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Nigerians Will Suffer More if Petrol Subsidy is Removed, Says Oil Marketers

While the commodity is scarce in some parts of the country, the cost continues to rise in many states as Nigerians keep complaining over long queues and skyrocketing prices.

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The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) have alerted their fellow citizens to brace up for harder times once the Federal Government eventually commences the removal of subsidy on Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), popularly known as petrol.

This warning came as Nigerians, especially vehicle owners and those who often visit filling stations to purchase petrol face difficulties in getting the commodity.

While the commodity is scarce in some parts of the country, the cost continues to rise in many states as Nigerians keep complaining over long queues and skyrocketing prices.

Petrol users have continued to lament the scarcity and hike in price and blamed the Federal Government for their woes.

While the official price of petrol is pegged at N185, filling stations have been selling at higher prices even most buyers have to tip fuel attendants before purchasing the commodity.

Some buy between N200 and N450 across the country after spending hours at filling stations queuing to get the commodity.

Investors King had reported that the Federal Government was contemplating removing subsidy on petrol gradually even as the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed, had hinted that allocation for subsidy in the nation’s subsidy would cease in June this year.

Investors King recalls that the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari had promised to resuscitate the nation’s collapsed refinery but a few months to the end of his eight years in office, none of the country’s refineries is yet to pick up.

Nigerian oil marketers have expressed fear that Nigerians may buy petrol at higher rates if the subsidy is removed without concrete measures put in place by the Federal Government before its withdrawal.

According to IPMAN Secretary, Abuja-Suleja, Mohammed Shuaibu, a litre of petrol may be sold at the rate of N800 or even higher if petrol is subsidized and no painstaking measures are put in place beforehand.

Shuaibu said the situation would bring untold hardship on Nigerians, adding that it would not be realistic if the nation withdraws subsidy on a commodity is barely available.

While exonerating IPMAN from the problem of scarcity of fuel, the oil marketer asked the Federal Government to explain to Nigerians how the fuel supply crisis came to be.

He told the federal government to desist from blaming oil marketers for the unwholesome development in the oil sector, warning that a subsidy removal without appropriate measures that would ameliorate the harsh effects would make citizens suffer more.

While stressing that the oil market is not properly situated for healthy competition, Shuaibu stated that once the Dangote Refinery, a privately owned company kicks off, Nigerians would be exploited through it.

Revealing that the pipelines of the refinery were not even designed to run in any Nigerian state, he disclosed that the pipelines have been structured to run in neighbouring countries except for the one in the Lekki area of Lagos State.

For him, the absence of competition in the oil sector for oil refinery would give Dangote the opportunity to be the only supplier that would be calling the shot in the industry and that would not fetch Nigerians any good.

Shuaibu said the exploitation may not end until other private persons build refineries in the country and there is competition.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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