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Nigerian Bourse Pares Gains on Profit Taking

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Nigerian stock market - Investors King
  • Nigerian Bourse Pares Gains on Profit Taking

Profit taking in bellwether stocks prevented the Nigerian equities market from sustaining the gains recorded the previous week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index fell marginal by 0.06 per cent to close at 41.218.72. Also, market capitalisation shed N9.5 billion to close the week lower at N14.931 trillion. The market had appreciated by 1.05 per cent the previous week due to bargain hunting activities and investors’ reactions improved to first quarter results by some companies.

The market could not record another positive close last week as the benchmark indicator sagged under the pressure of profit taking. However, the NSE Premium, NSE Banking, NSE Industrial goods, and NSE Pension indices appreciated by 0.12 per cent, 1.56%, 1.06 per cent and 0.21 per cent respectively.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited said in spite of gains recorded in the banking and industrial goods space, the market closed downbeat.

“The market’s performance was majorly dragged by selloffs across counters in the oil & gas, consumer goods and insurance sectors,” they said.

In their own opinion, analysts at Cordros Capital Limited said: We look for return of gains on the bourse in the medium to long term, amidst fast-declining yields in the alternative fixed income market. More so, as macroeconomic fundamentals continue to impress.”

Daily Performance

The market consolidated on the positive performance of the previous week on when trading resumed on Monday. The benchmark index rose by 0.06 per cent to close at 41,268.01, while market capitalisation ended higher at N14.95 trillion. The appreciation recorded in the share prices of FBN Holdings, Dangote Cement, Fidelity Bank, Zenith Bank, and GTBank Plc propelled the growth.

Similarly, activity level trended higher as volume and value traded improved 41.1 per cent and 77.4 per cent to 450.5 million shares and N5.0 billion respectively. The three most actively traded stocks were Mutual Benefit (130.96 million share), UBA (67.75 million shares) and FBN Holdings (53.61 million shares).

In terms of sectoral performance, two of the five tracked indicators, however, appreciated. The NSE Industrial Goods Index recorded the highest gain, rising by 0.6 per cent following appreciation recorded by in Dangote Cement and CCNN. The NSE Banking Index trailed rising 0.4 per cent due to buying interests in GTBank and FBN Holdings. On the negative side, the NSE Consumers Goods Index led with a fall of 0.8 per cent following losses posted by Nestle, Dangote Sugar Refinery and Dangote Flour Mills. The NSE Insurance Index and NSE Oil & Gas Index shed 0.2 per cent and 0.1 per cent in that order.

The market sustained the positive performance on Wednesday, growing marginally by 0.09 per cent to close at 41,306.02, driven by gains in the share prices of Union Bank, Dangote Cement, Access Bank, Zenith Bank and UBA. The market capitalisation also appreciated same margin to close at N14.96 trillion. Ex-Dangote Cement the market would have closed 0.85 per cent lower.

But activity level was mixed as volume traded declined by 38.7 per cent to 276.2 million shares while value traded trended up 38.9 per cent to N6.9 billion. Wednesday’s top traded stocks by volume were UBA (52.3 million shares), GTBank (42.3 million shares) and Zenith Bank (30.1 million shares) while most active stocks by value were Dangote Cement (N2.1 billion), GTBank (N1.9 billion) and Zenith Bank (N832.4 million).

Unlike the previous day, three of five went up led by the NSE Oil & Gas Index with 1.2 per cent. The NSE Banking Index trailed with a gain of 0.6 per cent, just as the NSE Industrial Goods Index chalked up 0.3 per cent.

Conversely, the NSE Consumer Goods Index led laggards as losses in Nestle and Nigerian Breweries dragged the index lower by 1.1 per cent. The NSE Insurance Index shed 0.59 per cent.

The bears returned to the market on Thursday reversing the gains posted in the previous trading sessions. Specifically, the index fell by 0.48 per cent to close at 41,107.81. Profit taking in International Breweries, Dangote Cement, Nigerian Breweries, Unilever, and Dangote Sugar was mainly responsible for the decline of the day.

However, activity level was mixed as volume traded rose 16 per cent to 320.4 million shares while value traded fell by 30.9 per cent to N4.8 billion. Top traded stocks in volume terms were: UBA (79.9 million shares), Access Bank (57.0 million shares) and E-Tranzact (20.3 million shares) while the top traded in value were UBA (N935. 2 million), Access Bank (N644.4 million) and Zenith Bank(N488.3 million).

Despite the bearish trading, two of the sectoral indicators bullish. The NSE Banking Index appreciated by 0.8 per cent, while the NSE Insurance Index rose by 0.2 per cent.

On the contrary, the NSE Consumer Goods Index fell 1.5 per cent due to selloffs in International Breweries Plc, Nigerian Breweries Plc and Unilever Nigeria Plc. The NSE Oil & Gas Index trailed, shedding 0.8 per cent, just as the NSE Industrial Goods Index shed 0.2 per cent.

The recovered on Friday with the benchmark index rising 0.27 per cent to close at 41, 218.72 per cent, while market capitalisation ended higher at N14.93 trillion.

However, the gain on Friday was not enough to save the market from closing the week with a decline. In all, the market shed 0.06 per cent in the review week.

Market Turnover

In the four-day trading sessions investors traded 1.331billion shares worth N20.835 billion in 18,695 deals compared with 1.825 billion shares valued at N24.653 billion that exchanged in 23,148 deals.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.042 billion shares valued at N11.275 billion traded in 9,665 deals, thus contributing 78.32 per cent and 54.11 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 84.124 million shares worth N4.322 billion in 3,691 deals. The third place was occupied by Oil and Gas Industry with a turnover of 51.918 million shares worth N596.463 million in 2,307 deals.

Trading in the top three equities, UBA, Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc and Access Bank Plc accounted for 457.930 million shares worth N3.784 billion in 1,469 deals and contributing 34.41 per cent and 18.16 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Also traded during the week were a total of 709,058 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N3.845 million executed in 10 deals, compared with a total of 56,260 units valued at N376,387.48 that was transacted the previous week in six deals.

Similarly, a total of 80,152 units of Federal Government and State Bonds valued at N82.543 million were traded last week in 14 deals, compared with a total of 725 units valued at N660,984.55 transacted the previous week in 10 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

Meanwhile, 37 equities appreciated in price during the week, higher than 33 in the previous week, while equities depreciated in price, lower than 41 equities in the previous week.

C & I Leasing led the price gainers with 29.5 per cent, trailed by Unity Bank Plc with 20 per cent. Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc chalked up 17.8 per cent, just as Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc and Beta Glass Plc garnered 14.6 per cent and 10.2 per cent respectively.

Other top price gainers included: Livestock Feeds Plc (9.0 per cent); NPF Microfinance Bank Plc (8.5 per cent); Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc (8.3 per cent); Union Bank of Nigeria Plc (7.2 per cent0 and Vitafoam Nigeria Plc (6.4 per cent).

Conversely, Dangote Flour Mills Plc led the price losers with 18.5 per cent, trailed by Eterna Plc with 13.0 per cent. Prestige Assurance Plc shed 11.7 per cent, while Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc went down by 11.2 per cent.

Other top price losers included: Regency Alliance Insurance Plc (10 per cent); Oando Plc 8.7 per cent); Chams Plc (8.7 per cent); Japaul Oil & Maritime Services Plc (8.0 per cent); WAPIC Insurance Plc (7.0 per cent); Niger Insurance Plc (6.6 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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Banking Sector

CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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Retail banking

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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