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Shell, Chevron Unaware of NNPC’s Plan to Extend $1bn Gas Pipeline to Cote d’Ivoire

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Gas-Pipeline
  • Shell, Chevron Unaware of NNPC’s Plan to Extend $1bn Gas Pipeline to Cote d’Ivoire

Shell and Chevron, which are major shareholders in the Chevron-run West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited (WAGPCo), owners of the $1 billion West African Gas Pipeline, are not yet aware of the plan by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) to extend the 678-kilometre pipeline to Cote D’Ivoire, investigation has revealed.

Also, investigation gathered at the weekend from the Managing Director of WAGPCo, Mr. Walter Perez that the existing pipeline, which runs from Nigeria to Togo is currently underutilised with only 70 million standard cubic feet per day of gas (mmscf/d) available in the 150mmscf/d capacity pipeline.

Perez, however, noted that the 70 mmscf of gas available daily is enough to service end users in Ghana, Togo and Benin Republic.

N-Gas, which is a separate company, also jointly-owned by Shell, Chevron and the NNPC, buys gas from oil companies in Nigeria and transport the it to its customers in Benin, Togo and Ghana, through the pipeline, operated by WAGPCo.

With headquarters in Accra, WAPCo is owned by Chevron West African Gas Pipeline Ltd (36.9 per cent); NNPC (24.9 per cent); Shell Overseas Holdings Limited (17.9 per cent); Takoradi Power Company Limited (16.3 per cent), Societe Togolaise de Gaz (two per cent) and Societe BenGaz S.A. (two per cent).

The pipeline is connected to Escravos-Lagos pipeline from Itoki area of Ogun State and goes through Agido near Badagry in Lagos, passing through 33 Nigerian communities and thereafter goes offshore to the three countries.

Despite the inadequate gas supply to the existing pipeline, which has left the $1bn facility virtually empty, the Group Managing Director of NNPC, Dr. Maikanti Baru, represented by the corporation’s Chief Operating Officer in charge of Gas and Power, Mr. Saidu Mohammed, had told a delegation led by the Deputy Director, Production, Ministry of Petroleum of Cote d’Ivoire, Mr. Patrick Marshal, in Abuja early this month, that Nigeria would extend gas supplies from Escravos to Cote d’Ivoire through the pipeline.

The commitment to extend the pipeline is also coming at a time many power generating plants in Nigeria are idle as a result of insufficient gas to generate electricity.

However, Chevron and Shell, which are also major shareholders in the project, are not part of the plans to extend the pipeline.

A Shell official who spoke on condition of anonymity, said at the weekend that extending the pipeline was not a priority of the company as “project economics would not justify such investment in the face of the prevailing gas supply challenges in Nigeria”

“Where is the gas that will feed the pipeline? The agreement initiated by ECOWAS is that N-Gas should be allocated a space in the pipeline to take up to 200 million standard cubic feet of gas per day to its customers. But at the best of times, the gas supply has never exceeded 120 mmscf/d. So, what are the fundamentals driving the proposed extension?” he queried.

A Chevron source, who also spoke on the matter, disclosed that NNPC, Shell and Chevron, which are the owners of N-Gas, had paid in excess of $15 million as compensation to Ghana’s Volta River Authority (VRA), for failure to meet their contractual obligations on gas supply to the Ghana’s electricity producing company as specified in a 20-year contract.

According to him, the contract provides that if N-Gas does not supply the gas, it pays compensation to enable VRA buys crude oil to augment the gas shortfall.

“They have defaulted on several occasions and paid compensation in excess of $15 million. If the shareholders are paying compensation because they default in providing gas, how could they talk of extending the pipeline to supply gas to additional areas when there is no gas to feel the space in the existing pipeline and supply current customers? I think NNPC was making political statement,” he explained.

Investigation gathered that WAGPCo’s nameplate capacity is to transport 475mmscf of gas per day but only less than 130 mmscf/d of gas was available at the best of times, thus leaving the facility to be sub-optimally utilised.

