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Investors Splash N12.56 Trillion on Fixed Income, Currency Instruments in February

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  • Investors Splash N12.56 Trillion on Fixed Income, Currency Instruments in February

Trading activities in Nigeria’s Fixed Income and Currencies (FIC) markets in February enjoyed a boost as investors, mostly banks, increased their stake by N860 billion. Transaction turnover for February increased to N12.56 trillion, from N11.71 trillion recorded in January, representing a 7.34 per cent growth month on month (MoM) and 3.46 per cent or N420 billion increase year on year (YoY).

In contrast, the markets recorded a drop in turnover to the tune of N150 billion in January, representing 1.28 per cent decrease compared to the value recorded in December 2017. Year on year, however, turnover was up by 28.17 per cent in January 2018 or N2.57 trillion.

Three segments – Treasury Bills, Foreign Exchange and the Money Market (Repurchase Agreements/Buy-Backs and Unsecured Placements/Takings) – contributed 94.47 per cent to the total turnover in the FIC markets in the review month.

As usual, activities in the Treasury Bills (T.bills) market were more robust than others, as it accounted for 44.44 per cent of market turnover in February, compared to 39.24 per cent in January. The Foreign Exchange (FX) market accounted for 33.13 per cent of the total turnover (37.50 per cent in January).

Transactions in the FX market settled at $12.92 billion (N4.16 trillion) in February, a decrease of 7.78 per cent ($1.09 billion) when compared with the value recorded in January ($14.01 billion).

In the month under review, the naira depreciated at the Investors’ and Exporters’ (I&E) FX Window, closing the month at $/N360.41 (from $/N360.00 as at January 31, 2018), while also trading at a discount to the parallel market, which closed at $/N363.00 (from $/N364.00 as at January 31, 2018).

The CBN4 Official Spot rate depreciated slightly, losing N0.20 to close at $/N305.90 (from $/N305.70 as at January 31, 2018).

Total value traded at the I&E FX Window in February settled at $3.90billion, a decrease of 25.71 per cent ($1.35 billion) relative to the value recorded in January ($5.25 billion). This brings the total value traded at the Window Year to Date to $9.15 billion.

Inter-Member trades recorded $1.36 billion in February, an increase of 23.64 per cent ($0.26 billion) relative to the trades recorded in January ($1.10 billion), and a 63.86 per cent ($0.53 billion) increase year on year.

Member-Client trades stood at $7.45 billion, a decrease of 14.65 per cent ($1.27 billion) from the previous month and a 30.02% ($1.72 billion) increase year on year.

Member-CBN trades recorded $4.11 billion in February ($4.18 billion in January), representing a decrease of 1.67 per cent ($0.07 billion) MoM and a 204.44 per cent ($2.76 billion) increase YoY ($1.35 billion), as the effect of the Secondary Market Intervention Sales (SMIS) continued to boost activity in the FX markets.

The 19th Naira-settled OTC FX Futures contract, NGUS FEB 28, 2018, worth $353.26 million, matured and settled in February, while a new 12-month contract – NGUS FEB 27, 2019 – for $1 billion was introduced by the CBN at $/N362.09.

Turnover in the Fixed Income market for the month under review settled at N6.27 trillion, a 17.63 per cent increase MoM (0.93 trillion). Transactions in the T.bills market accounted for 89.06 per cent of the overall Fixed Income market, an increase from the 86.11 per cent recorded in January.

Outstanding T.bills at the end of the month stood at N12.56 trillion (N11.47 trillion in January), an increase of 9.56 per cent MoM (₦1.91 trillion). FGN bonds outstanding value also increased marginally close at N7.73 trillion, from N7.64 trillion in January.

Trading intensity in the fixed income market for the month under review settled at 0.44 and 0.09 for T.bills and FGN bonds, respectively, from 0.40 and 0.10 respectively recorded the previous month. T.bills between the six and 12 months maturity buckets became the most actively traded, accounting for a turnover of N2.23 trillion in February while short-term yields on the sovereign yield curve increased by an average of 29 basis points (bps) and yields in the medium- and long-term spectrum gained an average of 0.34bps and 0.21bps, respectively.

The spread between 10-year and 3-month benchmark yields closed negative at 1.17 basis points for February 2018 (0.49 bps in January)

Activities in the secured Money Market (i.e. Repos/Buy-Backs) settled at N2.03 trillion in February, 9.14 per cent (N0.17 trillion) higher than the value recorded in January (N1.86 trillion). Year on year, turnover on Repos/Buy-Backs recorded a 21.02 per cent increase (N0.35 trillion) from the value recorded in February 2017 (N1.68 trillion).

Unsecured Placements/Takings closed the month at a turnover of N93.75 billion, a 22.27 per cent decrease (N26.85 billion) from the figure recorded in January (N120.61 billion) and a 33.6 per cent decrease (N47.51 billion) on YoY basis (N141.27 billion as at February 2017).

Average O/N8 NIBOR9 for the period under review stood at 19.91 per cent (11.24 per cent in January), indicating a decrease in inter-bank liquidity.

The number of executed trades captured on the E-Bond Trading System in February amounted to 16,325 as against 17,041 recorded in January while executed T.bills trades decreased by 3.69 per cent (539), similarly FGN bonds decreased by 7.22 per cent (177).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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Banking Sector

CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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Retail banking

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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