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India, Nigeria’s Biggest Trading Partner in Q3 2018 – NBS

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  • India, Nigeria’s Biggest Trading Partner in Q3 2018 – NBS

India was Nigeria’s biggest trading partner in the third quarter of 2018, gulping N719.2bn of crude and N37.7bn of natural gas exports from the country. India also bought cashew nuts worth N4.7bn.

The News Agency of Nigeria stated that the latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics, covering July, August and September, showed that Nigeria imported motorcycles and tricycles worth N29.2bn from the Asian country. Other imports were medicines such as antibiotics to the value of N7bn, agricultural machines worth N3.6bn, dried vegetables valued at N3.6bn and treated mosquito nets worth N3.4bn.

The NBS also listed Spain, France, Netherlands and China as Nigeria’s major trading partners in the report titled ‘Commodity Price Index and Terms of Trade for third quarter, 2018.’

Spain was the second biggest buyer of Nigeria’s crude after India. The European country bought crude worth N463bn and liquified natural gas valued at N52.7bn.

Nigeria also shipped leather valued at N4.3bn and cocoa paste worth N300m to the country. In return, Nigeria imported petrol or premium motor spirit at N25.7bn, bitumen N3.7bn and petrochemical products N3.4bn.

France was Nigeria’s third biggest trading partner, the NBS figures showed.

France bought N422.5bn crude and N74.2bn LNG and N1.1bn of soya bean oil from Nigeria during the period. Nigeria imported petrol worth N54.6bn and lubricating oil, worth N16.1bn.

Netherlands was also a major importer of Nigeria’s crude as it bought N260.7bn worth of crude in third quarter.

It also bought LNG valued at N5.6bn, cocoa beans N2.9bn and frozen shrimps and prawns N1.9bn.

Nigeria imported from the Netherlands petrol valued at N337.2bn; gas oil, N48.2bn; medical equipment N36.7bn and medicines, such as antibiotics worth N9.5bn.

China, the fifth important country to Nigeria in terms of trade bought crude worth N24.5bn, gas that includes LNG and butane worth N48.6bn. Nigeria imported chips worth N14.6bn from China, herbicides N14bn, motorcycles N12bn, vehicle chassis N10bn, iron and steel N10bn.

The NBS said all products Terms of Trade index rose by 0.52 per cent during the period under review.

TOT is the relative price of imports in terms of exports and is defined as the ratio of export prices to import prices.

It can be interpreted as the amount of import goods an economy can purchase per unit of export goods.

The NBS said the increase in the TOT was driven by prices of prepared foodstuffs; beverages, spirits and vinegar; tobacco, footwear, headgear, umbrellas, sunshades and whips, among others.

According to the report, the all commodity group import price index decreased in the period under review by 1.76 per cent.

It stated that the decrease was due to change in prices of vegetable products.

In addition, the report stated that the all commodity group export price index rose by 1.26 per cent in the quarter under review.

This, it stated, was driven by prices of prepared foodstuffs, beverages, spirits and vinegar, tobacco, footwear, headgear, umbrellas, sunshades and whips, among others.

It further stated that all region group export index rose by 1.05 per cent as a result of trade with Asia.

According to the report, the all region group import index rose by 1.22 per cent as a result of trade with Oceania and Asian regions.

It stated that all regional terms of trade rose marginally by 0.10 per cent as a result of trade with Asia and other African countries.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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