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Fuel Scarcity Persists, NNPC Admits Supply Hitches

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Kerosene
  • Fuel Scarcity Persists, NNPC Admits Supply Hitches

As fuel queues grew longer at the few filling stations that sold the product in Lagos and Ogun states on Thursday, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation said it noticed the current hiccup in the supply chain a few days ago.

Motorists lamented that they had to spend many hours in queues for Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), while some petrol seekers with jerry cans complained that the product was not being sold to them and that they had to part with extra money to get it at some of the stations.

Commuters were seen at many bus-stops struggling to get vehicles to different destinations, even as transport operators increased the fares by as much as 100 per cent on most routes.

The long queues of desperate motorists at filling stations in parts of Lagos spilled onto the roads and disrupted the flow of traffic, making commuters and motorists to suffer more pain.

It was gathered that many of the private depots in Apapa, Lagos, where most marketers get petroleum products from for distribution to other states, did not have petrol to load.

The National Operations Controller, Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Mr. Mike Osatuyi, said although the NNPC had assumed the role of sole importer of petrol into the country, the corporation lacked adequate facilities to discharge and dispense the product without involving the private tank farm owners and marketers.

He said IPMAN members were being given maximum of eight trucks per day at the NNPC depot in Ejigbo, Lagos in the past five days, adding, “The depot has a deficiency of storage. Its tank can only take 60 trucks’ stock, which is not up to half-day loading. So, that is a special problem that has to be addressed. Before, the depot could load up to 120 to 130 trucks in a day.

“If the NNPC says it has enough cargo, let it share it to the depots it has throughput with so that there can be massive distribution of the product across the country. IPMAN is cooperating with the government so that we can get to the end of this issue.”

Efforts to get the comments of the Major Marketers’ Association of Nigeria and the Depot and Petroleum Products Marketers Association were not successful as their spokespersons did not immediately respond to telephone calls.

The Group Managing Director, NNPC, Dr. Maikanti Baru, however, said in a statement on Thursday that the corporation had doubled the daily supply of PMS from 700 trucks (about 27 million to 30 million litres) per day to 80 million litres per day since the hiccup in the supply chain was noticed.

Baru said rumours of a purported increase in the pump price of petrol made some marketers to suddenly start hoarding the product in their quest to cash in on the situation.

“But we swiftly swung into action by doubling our supply nationwide. At the time the rumour started, we had about 30-day sufficiency. The normal daily supply to the nation is 700 trucks, equalling about 27 million to 30 million litres per day.

He added that the NNPC had enough products’ sufficiency that would last up to 30 days, adding that at least cargoes laden with one billion litres of petrol cargoes were heading to Nigerian shores at the end of December, which he said would return the country to a 30-day-plus sufficiency.

Baru said the fuel scarcity would soon fizzle out and warned marketers hoarding the product that they would lose their entire products to motorists if caught.

He commended the NNPC’s sister agencies, the Department of Petroleum Resources and Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency, for their support in helping to tackle the hoarding of PMS by filling stations.

Meanwhile, the Head of Operations, Lagos Zonal Office, DPR, Mr. Musa Tambuwa, on Thursday called on marketers to shun hoarding or face penalties.

“We are going to ensure that Nigerians are not defrauded. If we find any station engaging in sharp practices, be sure that the arm of the law will not hold back at such defaulters.”

The NNPC also announced that it had achieved 98 per cent automation of all transactions involving the supply, marketing and sale of the various grades and blends of the country’s crude oil across the world.

Its Group General Manager, Crude Oil Marketing Division, Mele Kyari, said the automation, which would be concluded in 2018, had enabled the corporation to achieve an end-to-end monitoring of every barrel of crude oil sold in the country.

Commenting on the firm’s ability to monitor crude oil sale, Kyari said, “Today, at the click of a button, we can tell you how much crude oil is sold, at what price, who bought it and where it has gone to, etc.”

He said the projection was to operate a complete paperless crude oil data management regime in line with the ongoing transformation of the processes, which has witnessed reforms since 2015.

