege, Iju, and Agbado.

The train service is projected to transport about 500,000 Lagosians daily as the schedule is increased, providing a viable means of commuting.

In a post on his verified social media handles on Tuesday, Sanwo-Olu warned against vandalisation of the project, saying his government wouldn’t tolerate the destruction of public property.

Sanwo-Olu wrote, “Dear Lagosians, today marks the launch of commercial operations of the LMRT Red Line, commencing passenger services from Agbado to Oyingbo.

“We’re on a mission to keep Lagos moving, and the Red Line is a key part of our vision to create a seamlessly connected city. It is also our second rail system to become operational in less than two years.

“Spanning 27, the Red Line has eight stations at Oyingbo, Yaba, Mushin, Oshodi, Ikeja, Agege, Iju, and Agbado. The train service is projected to transport about 500,000 Lagosians daily as we ramp up the schedule and provide a viable means of commuting.”

He added that daily passenger services will depart from Agbado at 6:00 AM, with the second train leaving Iju Station at 7:30 AM.

“Ensure you have your Cowry Card ready to board,” he noted.

He urged residents to treat the project with the respect it deserves, stressing that “vandalism or disruptions will not be tolerated.”

He said, “Together, we can ensure that our trains remain a safe and enjoyable experience for everyone.”

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