Perez said at the weekend that the pipeline has the capacity to move 150 mmscf of gas to customers daily at the moment but is currently transporting only70 mmscf/d because that is what the customers require.

“We can move over 150mmscf per day today but we are operating at 70 mmscf/d currently. Today, they (customers) require 70 mmscf/d and that is why we are moving 70 mmscf/d. What they call for is 70 mmscf/d and that is why we are moving 70 mmscf/d but we are working to increase it to higher levels but today, that is what they are calling for,” he explained.

Perez also cited pipeline vandalism, debt and availability of alternative energy supplies to the company’s customers as some of the challenges facing the company.

“The industry has been challenged with vandalism but the good news is that the volumes of gas have come back and we are quite please with that,” he said.

“The challenge for us is that when the gas supply is not available, our customers have to find alternative supplies of energy. That is a real challenge for us. When the pipeline was built, there was gas only in Nigeria and very affordable but today, people have access to LNG and are also developing their own resources. So, when our pipeline is not available, it makes our customers to go out and look for alternatives. For us, it is important that when the gas is available, we can move it. Today, like I said, the customers are calling for a certain amount and we are providing them,” Perez explained.

“Debt is an issue that we are working to resolve. We see a window of opportunities coming in the next couple of months. So, we are working with the people involved to settle their accounts with WAGPCo,” he added.

Investigation revealed that due to the non-utilisation of the pipeline by N-Gas, sub-regional ministers, otherwise referred to as the Committee of Ministers of the West African Countries had planned to amend the International Project Agreement (IPA) to enable other entities to use the pipeline.

Meanwhile, the NNPC has disclosed that it will drastically cut down by 80 per cent, the amount of Nigerian crude oil it gives to third-party traders to export on its behalf for Nigeria from 2018.

It said from the end of 2018, its reformed trading subsidiary – the NNPC Trading Limited, would market 80 per cent of Nigerian crude in the international market, leaving the remaining 20 per cent for third-party traders.

Usually, the corporation uses tenured oil lifting contract with third-party traders to sell volumes of Nigeria’s share of oil produced in its Joint Venture (JV) and Production Sharing Contract (PSC) with International Oil Companies (IOCs) operating in the country.

For instance, it shortlisted 39 firms comprising 18 Nigerian-owned oil companies; 11 international trading houses; five foreign refineries; three foreign National Oil Companies (NOCs) and two of its trading subsidiaries, to lift and export about 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil in the 2017 lifting term contract.

However, in an interview obtained yesterday from the latest edition of a refurbished in-house quarterly magazine of the NNPC, the Managing Director of NNPC Trading Limited, Ibrahim Waya, disclosed that from 2018, the corporation would be marketing most of its crude oil with minimal volumes to third-party traders.

Waya, explained that the plan was in line with the merger of NNPC’s four trading subsidiaries – Duke Oil; Hyson Carlson; Nigermed; and NAK Oil, into a single unit, and training of young oil traders at the Princeton College of Petroleum Studies, Oxford England, to undertake the task.

“We have a vision, we want to be somewhere and when we look at what we are doing today, compared to where we were yesterday, we know that we are on a threshold of history,” said Waya in the interview.

However, the NNPC has invited the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), and Department of State Security (DSS) to deal with the lingering acts of fraudulent crude oil sales contract.

In a statement from its Group General Manager, Public Affairs, Ndu Ughamadu, it noted that the fraudulent activities of crude oil scammers was on the rise, and provided insights into the mode of operations of the perpetrators.

Quoting its Group General Manager, Crude Oil Marketing Division (COMD), Mr. Mele Kyari, the statement said the scammers were fond using hotel rooms to perpetrate their acts, adding that NNPC does not sell crude oil from hotel rooms.

Kyari, said the scammers usually lure their unsuspecting victims with higher discount offers on cargoes, and crude allocation.

