- AUDJPY Weekly Outlook October 30 – November 3
The weak Australian fundamental and China’s deleveraging effort plunged the Aussie against most currencies.
However, the Japanese Yen standout because of its stability and renewed interest in the Japanese economy since Prime Minister Shinzo Abe won his re-election in October.
Since I first mentioned this pair sell opportunity in mid-October, it has dropped 92 pips to close below 88.17 price level and 20-day moving average. Suggesting that investors are concern about the impact of rising household debt and weak wage growth on Australia’s consumer spending going forward.
Also, while the strong Australian job market has failed to boost consumers’ earnings. It is projected to slow down in the first half of 2018, especially in the mining sector, when China is expected to cut Iron Ore importation to curb extreme pollution and institute tough credit control measures to contain escalating business debt. China is Australia’s largest trading partner.
Japan, on the other hand, continued to sustain growth through improved exports and increased productivity that saw the economy growing at 2.6 percent rate in the second quarter despite weak wage growth.
This, boost Yen attractiveness even though the Bank of Japan’s Governor Haruhiko Kuroda insisted on maintaining the current monetary policy to further stimulate the economy and contain foreign exchange rate.
Technically, I do not see AUDJPY topping its 22-month high this year for two main reasons, one the Australian economic fundamentals are below expectations, forcing the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave interest rate unchanged in October. Two, China has capped importation of Iron Ore, one of Australia’s largest export. This is a huge setback for a commodity-dependent currency like the Aussie dollar.
Therefore, as long as price remains below the 88.17 I will continue to add to my sell position for 86.34 targets. A sustained break below the ascending trendline should open up 84.10 support. Hence, I remain bearish on this pair as stated previously.
While the currency has been favoured by growing uncertainties and improved global economic outlook, the Aussie dollar remained overpriced as stated previously and expected to dip against strong currencies like the Japanese yen, backed by strong and growing economic fundamental. An excerpt from forex weekly outlook of Oct 16-20.
Akinwumi Adesina Extols Africans in Diaspora on Cross-Border Remittance
African Development Bank (AfDB) President, Akinwumi Adeshina has extolled the tenacity and impacts of Africans in Diaspora on cross-border remittance.
According to the AfDB President, Africans in the diaspora are the continent’s largest financiers through their yearly remittances.
Speaking at an event organised by the Bank in collaboration with the African Union Commission, Adeshina noted that cross-border remittance into Africa is more than development assistance to the continent.
Investors King earlier reported that remittance into Nigeria and other countries in the sub-Sahara Africa region hits $53 billion in 2022.
The AfDB President said, “The value of remittances from the African diaspora doubled from $37 billion in 2010 to $87 billion in 2019, reaching $95.6 billion by 2021. Yet official development assistance to Africa in 2021 was $35 billion, or 36% of the remittances from the diaspora”.
Adeshina added that Egypt and Nigeria are among the top-ten remittance recipients globally, with $31.5 billion and $19.2 billion, respectively in 2021.
While speaking on the advantage of cross-border remittance to the African continent, the AfDB president noted that remittances have helped to meet financial, food, education, and health needs of many Africans, “it as well as serve as countercyclical sources of finance,” he said.
“The African diaspora has become the largest financier in Africa! And it is not debt, it is 100% gifts or grants, a new form of concessional financing that is the key for livelihood and security for millions of Africans” he added.
Similarly, Adeshina further positioned the need to eliminate premium charges on cross-border remittance into Africa. He noted that cross-border into Africa is twice what is it for South Asia.
He concluded that the Africans in diaspora can add more than remittance and investment, noting that they have skills, knowledge and know-how which can be needed for the development of the continent.
“They can help build world-class universities, and they can be mentors for the new generation of Africans,” he said.
E-Naira Transaction Volume Rises to N5 Billion in November Amid Intensified Campaign
More Nigerians embrace eNaira wallet as CBN takes adoption campaign across the nation
The Central Bank of Nigeria, (CBN) has disclosed that e-Naira transaction volume rose to a record N5 billion in the month of November following a series of campaigns initiated to encourage adoption.
Investors King had earlier reported how the e-Naira adoption team visited a number of parks in Abuja and the University of Lagos among other locations to drive the adoption of the digital currency.
Speaking at the Second Edition of the Africa Cashless Payment Conference, CBN’s Director of Information and Technology, Hajiya Rakiya Mohammed noted that transaction on the e-naira platform does not attract any charges.
She stated that Nigeria’s financial ecosystem is large to accommodate everyone.
Hajia Rakiya added that the e-Naira platform can be operated in any of Nigeria’s major local languages, stating that onboarding onto the e-Naira platform is a simple process.
She further stressed that the primary goal of the e-naira is to reduce the amount of cash in circulation, thereby downsizing the cost of producing paper currency, increase in revenue and direct disbursement to citizens.
Meanwhile, the e-Naira circulation has reached N401.82 million as more Nigerians embraced the digital currency.
It could be recalled that on October 25, 2021, CBN launched the e-Naira making Nigeria the first African country to have a digital currency.
During the unveiling of the e-Naira in Abuja, President Muhammadu Buhari stated that the digital naira would increase remittances, foster cross-border trade, improve financial inclusion and enable the government to make welfare payments more easily.
On his part, the CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele disclosed that the e-Naira offered Nigerians endless possibilities in using financial services.
While admonishing more Nigerians to embrace the digital naira, Hajia Rakiya noted that “both banked and unbanked can use it, and it can be done through USSD *997#. We have integrated it with telecoms and NIBBS instant payments plus integration with money transfer operations so you can use e-naira for cross border”.
CBN Will Redesign Naira Notes Every Five to Eight Years; Say Emefiele
The central bank will henceforth redesign the nation’s legal tender every five to eight years
Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Godwin Emefiele has said the bank will henceforth redesign the nation’s legal tender every five to eight years.
The apex bank governor revealed at the unveiling of the new naira notes on Tuesday.
Godwin Emefiele explained that the naira redesign is in line with global best practice noting that the naira needed to be redesigned and re-issued every five to eight years.
According to the CBN governor, previous administrations lacked the political will to approve the redesign of the naira notes. Stating that it is regrettable that the naira has not been redesigned for the past 19 years.
“In the past, I have to confess that attempts by the CBN to redesign and re-issue the naira notes have been resisted. It is only President Muhammadu Buhari that has exhibited the courage to do so,” the CBN governor stated.
Emefiele added that going forward, naira notes will be redesigned at intervals to address some peculiar issues.
“After today, the CBN will begin to redesign and reissue the naira every five to eight years,” he said.
Investors King had earlier reported that President Muhammadu Buhari unveiled the redesigned naira notes at the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting today.
Among those who joined the president with the unveiling include the CBN governor and the EFCC chairman.
Recall, in October, the CBN announced it will redesign the N200, N500 and N1,000 notes in line with its mandate.
Meanwhile, the CBN governor has disclosed that the new naira notes can not be counterfeited because of the features embedded in them.
Similarly, he added that security agencies would be monitoring people making withdrawals at the counter to sniff out money laundering and unravel illegal usage.
“The CBN has moved to a cashless economy. We will restrain the volume of cash someone will withdraw over the counter. We will follow up with the person’s data to know the reason for such withdrawal,” he concluded.
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