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Power, Still in Need of a Leg-up – Coronation Merchant Bank

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Power shortages remain a prominent infrastructure gap in Nigeria. For businesses located in Nigeria, self-generation places pressure on operating expenses. Household wallets are also significantly affected by the same expense. The availability of power is a catalyst to boosting levels of industrial activity for economic development. The FGN estimates national energy demand at c.28,000 megawatts (MW).

Therefore, improving power sector performance, particularly in manufacturing and services will be central to unlocking economic growth post COVID-19. Several African countries suffer from insufficient electricity generation capacity as well as inadequate and poorly maintained transmission and distribution networks that significantly affect their socio-economic activities. Based on data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), in 2019, 81% of the African population had access to electricity in urban areas while only 37% had access to electricity in rural areas.

Turning to the Nigerian electricity landscape, according to the latest Tracking SDG7 report, about 89 million Nigerians (45% of the population) have no access to electricity. The World Bank estimates that Nigeria suffers an annual economic loss due to unreliable power supply at between 5-7% of the country’s GDP.

There is uncertainty around the exact number of back-up generators in the country. Some studies have estimated that Nigeria could have as much as 15,000MW installed capacity of power generators. Other studies have put the installed generator capacity in Lagos alone at around 16,000 MW. These generators range from small 0.5 KVA for a small kiosk to large 75 KVA / 60 kW generators servicing residential estates and industries across the country.

The Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) disclosed that the power sector recorded national peak generation of 3,844.3MW on 01 November ‘21, compared with 5,802MW recorded in 01 March ’21.

Metering remains a challenge. To attempt to solve this issue, the FGN plans to provide up to 4 million meters to Nigerians in the second phase of its National Mass Metering Programme (NMMP). The first phase of the initiative has led to the distribution of about 750,000 meters nationwide within eight months. This is an improvement with regards to installation speed given that the preceding Meter Asset Provider (MAP) programme recorded 350,000-meter installations in over 18 months.

According to the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Company (NBET), the electricity distribution companies (DISCOs) remitted revenues totalling N91.3bn to the NBET in Q2’21. This is a 22.6% decline from the N111.8bn recorded in the previous quarter. The decline in revenues from the 11 DISCOs can be partly attributed to poor power supply in Q2 ‘21. The decline in revenue can also be attributed to the high technical and commercial losses that have been exacerbated by energy theft as well as consumers’ apathy to payments under the prevailing practice of estimated billing.

A better energy mix of non-renewable and green energy will accelerate the process of attaining access to power for all. The FGN targets 30% of national energy to come from renewables by 2030. In April 2021, the FGN began implementing its plan to deliver electricity through solar energy to about 25 million Nigerians whose communities are off the national power grid through the Solar Power Naija programme. The initiative aims to create five million connections through a N140bn financing programme.

Furthermore, the European Union granted an additional EUR15m (USD17.4m) to fund the second phase of Nigeria’s renewable energy and energy efficiency sector under the Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP). Additionally, the Agence française de développement (AFD) recently invested c.USD70m to fund renewable energy and efficient energy projects in the country to bridge the nation’s power needs and reduce environmental pollution. The AFD fund could guarantee electricity supply to c.80 million Nigerians affected by power shortages.

The lack of reliable power supply has stifled economic activity, private investments, and job creation. An industrial take-off, which will be supported by improved power supply, is required if Nigeria is to achieve sustainable double-digit GDP growth. Forward steps should also be taken to modernise power infrastructure (with particular emphasis on transmission), reduce the Aggregate, Technical, Commercial and Collection (ATC&C) losses, as well as increase transparency and contract enforceability through enhanced regulatory oversight.

Increased investments targeted towards boosting renewable energy generation would also assist with increasing productivity in sectors like agriculture and manufacturing.

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Nigeria’s N3.3tn Power Sector Rescue Package Unveiled

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President Bola Tinubu has given the green light for a comprehensive N3.3 trillion rescue package.

This ambitious initiative seeks to tackle the country’s mounting power sector debts, which have long hindered the efficiency and reliability of electricity supply across the nation.

The unveiling of this rescue package represents a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s quest for a sustainable energy future. With power outages being a recurring nightmare for both businesses and households, the need for decisive action has never been more urgent.

At the heart of the rescue package are measures aimed at settling the staggering debts accumulated within the power sector. President Tinubu has approved a phased approach to debt repayment, encompassing cash injections and promissory notes.

This strategic allocation of funds aims to provide immediate relief to power-generating companies (Gencos) and gas suppliers, while also ensuring long-term financial stability within the sector.

Chief Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, revealed details of the rescue package at the 8th Africa Energy Marketplace held in Abuja.

Speaking at the event themed, “Towards Nigeria’s Sustainable Energy Future,” Adelabu emphasized the government’s commitment to eliminating bottlenecks and fostering policy coherence within the power sector.

One of the key highlights of the rescue package is the allocation of funds from the Gas Stabilisation Fund to settle outstanding debts owed to gas suppliers.

This critical step not only addresses the immediate liquidity concerns of gas companies but also paves the way for enhanced cooperation between gas suppliers and power generators.

Furthermore, the rescue package includes provisions for addressing the legacy debts owed to power-generating companies.

By utilizing future royalties and income streams from the gas sub-sector, the government aims to provide a sustainable solution that incentivizes investment in power generation capacity.

The announcement of the N3.3 trillion rescue package comes amidst ongoing efforts to revitalize Nigeria’s power sector.

Recent initiatives, including tariff adjustments and regulatory reforms, underscore the government’s determination to overcome longstanding challenges and enhance the sector’s effectiveness.

However, challenges persist, as highlighted by Barth Nnaji, a former Minister of Power, who emphasized the need for a robust transmission network to support increased power generation.

Nnaji’s advocacy for a super grid underscores the importance of infrastructure development in ensuring the reliability and stability of Nigeria’s power supply.

In light of these developments, stakeholders have welcomed the unveiling of the N3.3 trillion rescue package as a decisive step towards transforming Nigeria’s power sector.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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