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$5.5b Eurobond: Govt Eyes December Deadline

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  • $5.5b Eurobond: Govt Eyes December Deadline

The Federal Government will, through the Debt Management Office (DMO), raise $5.5 billion from Eurobonds sales latest by December.

This will bring the total funds raised through the Eurobond –International Capital Market (ICM) by the Federal Government to $7 billion in less than one year. A total of $1.5 billion was previously raised in two tranches of $1 billion and $500 million.

In a report released yesterday by FBN Capital Research, titled: Job done by the DMO Yet Still More to Do, the investment and research firm said, the debt office approaches this week’s regular auction of Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bonds from what appears a position of strength.

“It has already met its target of N1.25 trillion in domestic financing of the 2017 FGN budget deficit. It has collected N1.26 trillion (gross) from the nine monthly auctions held to date, and is looking to raise a further N100 billion from the reopening of the five and 10-year benchmarks,” it said.

The report said the bid for the offer has been strongest for the 20-year paper, which is not on offer this month or indeed for the rest of the quarter.

“In the secondary market, the yields on the two issues on offer this week have declined by about 110 basis points since the last DMO auction, to 14.88 per cent for the July 21s and 14.81 per cent for the March 27s on Friday. The authorities will be hoping that the bid will be healthy and conceivably match September’s (N395 billion), with a strong offshore element,” it said.

The report said that while the DMO has bought itself some room for manoeuvre due to its textbook front-loading of issuance, it knows that it may have to raise additional funds because the 2017 budget deficit is almost certain to overshoot the projected N2.36 trillion in view of poor non-oil revenue collection.

At the same time, it may have to adjust its strategy for the uncertainties surrounding the attainment of the target of N1.07 trillion (US$3.5 billion at the budget rate of N305) for external financing of the deficit. We await patiently the National Assembly’s go-ahead for these sales and for the FGN’s planned debt restructuring.

In a related report, Sub-Saharan Africa Economist, at Renaissance Capital (RenCap), Yvonne Mhango said, the plan to borrow $5.5 billion through Eurobonds will raise the country’s debt service to revenue cost beyond 62 per cent.

She said capital releases for the 2016 budget continued into the first quarter of this year while public debt has increased by seven percentage points of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) since 2014.

On the debt service/revenue, she said: “Nigeria’s debt service/revenue has risen sharply in recent years to 62 per cent at June 2017 against 29 per cent in 2014. This largely reflects the Federal Government’s low revenue/GDP target of four per cent this year. The Federal Government plans a $5.5 billion Eurobond issuance before year-end 2017, as part of its efforts to lower local interest rates, by reducing domestic debt/total public debt to 60 per cent, against over 70 per cent today”.

Mhango said budget performance in the first seven months of this year and debt developments showed there were no capital releases for the 2017 budget, because it was passed late. She said the Federal Government’s 2017 budget of N7.4 trillion was 6.2 per cent of GDP, and was signed by the executive, after being passed by the Senate in May.

Of this, N3.1 trillion (2.5 per cent of GDP) was spent in seven month. “Expenditure in seven month was 30 per cent below the (pro-rata) target and was entirely made up of recurrent spending. There were no capital releases from the budget because of its late approval. However, capital releases did take place in seventh month, as the 2016 budget continued to be implemented into first quarter of this year,” she said.

Mhango said revenue came in on target, at N2.6 trillion (2.1 per cent of GDP) because of a one-off refund from the Paris Club. “When this is stripped out, there was a 20 per cent shortfall in revenue. Below-target spending – due to delayed capital releases – explains the small budget deficit for seven month of 0.8 per cent of GDP, by our estimate, as against the 1.5 per cent (pro-rata) target,” she said.

She disclosed that the federation account revenue was one-third below target, and that three-quarters of the FGN’s planned revenue for this year is expected to come from the Federation Account, of which two-thirds will stem from oil revenue.

She, however, said Nigeria’s public debt/GDP is low as against the Sub-Saharan African average of 45 per cent, but it has seen a strong increase in recent years, adding that since 2014, it has risen by seven percentage points of GDP to 16.4 per cent of GDP in June 2017, with 70 per cent of the increase due to domestic debt.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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