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Equities Close Lower Despite Halting Seven-day Losing Streak

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equities Close Lower Despite Halting Seven-day Losing Streak

The Nigerian equities market recorded its second consecutive week of decline as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index fell 1.13 per cent to close at 42,638.83. Similarly, market capitalisation ended lower at N15.302 trillion.

Despite rebounding from a seven-day losing streak on Wednesday, the market closed the week on a negative note as losses recorded in the first two days outweighed the gains of three days.

As a result, the NSE ASI fell by 1.13 per cent to further reduce the year-to-date growth of the market to 11.5 per cent. Apart from the ASI that decline , all other indices finished lower with the exception of the NSE Pension Index that appreciated by 0.08 per cent while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

Analysts at Cordros Capital Limited said: “Given two consecutive weeks of profit taking, we expect investors to hunt bargains while also taking position ahead of Q4-17 corporate earnings releases.”

Daily Performance

Still in the bearish mood, the market opened on with a decline of 0.9 per cent on the first day of the week to close at 42,737.89. Similarly, the market capitalisation fell by same margin to close at N15.34 trillion.

The depreciation recorded in the share prices of GTBank, FBN Holdings, Zenith Bank, Dangote Sugar, and Transcorp were mainly responsible for the decline recorded.

According analysts at FSDH Research, the on-going sell sentiment may continue till midweek albeit on a milder scale than in the previous trading sessions

“Profit taking and bargain hunting may likely characterise subsequent trading sessions,” they added.

In all, 36 stocks depreciated, while only 13 appreciated. Eternal Plc led the price losers with 9.6 per cent, trailed by Equity Assurance Plc with 8.3 per cent. AIICO Insurance Plc shed 8.2 per cent, while Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc lost 5.7 per cent.

FBN Holdings Plc, GTBank Plc and Multiverse depreciated by 5.0 per cent apiece. May & Baker Nigeria Plc and Fidelity Bank Plc shed 4.9 per cent each.

On the positive side, PZ Cussons Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 5.8 per cent, trailed by Beta Glass Plc, Glaxosmithkline Consumer Nigeria Plc and Unity Bank Plc with 4.9 per cent apiece.

UAC of Nigeria Plc chalked up 4.1 per cent, just as Jaiz Bank Plc, Linkage Assurance Plc garnered 3.8 per cent and 3.5 per cent respectively. C & I Leasing Plc, ABC Transport Plc and Wema Bank Plc advanced by 2.7 per cent, 2.5 per cent and 2.3 per cent in that order.

All the sectoral indices trended southwards. They were led by the NSE Banking Index , shedding 3.8 per cent following losses in bellwether banking stocks – GTBank (-5.0 per cent) and Zenith Bank (-4.9 per cent). The NSE Insurance Index followed with 1.1 per cent slide while the NSE Consumer Goods Index closed 0.9 per cent lower due to downtick in Nigerian Breweries Plc (-2.9 per cent) and Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc (-4.8 per cent). The NSE Industrial Goods Index and NSE Oil & Gas Index shed 0.4 per cent and 0.2 per cent respectively.

The market recorded its highest decline on Tuesday with capitalisation falling to a new low of N14.97 trillion, while the index closed below the 42,000 threshold at 41,708.15.

Specifically, the index fell 2.41 per cent, the highest decline since the beginning of the year. Similarly, the market capitalisation shed N369.5 billion, propelled by a decline in the shares of bellwether such as Dangote Cement, UBA, Nestle Nigeria Plc, FBN Holdings, and Nigerian Breweries Plc.

The bears were virtually on rampage as 40 stocks depreciated compared with 15 stocks that appreciated. Prestige Assurance Plc led the price losers with 7.1 per cent, followed by Skye Bank Plc with a decline of 6.5 per cent. Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc, FCMB Group Plc and United Bank for Africa Plc went down by 6.1 per cent, 5.9 per cent and 5.5 per cent in that order.

Japaul Oil and Maritime Services Plc, Royal Exchange Plc and Union Bank of Nigeria Plc shed 5.0 per cent each. Forte Oil Plc declined by 4.9 per cent, just as Fidson Healthcare Plc, Dangote Cement Plc and Sterling Bank Plc lost 4.8 per cent apiece.

The stocks that escaped the bear run were led by A.G Leventis Nigeria Plc with 7.0 per cent, trailed by Berger Nigeria Plc with 5.0 per cent, just as Etarna Plc appreciated by 4.9 per cent.

