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Attracting Energy Investment into Nigeria

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green energy - Investors King

With over 36 billion barrels of oil and 200 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, Nigeria has emerged as one of Africa’s biggest energy sectors, attracting significant levels of investment and driving project developments across the entire energy value chain. However, with global capital expenditure tightening due to the COVID-19 pandemic and international finance trends shifting from fossil fuels to renewable resources, African hydrocarbon players such as Nigeria have found themselves competing for investment.

Speaking during the Nigeria country spotlight session at African Energy Week (AEW) 2021, key Nigerian players discussed how the country has positioned itself as an attractive investment destination in 2021 and beyond.

Panel participants included Dr Adedapo Odulaja, Governor of OPEC for Nigeria, and SA-IER, Ministry of Petroleum Resources of Nigeria; Akinwole Omoboriowo II, CEO, Genesis Energy; Kola Karim, Managing Director and CEO, Shoreline Energy International; Olakunle Williams, CEO, QSL-GP; Heine Melkevik, former Managing Director Equinor Nigeria and current Managing Director Business Development, Alta Trading UK Limited; and Lawal Musa, Energy Analyst at the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation.

Through a complete sectoral restructuring, and by capitalizing on progressive legislature and national energy policies to accelerate investment post-COVID-19, Nigeria has made a strong case for investment. Notably, through the passing of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) on 1 July 2021, Nigeria has taken significant steps to boost oil and gas output while enhancing the sector’s attractiveness for international investment. Comprising 16 Nigerian petroleum laws that outline the framework for petroleum activities, the PIB ensures an enabling environment for investors backed by a transparent and strengthened regulatory framework. At a time when the global energy sector is particularly competitive for foreign capital, the passing of the PIB serves to elevate Nigeria as an energy leader on the global stage.

“The reality is that Nigeria and Africa need more investment in the oil and gas space. The transition is good because you will invest in more renewables, but in order to industrialize we need to invest in oil and gas. It is a gradual and repetitive process. What will happen now is you will have a test again and again of the resolve and attitude of Nigeria. You need to take some risk, as this is a long-term game. The opportunities in Nigeria, from upstream to midstream to downstream are too big to ignore,” stated Melkevik.

Meanwhile, with the passing of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), Nigeria has enacted a complete overhaul of the administrative, regulatory and fiscal regime in the energy sector, restructuring key petroleum institutions in order to streamline processes and drive the country’s oil and gas industry expansion. As the country faces challenges of declining oil production from mature fields, coupled with the reduced capital expenditure climate brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, the PIA aims to enhance the sector’s attractiveness for foreign investment, ensuring a market-driven regulatory environment that will accelerate the country’s industry developments.

“Oil and gas is 90% of Nigeria’s foreign exchange rate. When you talk of ranking and importance regarding the government of Nigeria, it is the industry. Now with the PIA, the world knows it is open for business. What we have seen is the level of engagement being more robust and the value proposition is becoming clear in the markets,” stated Karim.

“It is not that the PIA will be a gamechanger, it is already a gamechanger and the game is already changing. In the weeks to come, everyone will see this. A lot of investors and people who want to invest in the industry are already looking critical and taking more of an interest in it,” stated Odulaja.

“The PIA proved a clear regulatory framework. For any interested candidates, if you are applying for a license, the PIA provides clear requirements and a timeframe by which you must have an answer. Immediately after the passage of the PIA, implementation was put in place. Within the PIA there was a clause to incorporate NNPC within 6 months and this was done in 1 month. This is a journey. It is a transitional journey and the government is focused,” stated Musa.

With a regulatory environment that places an emphasis on stability and transparency, the country is bound to see an influx in foreign capital and international company participation. In addition to driving domestic industry growth, the PIB and PIA both set an incredibly high standard for other resource-rich nations looking at expanding their energy sectors and attracting investment.

In addition to modernized regulatory frameworks, Nigeria has turned to national energy plans to accelerate development across the country. Notably, through the Decade of Gas initiative – a national strategy that aims to position gas at the forefront of the country’s energy agenda – Nigeria is making significant progress to incentivize investment and spur development. The Decade of Gas initiative was launched in conjunction with the country’s National Gas Expansion Program, whereby large-scale project developments have taken off across the country. Projects including the $2.8 billion, 614Km Ajaokuta-Kaduna-Kano (AKK) pipeline connecting the eastern, western, and northern regions of the country, as well as the construction of $10 billion Nigeria LNG Train 7 have all been driven by the country’s gas policies.

“We have made huge progress. Statistics show we are doing less than 10% flares, so we are doing very well. Before the PIA we already had policies in place to reduce flaring. Obviously, we cannot completely reduce flares but under the PIA there is a clear direction and policy in place,” stated Williams.

“Investing in any country is a serious endeavor. The law is now in place, but it is a work in progress. My encouragement is that the law has been passed, there is sufficient capital in the country. There are a lot of hotspots and there are more opportunities than issues. The government has created this wonderful environment for Nigerians to thrive in the energy space. We continue to emphasize that gas is good, gas will enable Africa to industrialize. We have to think of our great grandchildren and make plans for them,” stated Omoboriowo II.

