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Stock Market Bubble Fears Overblown, Micro-bubbles Are the Issues

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stock bear - Investors King

Stock Market Bubble Fears Overblown, Micro-bubbles Are the Issues

Concerns over a large stock market bubble are currently overblown – it’s the micro-bubbles that could pose more imminent risks to investors, warns the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations.

The warning from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of deVere Group, comes as global shares reached almost record highs on Monday.

MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries, was up 0.2% on the day.

Mr Green says: “As stocks hit historic highs, there are fears that the boom we’re currently experiencing could end in a bust, similar to the dot-com era.

“For the time being, we believe that concerns over a large stock market bubble are overblown. To understand the reasoning, we need to look at why markets are valued so high at the moment.

“Essentially, it is down to the unprecedented levels of monetary and fiscal support, the ultra-low bond yields, the historically low interest rates, that earnings are up, and that both institutional and retail investors have large reserves of excess cash.

“This is a rare combination and, on the back of all this, it can be expected to take years for markets to cool significantly.”

He continues: “What is perhaps more concerning are micro-bubbles of a small group of stocks that consistently rush to new highs and reject all balanced valuations.

“Hyper growth stocks, which often lure in Do-It Yourself investors with their headline-grabbing current performance, at the moment appear to have no ceiling.

“However, highly profitable incumbents in their sectors could soon bring the ‘story stocks’ back down to earth, with their valuations headed for a meaningful correction.”

Another major risk of micro-bubble stocks, says the deVere boss, is that they overshadow the potential of new stocks and sectors, with investors subsequently missing key low entry point opportunities.

“There are also new businesses emerging which people, including myself, see as the future. Not all of these will succeed, of course, whilst some will rocket,” he notes.

Therefore, investors should work alongside a good fund manager to seek out those stocks most likely to generate and build their wealth over the long-term.

Nigel Green concludes: “In today’s landscape, it is not the macro-bubble of which investors should be wary.

“Any potential bursting of bubbles is likely to be within specific stocks, so unlikely to rock the global financial markets as has happened previously – but individual investors could still be caught off-guard.

“Micro-bubble spotting, and diversification across asset class, sector, region and even currency, should become a priority for investors right now.”

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Stock Market Gains N230 Billion Last Week

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited gained N230 billion last week as more stocks closed in the green.

The market value of listed stocks and the Nigerian Exchange Limited All-Share Index expanded by 1.11 percent to close the week at N20.41 trillion and 39.156.28 index points, respectively.

Investors traded 1.06 billion shares valued at N12.8 billion in 17,854 transactions during the week, against a total of 1.08 billion shares worth N9.55 billion were traded in 17,933 transactions in the previous week.

In terms of volume traded, the financial services industry led the activity table with 714.677 million shares estimated at N5.95 billion traded in 9,718 transactions. Therefore, contributing 67.53 percent and 46.38 percent to the total equity turnover volume and value traded, respectively.

This was followed by the consumer goods industry with 97.18 million shares estimated at N3.29 billion in 3,006 transactions.

In third place was the ICT industry with a turnover of 75.99 million shares valued at N583.72 million in 679 deals.

The top three most traded stocks (measured by volume) were Zenith Bank Plc, Sterling Bank Plc and Fidelity Bank Plc. The three accounted for 261.34 million shares valued at N2.71 billion and traded in 2,862 deals. The top three most traded equities in the week contributed 24.70 percent and 21.13 percent to the total equity turnover volume and value.

During the week, 35 stocks closed in the green, against 33 posted in the previous week. A total of 36 equities rose as against 33 equities in the previous week, while 89 equities remained unchanged as against 94 in the previous week.

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Nigerian Equities Market Establishes Bullish Trend

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stock bull - Investors King

The equities market in Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria, extended its bullish trend on Thursday as the Exchange closed in the green amid rising renewed interest in the market.

Investors traded 158.366 million shares valued at N2.236 billion in 3,330 transactions during the trading hours of Thursday.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited All-Share Index gained 0.10 percent to close at 39,210.1 index points while the market value of all stocks grew to N20.437 trillion on Thursday.

The renewed interest followed weeks of bearish trends that trailed the market amid a broad-based profit-taking that encompasses the market after a prolonged bullish trend recorded in 2020 and Q1 2021 despite COVID-19.

Link Assurance led gainers with 9.09 percent to settle at N0.60 per share. This was followed by PZ’s 7.14 percent to close the day at N6 per share. See the details below.

Top Gainers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
LINKASSURE N 0.55 N 0.60 0.05 9.09 %
PZ N 5.60 N 6.00 0.40 7.14 %
CHAMS N 0.20 N 0.21 0.01 5.00 %
MAYBAKER N 4.00 N 4.20 0.20 5.00 %
UNILEVER N 12.10 N 12.70 0.60 4.96 %

Top Losers 

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
CWG N 1.25 N 1.13 -0.12 -9.60 %
CHIPLC N 0.78 N 0.71 -0.07 -8.97 %
ABCTRANS N 0.40 N 0.37 -0.03 -7.50 %
WAPIC N 0.59 N 0.55 -0.04 -6.78 %
MBENEFIT N 0.46 N 0.43 -0.03 -6.52 %

Top Trades

Symbols Volume Value
ZENITHBANK 27323705.00 629220680.00
STERLNBANK 22023242.00 35086591.92
UBA 21687325.00 154234967.20
TRANSCORP 9154104.00 8153516.30
CHAMS 8320326.00 1679156.18

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Airtel Africa Announces Default Currency Exchange Rates for Final Dividend

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Airtel Financial Results - Investors King

Airtel Africa on Thursday announced the default currency and options on currency election for the proposed 2.5 cents per ordinary share final dividend recommended by the Board.

The leading telecommunications and mobile money services company said the currency exchange rates that will be applicable in determination of the final dividend payment to any shareholders that qualify for and have elected to receive the final dividend payment in U.S. dollars, GB pounds or Nigerian naira will be as follows:

Arrangements for Shareholders that hold their shares on the London Stock Exchange (LSE):

• Shareholders that hold their shares on the London Stock Exchange may elect to receive their entire dividend payment in GB pounds or U.S. dollars.

• Partial elections are not permissible.

• Holders electing to receive a dividend should specify a choice of currency by completing the Currency Election Form and return to Computershare Investor Services plc.

• Shareholders holding their shares on the LSE who do not indicate their currency of choice before 12 July 2021 will receive their dividends in U.S. dollars.

• The closing date for the dividend currency election to the Company’s Registrars Computershare Investor Services plc in the UK is 12 July 2021.

• Currency election forms can be obtained by contacting the Company’s Registrars, Computershare Investor Services plc, on the Company’s dedicated telephone line: +44 (0)370 7030027.

Arrangements for Shareholders that hold their shares on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX):

• Shareholders that hold their shares on the Nigerian Exchange Limited may elect to receive their entire dividend payment in Nigerian naira or U.S. dollars.

• Partial elections are not permissible.

• Holders electing to receive a dividend in U.S. dollars should complete the Currency Election Form and return to Coronation Registrars Limited or email to eforms@coronationregistrars.com.

• Shareholders holding their shares on the NGX who do not indicate their currency of choice before 12 July 2021 will receive their dividends in Nigerian naira.

• The closing date for the dividend currency election to the Company’s Registrars Coronation Registrars Limited in Nigeria is 12 July 2021.

• Currency election forms can found on the website of the Company’s Registrar www.coronationregistrars.com or this direct link: https://coronationregistrars.com/currencyelection-form/

The following currency exchange rate will be applicable in the determination of the final dividend payment to any shareholders that qualify for and have elected to receive the final dividend payment:

Exchange Rate

1 USD = 410.95 Nigerian naira
1 USD = 0.7068 GB pounds

The exchange rate for the Nigerian naira or GB pounds amounts payable was determined by reference to the exchange rates applicable to the U.S. dollar available on 9 June 2021.

 

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