He noted that: “Some of them even go to the extent of luring their victims to hotels to transact these fraudulent crude oil contracts. The entire public should know that NNPC doesn’t do business of crude oil marketing from hotel rooms.”

According to him, there was only one way of buying crude oil from the NNPC which was through advertisement for the selection of customers who were screened for compliance with NNPC’s expectations and standards.

“There are very high standards we have set and if you don’t meet them, you cannot be our customer. And once you become our customer, we sign a single annual contract with you,” Kyari added, while stating that the crude contracts were typically 30,000 to 32,000bpd which accumulate into a standard cargo size of 950,000bpd per month, but not two to three million bpd contracts as peddled by the scammers.

He also said for the crude oil sale processes to be completed, the customer had to show that he had the capability to sell the cargo to the market and that the NNPC could get its money back.

Stating that 98 per cent of all the documents used by the scammers were fake, Kyari explained that the processes employed by the corporation had not leaked so far.

He said in line with the government’s anti-corruption crusade and NNPC’s commitment to transparency and accountability, the COMD had been collaborating with the Nigerian Police Force (NPF); DSS; and EFCC to checkmate the fraudsters, and that the collaboration was yielding results.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

IEA Cuts 2024 Oil Demand Growth Forecast by 100,000 Barrels per Day

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Crude Oil

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has reduced its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd).

The agency cited a sluggish start to the year in developed economies as a key factor contributing to the downward revision.

According to the latest Oil Market Report released by the IEA, global oil consumption has continued to experience a slowdown in growth momentum with first-quarter growth estimated at 1.6 million bpd.

This figure falls short of the IEA’s previous forecast by 120,000 bpd, indicating a more sluggish demand recovery than anticipated.

With much of the post-Covid rebound already realized, the IEA now projects global oil demand to grow by 1.2 million bpd in 2024.

Furthermore, growth is expected to decelerate further to 1.1 million bpd in the following year, reflecting ongoing challenges in the market.

This revision comes just a month after the IEA had raised its outlook for 2024 oil demand growth by 110,000 bpd from its February report.

At that time, the agency had expected demand growth to reach 1.3 million bpd for 2024, indicating a more optimistic outlook compared to the current revision.

The IEA’s latest demand growth estimates diverge significantly from those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). While the IEA projects modest growth, OPEC maintains its forecast of robust global oil demand growth of 2.2 million bpd for 2024, consistent with its previous assessment.

However, uncertainties loom over the global oil market, particularly due to geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions.

The IEA has highlighted the impact of drone attacks from Ukraine on Russian refineries, which could potentially disrupt fuel markets globally.

Up to 600,000 bpd of Russia’s refinery capacity could be offline in the second quarter due to these attacks, according to the IEA’s assessment.

Furthermore, unplanned outages in Europe and tepid Chinese activity have contributed to a lowered forecast of global refinery throughputs for 2024.

The IEA now anticipates refinery throughputs to rise by 1 million bpd to 83.3 million bpd, reflecting the challenges facing the refining sector.

The situation has raised concerns among policymakers, with the United States expressing worries over the impact of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries.

There are fears that these attacks could lead to retaliatory measures from Russia and result in higher international oil prices.

As the global oil market navigates through these challenges, stakeholders will closely monitor developments and adjust their strategies accordingly to adapt to the evolving landscape.

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Crude Oil

Federal Government Allows Indigenous Refineries to Purchase Crude Oil in Naira or Dollars

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Dangote Refinery

The Federal Government of Nigeria has announced that domestic crude oil refiners and other operators in the sector are now permitted to buy crude oil in either naira or dollars.

This move comes as a response to longstanding demands from stakeholders in the industry and is poised to reshape the dynamics of the nation’s oil market.

The announcement was made on Monday through the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission during a briefing in Abuja.

According to the commission, the decision to allow the purchase of crude oil in naira or dollars aligns with the provisions of Section 109(2) of the Petroleum Industry Act 2021.

