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Banks and Collateral for Corporate Loans

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Loan - Investors King
  • Banks and Collateral for Corporate Loans

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) the other day released its Credit Conditions Survey Report (CCSR) for the first quarter (Q1) of 2018. Arising from the CCSR are some issues of interest.

The first is the finding that, “more collateral requirements were demanded from all firm sizes on approved new loan application in Q1 2018. Similarly, lenders will demand for more collateral from all firm sizes in the next quarter.” Banks’ demand for more collateral will certainly adversely affect granting of credits to individuals and firms in the economy with consequences for economic/business activities in the economy. As is well known in inability of prospective borrowers to provide acceptable collateral has always been a major hindrance to accessing credit facilities from banks, especially as the law (Section 20(2) BOFIA, 1991, as amended) requires loans of N50,000.00 and above to be collaterised. It can easily be imagined that the increased demand for collateral may not be unconnected with the inclement, uncertain and risky business and social environment. Banks, conscious that the loans they grant are from customers’ deposits which they are under obligation to repay on demand, are finding ways to hedge against loan defaults.

The question that must be asked is, are all the huge non-performing credits banks have failed to recover, even with the help of Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON), not collaterised? If they are not, that means banks have been contravening section 20(2) of BOFIA. If the loans were collaterised, what role has such collateral played in their recovery? Yes, collateral is good to be taken but it must not and should not be seen by banks as the first line of protective guard against loan default. Banks should therefore, concentrate more on making credits available to businesses and other persons with proven capacity, from cash-flow and business sustainability, to repay.

The second is that, “Overall availability of credit to the corporate sector increased in Q1 2018 and was expected to increase in Q2 2018.” This goes against the usual lamentations by corporate organisations about non-availability or inadequacy of credit in the economy. CBN’s indication of not just increased credit availability in Q1 of 2018 but that the rising trend was expected to continue in Q2 is good news for the economy as more investible funds are available to be deployed. Perhaps, it was as a result of this that CBN found that the “Demand for corporate lending from all business sizes increased in the current quarter and were also expected to increase in the next quarter.” If the available funds are properly deployed, the economy would witness improved productivity, employment and poverty reduction, among other benefits.

The third concern is that ‘”Demand for secured lending for house purchase decreased in Q1 2018. However, more lenders expect demand for secured lending to increase in the next quarter”. This has implications for meeting housing needs of the citizens. As has been variously pointed out by the government, the need to provide proper residential accommodation for Nigerians is very acute. Although CBN has predicted increase in the demand for housing credit in Q2, the prevailing economic and political environment hardly supports that optimism. Consequently, given the importance of housing as a basic human need, efforts should be made to uncover the reasons behind the decrease in demand for personal housing loan with a view to tackling identified impediment(s). Further, the basis for CBN’s optimism for increased demand should be identified and evaluated to appreciate the feasibility of attaining the expected increase.

The fourth issue is that: “Total unsecured loan performance to households, as measured by default rates, deteriorated in Q1 2018 but is expected to improve in the next quarter.” If the cases of loan default “deteriorated” in Q1, it is not clear from CBN’s report what would bring about improvement in Q2. No doubt, high unemployment, high interest rate and foreign exchange rates, non-payment of debts owed to contractors and salaries of employees by most governments and high cost of basic human needs, are some of the key causes of households’ credit defaults. Except there will be significant improvement in these and other similar factors, loan defaults by individuals are likely to increase.

The fifth is that, “Demand for overdraft/personal loans in Q1 2018 was higher in comparison with other loan types.” Thus, of all credit types demanded in Q1 2018, overdraft/personal loans, accounted for a higher proportion. This suggests that businesses and individuals relied more on short-term credit accommodations to meet their financial commitments. It further suggests that fund users/investors were not interested in making medium to long-term investments. This perhaps, justifies CBN’s assertion that the demand for lending in Q1 was significantly influenced by the increase in inventory. Overdraft finance is essentially for short-term working capital needs and not for medium or long-term investments. This country, more than anything, needs more of medium to long-term investments for meaningful economic growth to be achieved. The factors that impede such investments should be unearthed and addressed.