Kyari listed the reforms to include the open bid process of customer selection for lifting and purchase of Nigeria’s crude oil grades, emplacement of efficient crude for product import processes, leading to savings of $1bn in one year, as well as the introduction of improved pricing system.

He explained that the reform had led to the harmonisation of Nigeria’s crude oil data and lifting information, providing access to major internationally recognised reporting agencies like Plat and Argus Media to achieve real time reporting of the nation’s crude oil transactions.

He said this development had enabled the country to eliminate the perennial disagreement with its major stakeholder, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, on actual production and lifting figures.

Baru, who signed the MoU on bio-fuels project with the Benue State Government, stated that the project would provide employment for the teeming youths in the state.

“I believe that Benue has what it takes to lead the country in the bio-fuels industry. I hope that your state will soon move from the food basket to the fuel basket of the nation,” he said.

In his remarks, the Deputy Governor of Benue State, Benson Abounu, said the state was happy with the signing of the MoU, a development he noted was a watershed in the nation’s quest to find alternative sources of energy.

The Agasha-Guma bio-fuels project aims at developing an integrated sugarcane plantation and fuel-ethanol/sugar/power plant complex in Benue State through a Special Purpose Vehicle.

The NNPC said the project was expected to create one million direct and indirect jobs for Nigerians on completion, and would produce about 84 million litres of ethanol fuel annually, adding that it planned to mobilise to site by the first quarter of 2018.

In Kano, the DPR sanctioned eight filling stations, just as it confirmed improvement in distribution and supply of the product.

At the end of a three-day check of filling stations within the metropolis, the Acting Operations Controller, Kano Field Office, DPR, Mr. Paul Jezhi, said the team inspected not less than 166 filling stations within Kano.

Jhezi added, “You can see for yourselves that queues have disappeared in our filling stations. This is due to our close monitoring of how stations dispense the product. We also supervise their compliance level, with the stipulated price.

“We were being supplied between 20 and 24 trucks of the product daily, but it has now increased to about 40 trucks in order to correct the shortfall.”

The Kwara State Governor, Alhaji Abdulfatah Ahmed, on Thursday warned petroleum marketers in the state against hoarding of fuel and other infractions, saying culprits would be punished.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Goldman Sachs Urges Bold Rate Hike as Naira Weakens and Inflation Soars

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

As Nigeria grapples with soaring inflation and a faltering naira, Goldman Sachs is calling for a substantial increase in interest rates to stabilize the economy and restore investor confidence.

The global investment bank’s recommendation comes ahead of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) key monetary policy decision, set to be announced on Tuesday.

Goldman Sachs economists, including Andrew Matheny, argue that incremental rate adjustments will not be sufficient to address the country’s deepening economic challenges.

“Another 50 or 100 basis points is certainly not going to move the needle in the eyes of an investor,” Matheny stated. “Nigeria needs a bold, decisive move to curb inflation and regain investor trust.”

The CBN, under the leadership of Governor Olayemi Cardoso, is anticipated to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to 27% in its upcoming meeting.

This would mark a continuation of the aggressive tightening campaign that began in May 2022, which has seen rates increase by 14.75 percentage points.

Despite this, inflation has remained stubbornly high, highlighting the need for more substantial measures.

The current economic landscape is marked by severe challenges. The naira’s depreciation has led to higher import costs, fueling inflation and eroding consumer purchasing power.

The CBN has attempted to ease the currency’s scarcity by selling dollars to local foreign exchange bureaus, but these efforts have yet to stabilize the naira significantly.

“Developments since the last meeting have definitely been hawkish,” noted Matheny. “The naira has weakened further, exacerbating inflationary pressures. The CBN’s policy needs to reflect this reality more aggressively.”

In response to the persistent inflation and naira weakness, analysts are urging the central bank to implement a more coherent strategy to manage the currency and inflation.

James Marshall of Promeritum Investment Management LLP suggested that the CBN should actively participate in the foreign exchange market to mitigate the naira’s volatility and restore market confidence.

“The central bank needs to be a more consistent and active participant in the forex market,” Marshall said. “A clear strategy to address the naira’s weakness is crucial for stabilizing the economy.”

