Connect with us

Forex

RBA Leaves Rate Unchanged at 1.5%

Published

on

The Reserve Bank Of Australia
  • RBA Leaves Rate Unchanged at 1.5%

The Reserve Bank of Australia left cash rate unchanged at 1.50 percent on Tuesday.

The global economic expansion is continuing. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. Growth in China has slowed a little, with the authorities easing policy while continuing to pay close attention to the risks in the financial sector. Globally, inflation remains low, although it has increased in some economies and further increases are expected given the tight labour markets. One ongoing uncertainty regarding the global outlook stems from the direction of international trade policy in the United States.

Financial conditions remain expansionary, although they are gradually becoming less so in some countries. There has been a broad-based appreciation of the US dollar this year. In Australia, money-market interest rates are higher than they were at the start of the year, although they have declined somewhat since the end of June. These higher money-market rates have not fed through into higher interest rates on retail deposits. Some lenders have increased mortgage rates by small amounts, although the average mortgage rate paid is lower than a year ago.

The Bank’s central forecast is for growth of the Australian economy to average a bit above 3 per cent in 2018 and 2019. In the first half of 2018, the economy is estimated to have grown at an above-trend rate. Business conditions are positive and non-mining business investment is expected to increase. Higher levels of public infrastructure investment are also supporting the economy, as is growth in resource exports. One continuing source of uncertainty is the outlook for household consumption. Household income has been growing slowly and debt levels are high. The drought has led to difficult conditions in parts of the farm sector.

Australia’s terms of trade have increased over the past couple of years due to rises in some commodity prices. While the terms of trade are expected to decline over time, they are likely to stay at a relatively high level. The Australian dollar remains within the range that it has been in over the past two years on a trade-weighted basis, but it has depreciated against the US dollar along with most other currencies.

The outlook for the labour market remains positive. The unemployment rate has fallen to 5.3 per cent, the lowest level in almost six years. The vacancy rate is high and there are reports of skills shortages in some areas. A further gradual decline in the unemployment rate is expected over the next couple of years to around 5 per cent. Wages growth remains low, although it has picked up a little recently. The improvement in the economy should see some further lift in wages growth over time, although this is likely to be a gradual process.

Inflation is around 2 per cent. The central forecast is for inflation to be higher in 2019 and 2020 than it is currently. In the interim, once-off declines in some administered prices in the September quarter are expected to result in headline inflation in 2018 being a little lower, at 1¾ per cent.

Conditions in the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets have continued to ease and nationwide measures of rent inflation remain low. Housing credit growth has declined to an annual rate of 5½ per cent. This is largely due to reduced demand by investors as the dynamics of the housing market have changed. Lending standards are also tighter than they were a few years ago, partly reflecting APRA’s earlier supervisory measures to help contain the build-up of risk in household balance sheets. There is competition for borrowers of high credit quality.

The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Naira

Naira to Dollar Exchange Rate Dips to N707 at the Black Market

The Nigerian Naira exchanged at N707 to a United States Dollar on the black market, a N2 decline from N705 it traded on Tuesday.

Published

on

NAIRA - Investors King

The Naira to Dollar exchange rate remained under pressure as of Wednesday, September 14, 2022, amid Nigeria’s persistent foreign exchange scarcity.

The Nigerian Naira exchanged at N707 to a United States Dollar on the black market, a N2 decline from N705 it traded on Tuesday.

At the Investors & Exporters (I&E) forex window, the Naira opened at N434.75 against the United States Dollar on Tuesday before shedding 0.11% to N436.04. Currency traders at the window (I&E) traded $83.71 million worth of currency on Tuesday.

At the Central Bank of Nigeria‘s (CBN) managed interbank forex section, the Naira was sold at N428.81 to a U.S Dollar on Tuesday. The Pounds Sterling – Naira exchange rate was  N502.9512 while the Euro traded at N436.4857.

Crude Oil

Oil prices traded lower on Wednesday as uncertainty surrounding interest rates continues to dictate demands for the commodity.

The brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dipped to $92.83 a barrel while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil shed 0.37% to $86.99 a barrel.

On Tuesday, U.S. data showed the inflation rate rose to 8.3% in the month of August, a strong indication that inflation pressures remain stubborn in the world’s largest economy. This coupled with European Central Bank’s comments that it will continue to raise interest rates to curb rising prices weighed on oil prices on Wednesday.

Energy investors have started lowering the outlook projections, saying rising prices would impact demand for the commodity as global economic growth slowdown.

Cryptocurrency

Like every other asset, cryptocurrency extended its decline on Wednesday ahead of Ethereum merge and transition from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake.