The sixth is that “Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR on approved new loan applications for all business sizes widened in Q1 2018, and were expected to widen for all business sizes except for small businesses in Q2 2018.” This situation is unhealthy for the survival and growth of businesses and indeed, contributes to loan default by borrowers. Every effort should be made by CBN and banks to reduce the spread between bank rates and Monetary Policy Rates (MPR) in order to reduce financing cost for businesses.

It is pertinent to highlight CBN’s statements that “the most significant factors that influenced demand for lending in the reviewed quarter were increase in inventory finance and capital investment, and they were expected to remain the main drivers in the next quarter” while “the driving forces for overall availability of increased credit to corporate sector were brighter economic outlook, changing sector-specific risks, changing appetite for risk, tight wholesale funding conditions and market share objectives.”

Finally, it is commendable that CBN has taken interest in studying credit conditions in the banking industry as well as in the economy. Credit being a major driver of economic growth and development, such study is a necessity as it promises not only to reveal current credit status and what is expected but also the motivating/causative factors. Beyond these, however, the study should also give focus to what must be done to better credit delivery services in the system, how best that can be achieved and the roles and responsibilities of all concerned stakeholders. The report should highlight lessons that can be learnt for guidance. CBN should, therefore, endeavour to make the report available to all those involved in the credit delivery value chain. It is possible that when such lessons are taken into account, a better credit environment can be achieved in the interest of the nation’s economy and the well-being of all citizens.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Climb on Renewed Middle East Concerns and Saudi Supply Signals

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Crude oil

As global markets continue to navigate through geopolitical uncertainties, oil prices rose on Monday on renewed concerns in the Middle East and signals from Saudi Arabia regarding its crude supply.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigeria’s oil is priced, surged by 51 cents to $83.47 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose by 53 cents to $78.64 a barrel.

The recent escalation in tensions between Israel and Hamas has amplified fears of a widening conflict in the key oil-producing region, prompting investors to closely monitor developments.

Talks for a ceasefire in Gaza have been underway, but prospects for a deal appeared slim as Hamas reiterated its demand for an end to the war in exchange for the release of hostages, a demand rejected by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The uncertainty surrounding the conflict was further exacerbated on Monday when Israel’s military called on Palestinian civilians to evacuate Rafah as part of a ‘limited scope’ operation, sparking concerns of a potential ground assault.

Analysts warned that such developments risk derailing ceasefire negotiations and reigniting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Adding to the bullish sentiment, Saudi Arabia announced an increase in the official selling prices (OSPs) for its crude sold to Asia, Northwest Europe, and the Mediterranean in June.

This move signaled the kingdom’s anticipation of strong demand during the summer months and contributed to the upward pressure on oil prices.

The uptick in prices comes after both Brent and WTI crude futures posted their steepest weekly losses in three months last week, reflecting concerns over weak U.S. jobs data and the timing of a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

However, with most of the long positions in oil cleared last week, analysts suggest that the risks are skewed towards a rebound in prices in the early part of this week, particularly for WTI prices towards the $80 mark.

Meanwhile, in China, the world’s largest crude importer, services activity remained in expansionary territory for the 16th consecutive month, signaling a sustained economic recovery.

Also, U.S. energy companies reduced the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating for the second consecutive week, indicating a potential tightening of supply in the near term.

As global markets continue to navigate through geopolitical uncertainties and supply dynamics, investors remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments in the Middle East and their impact on oil prices.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Drop Sharply, Marking Steepest Weekly Decline in Three Months

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Amidst concerns over weak U.S. jobs data and the potential timing of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, oil prices record its sharpest weekly decline in three months.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, settled 71 cents lower to close at $82.96 a barrel.

Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 84 cents, or 1.06% to end the week at $78.11 a barrel.

