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MPC Sees Holding Interest Rate at 13.5%



Interbank rate
  • MPC Sees Holding Interest Rate at 13.5%

Analysts are predicting that the Central Bank of Nigeria will leave the interest rate unchanged at 13.5 percent during the two days Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) starting today in Abuja.

Nigeria’s inflation rate moderated from 11.44 percent to 11.22 percent in June, suggesting that prices of goods are starting to reflect recent stability in the foreign exchange market due to the CBN’s intermittent forex intervention at various segments of the market.

Still, foreign direct investment remained low despite the CBN refuting Reuters’ declaration of 40 percent drop in FDI in 2018, the overall performance was below Ghana and other African countries perceived more economically stable than Nigeria.

Therefore, with the U.S Federal Reserve expected to announce a possible rate cut in three days time, Nigerian market experts are projecting that the CBN Monetary Policy Committee will leave interest rates unchanged at the current level to attract global investors that are likely to abandon U.S. assets for emerging economies with reasonable growth.

While it is not certain foreign investors will eventually jump on Nigerian instruments given lack of economic team months after the general elections, it is the only available option to prop up FDI and sustain the foreign reserves in a period when global growth is projected to slow amid trade wars and unrest in the Middle East, Venezuela, Libya etc.

Analysts at Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) said: “The MPC will maintain the current status quo of 13.5 percent benchmark rate and a cash reserve ratio of 22.5 percent.”

“The decision would be premised on rising inflation rate which is above the CBN’s single digit, lower crude oil prices, slow economic growth and the increase in import duty charge,” said the analysts at the Bismarck Rewane-led FDC.

However, analysts at FSDH sees an additional 50 basis points reduction. They said given CBN new position to stimulate economic growth and compel lenders to increase credit facility to the private sector, it is possible the CBN ‘oversee’ MPC will lower interest rates to sustain its ongoing policy, LDR of 60 percent, SDF to N2 billion and caping lenders bills purchase.

“We think the CBN will reduce rates by 50 basis points, given that inflation has slowed further, and exchange rate has remained stable,” said analysts at investment and merchant banking firm, FSDH.

Experts at Investors King said global happenings will prevent MPC from cutting rates twice in the last one year when economic metrics remain the same and in some cases worst.

They predicted that MPC will maintain current interest rates to sustain capital importation, especially when developed economies are projected to lower rates in coming days.

The experts, who had predicted in November 2018 that Nigeria will have to maintain a reasonably high monetary policy rate to remain attractive to investors in 2019, said their position has not changed.

“To sustain capital importation despite falling oil prices and almost stagnant oil output, the central bank has to maintain high monetary policy rate to remain attractive to investors and curb inflation rate while simultaneously sustaining forex intervention.”

The analysts noted that a healthy FDI will sustain the nation’s foreign reserves, curb inflation rate – cost-pull inflation and support the Naira.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.


France, Nigeria to Build New Partnership



France is currently aiming at building a new partnership with Nigeria, with the dispatching of its Minister in charge of Foreign Trade and Attractiveness, Franck Riester, to Nigeria.

Riester, who was expected at the time of filing this report on Monday, is scheduled to visit Nigeria from 12-14 April, 2021.

A statement from the French Embassy in Nigeria said: “Franck Riester is visiting Nigeria from 12 to 14 April, a visit that follows up on the priorities set by French President Emmanuel Macron during his official visit to Nigeria in July 2018 and his desire to build a new partnership between Africa and France.

“As the largest economy in Africa and the economic engine of West Africa, Nigeria is indeed a major partner for France, the first in sub-Saharan Africa with bilateral trade amounting to a total of 4.5 billion USD in 2019 (2.3 billion USD in 2020, due to the Covid-19 pandemic).”

It disclosed that the minister will have several official meetings in Abuja and Lagos, in order to underline the importance of the bilateral economic relationship and to prepare the summit on the financing of African economies in Paris on 18 May.

It revealed that the objective of the mission is also to further strengthen the links between the French and Nigerian private sectors, and “in this regard, the minister will have in-depth discussions with the main Nigerian economic actors to strengthen bilateral cooperation and investments, both in Nigeria and in France, particularly in the logistics sector”.

It said while in the country, the minister would meet with young Nigerian entrepreneurs in the cultural and creative industries sector, to discuss the major role of their country in African creativity and the development of the African entrepreneurial ecosystem, with the support of France.

It further said: “The minister will also open the ‘Choose Africa’ conference, a €3.5 billion initiative by President Emmanuel Macron dedicated to supporting the development of start-ups and SMEs in Africa to enable the continent to benefit fully from the opportunities of the digital revolution.”

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COVID-19: USAID to Provide $3m Grant, Technical Assistance to Combat Food Insecurity in Nigeria



The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) is providing financial grant and technical assistance worth $3 million to combat food insecurity in Nigeria compounded by COVID-19 pandemic.

A statement by the agency on Monday said: “On April 12, 2021, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) in Nigeria launched a COVID-19 Food Security Challenge that will provide $3 million in grant funding and technical assistance to youth-led and mid-stage companies working in food value chains in Nigeria.”

The statement lamented that Nigeria is experiencing food insecurity compounded by the COVID-19 global pandemic and its effects on the food value chain in the country.

It stated that the pandemic has disrupted the already fragile agricultural value chains, especially smallholder farmers’ ability to produce, process and distribute food, which has disrupted agricultural productivity and markets, and negatively impacted livelihoods, especially among vulnerable households, women and youth.

The USAID Mission Director, Anne Patterson, said: “We are launching the COVID-19 Food Security Challenge to help innovative Nigerians alleviate food insecurity.

“This assistance encourages private sector-led solutions to boost food production, processing and create market linkage along the agriculture value chain in a sustainable way across Nigeria.”

The statement revealed that in launching the challenge, USAID seeks commercially viable youth-led and mid-stage companies already working in food production, processing, and distribution, noting that successful applicants will present ideas that demonstrably help farmers and other stakeholders in the agricultural value chain increase, agricultural productivity and food security within the next six months.

According to the statement, the challenge will award 15 to 25 youth-led companies up to $75,000 each and award 10 to 15 mid-stage companies up to $150,000 each.

Winners will receive funding and technical assistance to rapidly expand their activities to mitigate the effect of COVID-19 on Nigeria’s food value chain and improve the resilience of vulnerable households to the negative impacts of the pandemic.

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FG Plans to Deliver Solar Energy to 25M Nigerians



The Nigerian federal government has commenced its plan to deliver electricity through solar energy to Nigerians whose communities are off the national power grid.

Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, who spoke during an event to mark the programme in Jangefe, Roni Local Government Area of Jigawa State, restated the determination of the President Muhammadu Buhari administration to give more Nigerians access to cheap and environmentally friendly renewable power.

Osinbajo said the Solar Power Naija programme would continue across the six geopolitical zones in six states, namely, Edo, Lagos, Adamawa, Anambra, Kebbi and Plateau, in the first phase, and then move to the entire 36 states and the nation’s capital, thus, covering 25 million Nigerians at completion.

Jangefe community got 1,000 solar home system connections for its about 5,000 population, as part of a 100,000 scheme, with a local solar power company implementing aspects of the scheme.

According to Osinbajo, the president had emphasised that Nigeria could no longer rely solely on the grid if government is to electrify the whole country, which meant that an effective strategy had to be developed for decentralising power supply.

The Solar Power Naija programme, which is designed by the Rural Electrification Agency (REA), is an ambitious initiative that aims to create five million connections through a N140 billion financing programme that will support private developers to provide power for five million households, which means providing electricity for up to 25 million Nigerians.

The vice president disclosed that the programme was a Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangement supported by concessionary lending via the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and commercial banks. He emphasised that structures had been put in place to make the cost of the connections affordable for the target communities.

In addition to the concessionary lending rates, Osinbajo explained that the government had provided subsidies and rebates for private developers to the tune of over $200 million under the REA and World Bank Nigeria electrification programme.

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