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FG August N135 Billion Bond Fails with 41.5% Subscription

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  • FG August N135 Billion Bond Fails with 41.5% Subscription

The federal government’s N135 billion bonds issued by the Debt Management Office in August was 41.5 per cent subscribed as the agency could only raise N56.05 billion from the auction. The latest auction reflects a poor outing not experienced in the market in a very long time and is a sharp contrast to the January auction, where the bonds were sold at slightly higher rates but raised a total of N215 billion, 165.3 per cent of the amount that was on offer.

The auction for the N135 billion bonds, which proceeds the federal government plans to finance part of the deficit in the 2017 budget opened on August 23 and closed on August 25, 2017.

The bonds, floated in three tranches of N35 billion FGN Bonds, N50 billion FGN Bonds and N50 FBN Bonds were sold at 14.5 per cent, 16.2884 per cent and 16.2499 per cent respectively. They, respectively, have 5-year (July 15, 2021), 10-Year (March 17, 2027), and 20-Year (April 18, 2037) maturities.

The bond auction coincided with the open market operation (OMO) of the Central Bank of Nigeria and an FX auction also conducted by the apex bank. A total of N171billon in OMO bills was sold by CBN on Monday, August 21; Tuesday, August 22 and Wednesday, August 23 – all in the same week the DMO (Wednesday) auction failed.

The poor subscription to the bonds might not be unconnected with investors’ preference for the 1-year tenor OMO bills, which were more attractive at 18.549 per cent than the bonds that were sold at the rate of 16.80 per cent of at least 5-year tenor.

Besides, market sources reasoned that, “When you consider that over N200 billion of OMO bills were sold in the prior week, then one might argue that CBN took all the money from the system so nothing was left for the bond auction.”

“Even if they had taken all the money offered at the maximum bid rate, they would have raised only N63.65 billion, a 47.1 per cent success rate. This abysmal level of interest has not been seen in a few years,” a treasurer lamented.

The results of the CBN OMO auction revealed that, a total of N171.072 billion worth of treasury bills were sold, broken down into N51.929 billion sold on August 21; N60.866 billion sold on August 22 and N58.277 billion sold on August 23.

An industry source, who is a dealer in one of the major banks, noted: “With the 1-year tenor OMO selling for a discount rate of 18.549 per cent, this is actually a true yield of 22.60 per cent. With risk free 1-year rates at that level, there is no way long term bonds can sell in large volumes at 16.9 per cent yield. This inverted yield curve has been with us for over a year and shows no signs of normalising.”

On concerns raised on budget deficit financing, Director, Union Capital Ltd, Egie Akpata, reasoned that, “The low subscription levels of the August DMO bond auction were very unusual and so it is premature to say if it will have any impact on the FGN budget deficit funding.”

Cautioning that, “If we should have another month of such low performance this year, then a few more questions might need to be asked.” Akpata, however, allayed the fears that the bond failure has left the government with scarce resources. “It is worth noting that in the January bond auction, DMO took up N215 billion as against an initial plan of N130 billion so there is some room to have sub par auctions and still raise the funds to finance the budget deficit.”

The director, who is a capital market operator, acknowledged that, “The CBN has successfully stabilised the exchange rate and is bringing down inflation by maintaining very tight liquidity conditions.” He, however, cautioned that, “Any deviation from that script could easily send the naira into a free fall, inflation could rise and the economy fall back into recession.”

“However, it is very likely that this laser focus on liquidity management starved the August DMO bond auction of much needed demand. I would expect to see better coordination between the CBN and DMO around future auctions. At least now the FGN/DMO knows what other bond issuers face trying to issue long term debt into a market where CBN is paying up to 22.6 per cent for 1 year risk treasury bills,” he added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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