The primary driver behind this decline was investor apprehension regarding the impact of sustained borrowing costs on the U.S. economy, the world’s foremost oil consumer. These concerns were amplified after the Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates at their current levels this week.

Throughout the week, Brent experienced a decline of over 7%, while WTI dropped by 6.8%.

The slowdown in U.S. job growth, revealed in April’s data, coupled with a cooling annual wage gain, intensified expectations among traders for a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. central bank.

Tim Snyder, an economist at Matador Economics, noted that while the economy is experiencing a slight deceleration, the data presents a pathway for the Fed to enact at least one rate cut this year.

The Fed’s decision to keep rates unchanged this week, despite acknowledging elevated inflation levels, has prompted a reassessment of the anticipated timing for potential rate cuts, according to Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS.

Higher interest rates typically exert downward pressure on economic activity and can dampen oil demand.

Also, U.S. energy companies reduced the number of oil and natural gas rigs for the second consecutive week, reaching the lowest count since January 2022, as reported by Baker Hughes.

The oil and gas rig count fell by eight to 605, with the number of oil rigs dropping by seven to 499, the most significant weekly decline since November 2023.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions surrounding the Israel-Hamas conflict have somewhat eased as discussions for a temporary ceasefire progress with international mediators.

Looking ahead, the next meeting of OPEC+ oil producers is scheduled for June 1, where the group may consider extending voluntary oil output cuts beyond June if global oil demand fails to pick up.

In light of these developments, money managers reduced their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions in the week leading up to April 30, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound After Three Days of Losses

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Crude oil - Investors King

After enduring a three-day decline, oil prices recovered on Thursday, offering a glimmer of hope to investors amid a volatile market landscape.

The rebound was fueled by a combination of factors ranging from geopolitical developments to supply concerns.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigeria oil is priced, surged by 79 cents, or 0.95% to $84.23 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 69 cents, or 0.87% to $79.69 per barrel.

This turnaround came on the heels of a significant downturn that had pushed prices to their lowest levels since mid-March.

The recent slump in oil prices was primarily attributed to a confluence of factors, including the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates and concerns surrounding stubborn inflation, which could potentially dampen economic growth and limit oil demand.

Also, unexpected data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealing a substantial increase in U.S. crude inventories added further pressure on oil prices.

“The updated inventory statistics were probably the most salient price driver over the course of yesterday’s trading session,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM.

Crude inventories surged by 7.3 million barrels to 460.9 million barrels, significantly exceeding analysts’ expectations and casting a shadow over market sentiment.

However, the tide began to turn as ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas gained traction, offering a glimmer of hope for stability in the volatile Middle East region.

The prospect of a ceasefire agreement, spearheaded by Egypt, injected optimism into the market, offsetting concerns surrounding geopolitical tensions.

“As the impact of the U.S. crude stock build and the Fed signaling higher-for-longer rates is close to being fully baked in, attention will turn towards the outcome of the Gaza talks,” noted Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights.

The potential for a resolution in the Israel-Hamas conflict provided a ray of hope, contributing to the positive momentum in oil markets.

Despite the optimism surrounding ceasefire talks, tensions in the Middle East remain palpable, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterating plans for a military offensive in the southern Gaza city of Rafah.

The precarious geopolitical climate continues to underpin volatility in oil markets, reminding investors of the inherent risks associated with the commodity.

In addition to geopolitical developments, speculation regarding U.S. government buying for strategic reserves added further support to oil prices.

With the U.S. expressing intentions to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at prices below $79 a barrel, market participants closely monitored price movements, anticipating potential intervention to stabilize prices.

“The oil market was supported by speculation that if WTI falls below $79, the U.S. will move to build up its strategic reserves,” highlighted Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, owned by Nissan Securities.

As oil markets navigate a complex web of geopolitical uncertainties and supply dynamics, the recent rebound underscores the resilience of the commodity in the face of adversity.

While challenges persist, the renewed optimism offers a ray of hope for stability and growth in the oil sector, providing investors with a semblance of confidence amidst a volatile landscape.

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