Other top price gainers included: NAHCO Plc (4.8 per cent); Linkage Assurance Plc (4.5 per cent); Access Bank Plc (3.9 per cent); African Prudential Plc (3.8 per cent); May & Baker Nigeria Plc(3.3 per cent).

However, the equities market rebounded on Wednesday after a seven-day losing streak. Bargain hunting in banking and consumer goods sectors lifted the index by 1.1 per cent to close at 42,171.80 while market capitalisation added N166.4 billion to close at N15.1 trillion.

The rebound could largely be attributed to buying interest in Banking and Consumer counters with Zenith Bank (+5.0 per cent), United Bank for Africa (+6.3 per cent ) and Nestle (+1.9 per cent) weighing the most on performance.

But Skye Bank Plc led the gainers chart with 10 per cent trailed by FCMB Group Plc that garnered 9.8 per cent. Conversely, First Aluminum led the price losers with 9.1 per cent, trailed by LASACO Assurance Plc with a decline of 5.8 per cent.

Volume and value of trading also rose by 10.7 per cent and 28.1 per cent to 520.7 million shares and N4.7 billion respectively.

Commenting on the performance, analysts at Cordros Capital Limited said: “We expect appetite to remain strong, as investors continue to hunt bargains and take position ahead of Q4-17 earnings, amidst generally improving macroeconomic conditions.”

Also commenting, analysts at Meristem Securities Limited said: “The bullish charge in the market was led by gains recorded on counters in the banking and consumer goods sectors, which offset the loss on the market’s heavyweight, Dangote Cement Plc. We expect a continuation of the bargain hunting activities in the market and an improvement in the market mood to sustain the recovery in the near term.”

The market sustained the positive performance on Thursday with the index rising by 1.0 per cent to 42,604.40 , while market capitalisation added N155.2 billion to close at N15.3 trillion. The performance was majorly driven by price appreciation in FBN Holdings Plc (+8.2 per cent), GTBank (+2.0 per cent) and Dangote Cement Plc (+0.6 per cent).

Sectorally, it was largely bullish as four of five indices closed in the green while one closed flat. The NSE Banking Index led gainers, rising 1.3 per cent. The NSE Industrial and NSE Consumer Goods indices trailed, rising 0.9 per cent and 0.8 per cent respectively. The NSE Oil & Gas Index appreciated marginally by 0.01 per cent, while the NSE Insurance Index however closed the day flat.

Market Turnover

Meanwhile, a total turnover of 2.940 billion shares worth N27.924 billion was recorded in 28,570 deals during the review week, compared with a total of 4.426 billion shares valued at N24.236 billion that exchanged hands in 29,573 deals the previous week.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 2.174 billion shares valued at N17.033 billion traded in 19,013 deals, thus contributing 73.96 per cent and 61 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Services Industry followed with 232.482 million shares worth N216.990 million in 734 deals.

The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 170.422 million shares worth N499.400 million in 1,578 deals. Trading in the top three equities namely – Linkage Assurance Plc, Skye Bank Plc and FCMB Group Plc accounted for 809.798 million shares worth N1.130 billion in 2,551 deals, contributing 27.5 per cent and 4.04 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Price Gainers and Losers

A look at the price movement chat showed that 48) equities depreciated in price, lower than 64 equities of the previous week, while 30 equities appreciated in price during the week, higher than 23 equities recorded in the preceding week.

Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc led the price losers with 22.8 per cent, trailed by First Aluminium Nigeria Plc with 19.5 per cent.

Courtville Business Solutions Plc shed 17.3 per cent, just as Japaul Oil & Maritime Services Plc and Prestige Assurance Plc went down by 14.2 apiece.

Other top price losers included: Unity Kapital Assurance Plc (13.6 per cent); Multiverse Mining and Exploration Plc (12.5 per cent); Equity Assurance Plc (12.5 per cent); Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc (11.6 per cent);and Sterling Bank Plc (11.4 per cent).

Berger Paints Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 11.4 per cent, followed by Beta Glass Plc with 10.2 per cent. Access Bank Plc appreciated by 5.4 per cent, just as A.G Leventis Nigeria Plc and GSK Nigeria Plc chalked up 5.2 per cent and 4.9 per cent in that order.

Top price gainers include: Transcorp Hotels Plc (4.8 per cent); WAPIC Insurance Plc (4.6 per cent); African Prudential Plc, PZ Cussons Nigeria Plc (4.1 per cent); and Zenith Bank Plc (3.5 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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Banking Sector

CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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Retail banking

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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