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Equities Market Remains Bearish on Continuing Sell Pressure

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equities Market Remains Bearish on Continuing Sell Pressure

Sell pressure at the stock market persisted last week despite the release of more improved financial results and declaration of dividends by some companies for 2017 financial year. The market has remained bearish in the past weeks as investors sold to take profit in bellwether stocks.

However, the negative performance was expected to cease once the full year corporate earnings began to come in. Despite the release of improved results with significant returns being recommended, the sell pressure persisted. Having declined by 2.9 per cent the previous week, the market depressed further last week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (ASI) fell by 1.11 per cent to close at 41,472.10, while market capitalisation ended lower at N14.982 trillion.

Similarly, all other indices finished lower during the week with the exception of the NSE CG, NSE Banking and NSE Pension Indices that appreciated by 1.07 per cent, 3.31 per cent and 1.67 per cent respectively.

Daily Performance

Trading resumed for the week with a decline as the bears remained in control for the fourth consecutive session. As a result, the NSE ASI fell 0.21 per cent to close lower at 41,845.92. Similarly, market capitalisation closed lower at N14.96 trillion.

The depreciation recorded in the share prices of Nigerian Breweries, Ecobank Transnational Incorporated, Flour Mills, Transcorp, and Stanbic IBTC Holdings among others were mainly responsible for the decline.

However, the bears were strongly in control as 36 stocks depreciated compared with 14 others that appreciated. Cadbury Nigeria Plc led the price losers with 9.6 per cent, trailed by Niger Insurance Plc with 9.5 per cent. Unity Bank Plc shed 8.8 per cent, while FTN Cocoa Processing and LASACO Assurance Plc fell by 7.1 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively. WAPIC Insurance Plc and Linkage Assurance Plc closed 4.9 per cent and 4.8 per cent lower in that order.

Other top price losers included: Wema Bank Plc, Dangote Flour Mills Plc, Skye Bank Plc, Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (4.8 per cent apiece); Continental Reinsurance Plc (4.6 per cent); University Press Plc, Tantalizer Plc(4.5 per cent); Japaul Oil & Maritime Services Plc (4.4 per cent).

On the positive side, C & I Leasing Plc led the price gainers with 9.9 per cent, trailed by United Capital Plc with 5.6 per cent, while N.E.M Insurance Plc (4.8 per cent). Cutix Plc appreciated by 4.4 per cent, just as PZ Cussons Nigeria Plc and African Prudential Plc chalked up 2.3 per cent and 1.5 per cent respectively

Market analysts at Cordros Capital said: “In our view, it is likely investors take advantage of soft prices to hunt bargains in the equities market, leading to a positive outlook in the short term. Also, strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals remain supportive of gains in the medium to long term.”

The market depreciated further on Tuesday as more investors locked in profits, thereby depressing the market by 0.35 per cent to 41,686.36. Market capitalisation decreased by N68.6 billion to be at N14.8 trillion.

The depreciation recorded in the share prices of GTBank, Lafarge Africa, Flour Mills, Nigerian Breweries, and Seplat contributed to the negative close.

The bearish trend reduced the year-to-date (YTD) growth to 8.5 per cent as at Wednesday. The bearish performance was largely driven by sell pressures in Nestle, Stanbic IBTC Holdings, and Lafarge. While the index fell, market activity improved as volume and value traded inched 22.7 per cent and 44.4 per cent higher to 488.7 million shares and N5.6 billion respectively.

African Alliance Insurance Plc (82.8 million shares), Japaul Oil (75.6 million shares) and Fidelity Bank (63.9 million shares ) were the top traded stocks by volume while Dangote Cement (N1.1 billion), GTBank (N886.6 million) and Nigerian Breweries (N867.7 million) led the top traded stocks by value.

In terms of sectoral performance, three indices closed negatively, one ended in the bulls’ territory, while one remained flat. The NSE Industrial Goods Index led losers with 2.5 per cent, trailed by the NSE Insurance Index with 1.9 per cent. The NSE Consumer Goods Index shed 0.7 per cent. The NSE Banking Index was the sole gainer, chalking up 0.1 per cent, while the NSE Oil & Gas Index stagnated.

The market recovered after three days of decline on Thursday, rising by 0.33 per cent. According to market analysts, the market upbeat performance was due to the improved investor confidence in the market, driven by earnings releases.

“Today’s gain was largely across the bellwether counters in the market as the NSE-30, which accounts for the most liquid and capitalised counters in the market recorded a gain of 0.45 per cent,” they said.

Sectoral performance showed that the five closed in bulls’ territory. The NSE Insurance Index led with 1.6 per cent, followed by the NSE Oil & Gas Index with a 0.6 per cent appreciation. The NSE Banking Index and NSE Industrial Goods Index rose by 0.5 per cent apiece, while the NSE Consumer Goods Index added 0.4 per cent.

Market Turnover

Meanwhile, a total turnover of 2.328 billion shares worth N28.927 billion in 25,530 deals was recorded last week investors on the floor of the exchange in contrast to a total of 2.444 billion shares valued at N36.665 billion that exchanged hands last week in 26,712 deals the previous week.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.784 billion shares valued at N20.385 billion traded in 16,823 deals, thus contributing 76.6 per cent and 70.5 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 171.111million shares worth N5.404 billion in 4,055 deals. The third place was occupied by Oil and Gas

Industry with a turnover of 124.065million shares worth N296.727 million in 1,607 deals. Trading in the top three equities namely-Zenith Bank Plc, Access Bank Plc and Fidelity Bank Plc accounted for 664.391 million shares worth N10.659 billion in 6,429 deals, contributing 28.54 per cent and 36.8 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Also traded during the week were a total of 4,165 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N78,276.06 executed in 15 deals, compared with a total of 1.889 million units valued at N10.512 million that was transacted the previous week in four deals.

Similarly, a total of 5,152 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N4.562 million were traded this week in 24 deals, compared with a total of 40,566 units valued at N44.313 million transacted two week ago in 29 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

The price movement chart showed that 33 equities appreciated in price during the week, higher than 25 of the previous week, while 49 equities depreciated in price, lower than 60 equities of the previous week.

Glaxosmithkline Consumer Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 21.4 per cent, trailed by Fidelity Bank Plc with 17.7 per cent. Diamond Bank Plc garnered 11.9 per cent, just as Zenith Bank Plc and Transnational Corporation of Nigeria chalked up 9.4 per cent and 8.2 per cent in that order.

Other top price gainers included: Eterna Plc (7.5 per cent); United Capital Plc ( 6.5 per cent); NASCON Allied Industries Plc 5.2 per cent); Northern Nigeria Flour Mills Plc (5.0 per cent) and C & I Leasing Plc (4.9 per cent).

Conversely, FTN Cocoa Processors Plc and Unity Kapital Assurance Plc led with 21.43 per cent respectively. Niger Insurance Plc trailed with 16.6 per cent, just as Multiverse Mining & Exploration Plc went down by 16.0 per cent.

Cadbury Nigeria Plc shed 14.9 per cent , while African Alliance Insurance Plc went down by 14.8 per cent.

Other top price gainers were: UNIC Diversified Holdings Plc (14.2 per cent); MCNichols Plc (14 per cent); Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc (13.6 per cent); Tantalisers Plc (13.6 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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Retail banking

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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