Energy

Nigeria Targets $5bn Investments in Oil and Gas Sector, Says Government

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Nigeria is setting its sights on attracting $5 billion worth of investments in its oil and gas sector, according to statements made by government officials during an oil and gas sector retreat in Abuja.

During the retreat organized by the Federal Ministry of Petroleum Resources, Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, explained the importance of ramping up crude oil production and creating an environment conducive to attracting investments.

He highlighted the need to work closely with agencies like the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) to achieve these goals.

Lokpobiri acknowledged the challenges posed by issues such as insecurity and pipeline vandalism but expressed confidence in the government’s ability to tackle them effectively.

He stressed the necessity of a globally competitive regulatory framework to encourage investment in the sector.

The minister’s remarks were echoed by Mele Kyari, the Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPCL, who spoke at the 2024 Strategic Women in Energy, Oil, and Gas Leadership Summit.

Kyari stressed the critical role of energy in driving economic growth and development and explained that Nigeria still faces challenges in providing stable electricity to its citizens.

Kyari outlined NNPCL’s vision for the future, which includes increasing crude oil production, expanding refining capacity, and growing the company’s retail network.

He highlighted the importance of leveraging Nigeria’s vast gas resources and optimizing dividend payouts to shareholders.

Overall, the government’s commitment to attracting $5 billion in investments reflects its determination to revitalize the oil and gas sector and drive economic growth in Nigeria.

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Energy

Nigeria’s Rig Count Surges by 23% in February 2024

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Oil

In February 2024, Nigeria’s oil and gas exploration activities surged with rig count increasing by 23% compared to the previous year.

The rig count, a crucial index measuring upstream activities, climbed to 16 rigs from the 11 rigs recorded during the same period in 2023.

This leap in exploration activities comes as a positive development for Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, indicating growing momentum and investor confidence in the industry.

Gbenga Komolafe, Chief Executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), attributed this sustained surge to the positive impact of the recently enacted Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).

The PIA, with its provisions for institutional governance, efficient administration, and attractive fiscal regimes, has created a conducive environment for investment and operations in the country’s oil and gas sector.

Despite the remarkable increase in exploration activities, Nigeria’s crude oil production for the month declined to 1.32 million barrels per day (mbpd), compared to January’s output of 1.46 mbpd.

This decrease highlights the challenges faced by the Nigerian oil industry, including infrastructure constraints, security issues in oil-producing regions, and operational disruptions.

To further enhance exploration efforts, Komolafe announced a strategic partnership with TGS-Petrodata to acquire approximately 56,000 square kilometers of 3D Seismic Gravity data, focusing on the Niger Delta deep and Ultra Deep Offshore regions.

This initiative aims to mitigate risks associated with exploration in challenging environments, with investors financing the project and resulting revenues to be shared between the government and TGS.

Looking ahead, Komolafe expressed optimism about sustained growth in oil exploration activities throughout 2024, with plans for an upcoming oil licensing round, a critical step in implementing the nation’s PIA and driving further advancements in the oil and gas sector.

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Energy

NNPC Faces Mounting Subsidy Burden as Oil Prices Skyrocket

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Petrol - Investors King

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) is facing an increasingly daunting subsidy burden as oil prices continue to surge.

Investigation has revealed that escalating crude oil prices pose a significant challenge to Africa’s largest oil producer, placing immense pressure on the government’s finances and the state-owned NNPC.

Brent, the benchmark for Nigeria’s crude oil, has skyrocketed from an average of $77 in January to as high as $86 per barrel.

While this surge in oil prices could potentially boost funding for Nigeria’s 2024 budget, which is anchored on a benchmark of $77.96 per barrel, the country’s inability to meet production quotas hampers its capacity to capitalize on the revenue influx from oil sales.

One of the primary consequences of soaring oil prices is the ballooning petrol subsidy burden borne by the NNPC.

Despite the government’s imposition of a cap on petrol retail prices, the widening gap between the landing cost and the pump price necessitates substantial subsidies to sustain consumer affordability.

Charles Akinbobola, a Lagos-based energy analyst, elucidated that the combination of a higher exchange rate, elevated oil prices, and static petrol retail prices compounds the subsidy dilemma for Nigeria.

With the country’s limited refining capacity mandating the importation of all petroleum products, the subsidy burden further intensifies, straining NNPC’s resources.

The opacity surrounding the subsidy program, coupled with reports of NNPC’s utilization of Nigeria LNG dividends to fund petrol subsidies, raises concerns about transparency and accountability.

Faith Akinnagbe, an energy lawyer, emphasizes the urgency of disclosing NNPC’s subsidy expenditures to ensure public accountability and oversight.

As Nigeria grapples with the repercussions of surging oil prices, the NNPC faces an uphill battle in managing its burgeoning subsidy obligations amidst fiscal constraints and economic uncertainties.

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