The CBN’s decision will come as the country faces a critical period. With inflation expected to slow due to favorable comparisons with the previous year and new measures to reduce food costs, including a temporary import duty waiver on wheat and corn, there is hope that the economic situation may improve.

However, analysts anticipate that the CBN will need to implement one final rate hike to solidify inflation’s slowdown and restore positive real rates.

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Economy

Currency Drop Spurs Discount Dilemma in Cairo’s Markets

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Egyptian pound

Under Cairo’s scorching sun, the bustling streets reveal an unexpected twist in dramatic price drops on big-ticket items like cars and appliances.

Following March’s significant currency devaluation, prices for these goods have plunged, leaving consumers hesitant to make purchases amid hopes for even better deals.

Mohamed Yassin, a furniture store vendor, said “People just inquire about prices. They’re afraid to buy in case prices drop further.” This cautious consumer behavior is posing challenges for Egypt’s consumer-driven economy.

In March, Egyptian authorities devalued the pound by nearly 40% to stabilize an economy teetering on the edge. While such moves often lead to inflation spikes, Egypt’s case has been unusual.

Unlike other nations like Nigeria or Argentina, where costs soared post-devaluation, Egypt is witnessing falling prices for high-value items.

Previously inflated prices were driven by a black market in foreign currency, where importers secured dollars at exorbitant rates, passing costs onto consumers.

Now, with the pound stabilizing and foreign currency more accessible, retailers are struggling to sell inventory at pre-devaluation prices.

Despite price reductions, the overall consumer market remains sluggish. The automotive sector has seen a near 75% drop in sales compared to pre-crisis levels.

Major brands like Hyundai and Volkswagen have slashed prices by about a quarter, yet buyers remain cautious.

The economic strain is not limited to luxury items. Everyday expenses continue to rise, albeit more slowly, with anticipated hikes in electricity and fuel prices adding to the pressure.

Experts highlight a period of adjustment as both consumers and traders navigate the volatile exchange-rate environment. Mohamed Abu Basha, head of research at EFG Hermes, explains, “The market is taking time to absorb recent fluctuations.”

Meanwhile, businesses face declining sales, impacting their ability to manage operating costs. Yassin’s store has offered discounts of up to 50% yet remains quiet. “We’ve tried everything, but everyone is waiting,” he laments.

The devaluation has spurred a shift in economic dynamics. Inflation has eased, but the pace varies across sectors. Clothing and transportation costs are up, while food prices fluctuate.

With the phasing out of fuel subsidies and potential electricity price increases, Egyptians are bracing for further financial strain. The recent 300% rise in subsidized bread prices adds another layer of concern.

The situation underscores the balancing act between maintaining consumer confidence and attracting foreign investment.

Economists suggest potential stimulus measures, such as lowering interest rates or increasing public spending, to boost demand.

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Economy

MPC Meeting on July 22-23 to Tackle Inflation as Rates Set to Rise Again

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Interbank rate

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is set to convene on July 22-23, 2024, amid soaring inflation and economic challenges in Nigeria.

Led by Olayemi Cardoso, the committee has already increased interest rates three times this year, raising them by 750 basis points to 26.25 percent.

Nigeria’s annual inflation rate climbed to 34.19 percent in June, driven by rising food prices. Despite these pressures, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) projects that inflation will moderate to around 21.40 percent by year-end.

Market analysts expect a further rate hike as the committee seeks to rein in inflation. Nabila Mohammed from Chapel Hill Denham anticipates a 50–75 basis point increase.

Similarly, Coronation Research forecasts a potential rise of 50 to 100 basis points, given the recent uptick in inflation.

The food inflation rate reached 40.87 percent in June, exacerbated by security issues in key agricultural regions.

Essential commodities such as millet, garri, and yams have seen significant price hikes, impacting household budgets and savings.

As the MPC meets, the National Bureau of Statistics is set to release data on selected food prices for June, providing further insights into the inflationary trends affecting Nigerians.

The upcoming MPC meeting will be crucial in determining the trajectory of Nigeria’s monetary policy as the government grapples with economic instability.

The focus remains on balancing inflation control with economic growth to ensure stability in Africa’s largest economy.

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