The development of the new template involved collaboration with key stakeholders, including representatives from NNPC Upstream Investment Management Services, Crude Oil/Condensate Producers, Crude Oil Refinery-Owners Association of Nigeria, and Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

Chief Executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, Gbenga Komolafe, said the new template will ensure a seamless implementation of the Domestic Crude Oil Supply Obligation (DCSO) and maintain a consistent supply of crude oil to domestic refineries.

He highlighted that the flexibility to transact in either naira or dollars would alleviate pressure on the country’s foreign exchange rate, potentially benefiting the overall economy.

Responding to inquiries regarding the currency of transaction, Komolafe reiterated that payments could be made in either United States dollars or naira, or a combination of both, as agreed upon in the Sales and Purchase Agreement (SPA) between the producer and the refiner.

This flexibility is expected to ease the financial burden on indigenous refineries and support their sustainability in the face of economic challenges.

The decision comes after modular refineries in Nigeria faced threats of shutdown due to difficulties in accessing foreign exchange for crude oil purchases.

These refineries with a combined capacity of producing 200,000 barrels of crude oil daily, struggled to secure dollars for purchasing crude, which is priced in US dollars.

The Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria had previously expressed concerns over the impact of the foreign exchange crisis on their operations.

Furthermore, alongside the announcement regarding crude oil purchases, the government revealed an increase in the country’s crude oil and condensate reserves to 37.5 billion barrels as of January 1, 2024.

Gas reserves also saw an uptick, reaching 209.26 trillion cubic feet during the same period, signifying substantial potential for future exploration and production activities.

As Nigeria navigates its oil and gas landscape, the decision to allow indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in naira or dollars marks a significant step towards supporting local industry players and promoting economic stability in the sector.

With the potential to enhance operational efficiency and mitigate financial challenges, this policy shift holds promise for the growth and sustainability of Nigeria’s oil refining sector.

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Commodities

Citigroup Predicts $3,000 Value Amidst Investor Surge

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gold bars - Investors King

Citigroup Inc. has predicted that the world’s leading safe haven asset, gold will reach $3,000 per ounce.

This announcement comes amidst a significant surge in investor interest in the precious metal, fueled by a myriad of factors ranging from geopolitical tensions to shifting monetary policies.

Analysts at Citigroup, led by Aakash Doshi, have upgraded their estimates for average gold prices in 2024 to $2,350, with a 40% upward revision in their 2025 prediction to $2,875.

They anticipate that trading will regularly test and surpass the $2,500 price level in the latter half of the year.

The rationale behind Citigroup’s optimistic outlook lies in several key factors. Firstly, the expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has spurred increased investor inflows into gold as historically low interest rates tend to make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.

Also, ongoing conflicts in regions such as the Middle East and Ukraine have heightened geopolitical uncertainty, further bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.

Furthermore, central banks, particularly those in emerging markets, have been actively accumulating gold reserves, adding to the overall demand for the precious metal.

China, in particular, has demonstrated robust consumer demand for gold, further underpinning Citigroup’s bullish stance.

According to Citigroup analysts, the resurgence of inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has played a significant role in supporting the climb towards the $3,000 mark.

This trend marks a departure from recent years, where such inflows were relatively subdued.

While Citigroup acknowledges the possibility of a pullback in prices around May or June, they anticipate strong buying support at the $2,200 per ounce threshold, suggesting that any dips in price may be short-lived.

The bank’s forecast aligns with sentiments expressed by other major financial institutions. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., for instance, has raised its year-end forecast for gold to $2,700, citing similar factors driving the commodity’s upward trajectory.

UBS Group AG also sees gold reaching $2,500 by the year’s end, further corroborating the bullish outlook shared by Citigroup.

As investors brace for what could be a historic rally in gold prices, Citigroup’s projection serves as a testament to the growing optimism surrounding the precious metal.

With geopolitical tensions simmering and central banks poised to enact accommodative monetary policies, gold appears poised to shine brightly in the months ahead, potentially realizing Citigroup’s ambitious target of $3,000 per ounce.

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