Bitcoin, the world’s most dominant cryptocurrency lost 3.25% to N14.65 million, or $20,250.25 per coin. While Eth, the token of the Ethereum protocol appreciated by 0.41% to N1.131 million or $1,597 a coin.

Earlier this week, cryptocurrency appreciated across the board. However, the reports that there is an arrest warrant against Do Kwon, the co-founder of the now defunct stablecoin issuer Terraform Labs, from the financial crimes unit of the Supreme Prosecutors’ Office of South Korea weighed on the cryptocurrency outlook.

 

Continue Reading

Naira

CBN Uses $7.6 Billion to Defend the Nigerian Naira in Five Months

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said a total sum of $7.6 billion was used to defend the Nigerian Naira in the first five months of the year.

Published

on

Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said a total sum of $7.6 billion was used to defend the Nigerian Naira in the first five months of the year.

The bank stated in its recent monthly economic report accessed by Investors King.

In January, February and March, CBN intervened in the forex markets with $1.65 billion, $1.39 billion and $1.82 billion, respectively. This continues in the months of April and May.

The apex bank pumped $1.56 billion into the economy in April and expended another $1.318 billion in May to prop up the value of the Nigerian Naira against its global counterparts.

Despite the $7.6 billion, or N3.25 trillion (using the official exchange rate) spent in sustaining the Naira value, the local currency has shed over 100% of its value this year alone and it is presently being exchanged at over N700 to a United States Dollar at the black market.

Nigeria has official exchange rates used by the CBN and the Deposit Money Banks (DMBs), and the unofficial exchange rates, popularly available, at the black market — the main forex section patronise by most Nigerians in need of forex for various reasons.

At the CBN interbank foreign exchange section, the Nigerian Naira was sold at N428.1 to a United States Dollar to DMBs allowed to deal directly with the CBN. Presently, the Naira is exchanged at N710 to a United States Dollar on the black market. Suggesting that the unofficial rate is 65.84% higher than the CBN official rate. 

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have advised Nigeria to stabilise and unify its exchange rates.

Investors King earlier reported that the World Bank President, David Malpass admonished Nigeria on currency stabilisation when he met with the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo last week in the United States. 

Talking about the issue, Malpass stressed the economic benefits of unifying the exchange rates and the significance of stabilisation to Nigerians.

He disclosed that a unified exchange rate will significantly improve the business-enabling environment in Nigeria, attract foreign direct investment, and reduce inflation. 

Malpass also advised Nigeria on the importance of increasing its domestic revenue by enlarging the country’s tax net through improved efficiency in tax administration. 

Continue Reading

Naira

Naira Likely To Weaken Further; Says Nigeria Finance Minister

Nigerian Naira will decline even further despite losing over 100% of its value since President Muhammadu Buhari came to power.

Published

on

Naira - Investors King

Nigeria’s Finance Minister, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed has said the Nigerian Naira will decline even further despite losing over 100% of its value since President Muhammadu Buhari came to power.

The minister disclosed this in an interview granted in Egypt and monitored by Investors King.

This is coming amid the scarcity of foreign exchange, widespread insecurity, increased unemployment and high inflation which has increased to 19.64 percent on a year-to-year basis in July.

Investors King had reported that the prices of goods and services in Nigeria rose to a 17-year high in July 2022, pushing the Consumer Price Index which measures the inflation rate to a 19.64% high, the highest since September 2005 when inflation peaked at 24.32 percent. 

Nigeria’s currency has been on a free fall against its global counterparts this year. On the black market, the exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar stood at N708/$1 on Friday, 9th September 2022. Naira traded against the dollar at the same price on Thursday. 

However, the exchange rate at the official Investors and Exporters window dipped further to close at N436.32/$ on Thursday.

Meanwhile, forex supply fell marginally by 54.4% to $37.5 million when compared to $82.23 million which was traded at the official market on Thursday.

While on the cryptocurrency peer-to-peer market, specifically on Binance, the dollar traded at the rate of N705.30/$. 

The country’s foreign reserve stood at a gross of $39.43 billion and a liquid of $39.18 billion. 

Nigeria which is widely acclaimed as Africa’s largest economy, however, saw its currency “Naira”  rated as the 11th worst performing currency in the world and fourth in Africa

Overall in Africa, the Zimbabwean dollar which has lost 99.33 percent of its value, was rated as the worst performing currency in Africa and the second in the world. Venezuela’s Bolivar was the worst-performing currency against the dollar with a depreciation rate of 99.39 percent. 

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending