Connect with us

Investment

Investors Keen on Modular Refineries Despite Challenges

Published

on

modular refinery
  • Investors Keen on Modular Refineries Despite Challenges

After many years of lack of investment in private refineries in Nigeria, several local and foreign investors are keen to establish modular refineries in a bid to ramp up the nation’s crude oil refining capacity.

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Ibe Kachikwu, said last week that 33 refinery licences had been given to private investors but lack of financing had been one of the major challenges facing them.

Of all the private investors that were given the licence to establish refineries, only the Niger Delta Petroleum Resources Limited in Rivers State has been able to build a 1,000 barrels-per-day refinery, and is working to increase the capacity to 10,000bpd.

Aside from the funding challenges, industry stakeholders have over the years stressed the need for the government to fully deregulate the downstream sector of the oil and gas industry to encourage private investors to come into the refining space.

According to the Department of Petroleum Resources, the establishment of modular refinery plants shall be with design capacity not more than 30,000 bpsd, and its location shall be strategic and influenced by proximity to the source of crude oil, producing marginal fields and tie-in to supply infrastructure or clusters.

Last week, Eko Petrochem and Refining Company Limited announced the provision of a grant by the United States Trade and Development Agency towards the construction of a 20,000bpd crude oil refinery in Lagos.

It said the grant of $797,343 was meant for a feasibility study supporting technologies and development of an implementation plan for the modular refinery on Tomaro Island in Lagos.

Eko Petrochem and Refining Company said it had selected Texas-based VFuels LLC to carry out the study, which would provide technical analyses and engineering and design needed to advance the refinery.

The Chairman, Eko Petrochem and Refining Company, Mr. Emmanuel Iheanacho, said the US government, acting through the USTDA, said the funds received would help ensure the timely completion of the project.

He said several studies, including the front-end engineering design as well as the environmental impact assessment, had been completed, adding that about $250m would be required to complete the refinery.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation recently announced that an Indonesian firm, PT Intim Perkasa Nigeria Ltd, a subsidiary of PT Intim Perkasa, had indicated interest to build a 10,000 bpd modular refinery in Nigeria.

The Head of Investor Relations, PTPP (Persero) Tbk, partners to PT Intim Perkasa Nigeria Ltd, Mr. Adi Hartadi, had during a business meeting with the Group Managing Director, NNPC, Dr. Maikanti Baru, stated that the proposed refinery would be located in Akwa Ibom State.

Last month, stakeholders, including the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry and oil industry players, expressed concerns over the low level of investment in refineries in the country despite the increase in the number of licences in the hands of private investors.

They said it was shameful that the country, Africa’s top oil producer, had continued to rely heavily on importation to meets its fuel needs over the years.

At the 2017 Second Business Clinic Programme organised by the Petroleum Downstream Group of the LCCI, the President, LCCI, Dr. Nike Akande, said the nation’s downstream sector was still grappling with many regulatory issues.

“An increase in investment in modular refinery and even bigger refineries will bring a lot of value to the Nigerian economy,” she said, adding that it would boost the inflow of foreign capital in the country.

The ECOWAS Regional Advisor, African Refiners Association, Mr. Tony Ogbuigwe, said fuel demand in Africa would continue to rise through to 2040, presenting a clear opportunity for modular and full-scale refineries.

He said, “We now have serious interests from Chinese investors to invest in new refineries in Nigeria. Our huge population and the consequent large demand is the attraction. By 2020, aggregate Nigerian demand will be equivalent to 800,000 barrels per stream day refining capacity.”

Ogbuigwe, who is the chief executive officer of PEJAD Nigeria Ltd, said the DPR had removed the stumbling block of a $1m registration fee for those seeking licence to establish refineries.

He described modular refineries as ideal for stranded production fields and remote locations, and could be put together within a relatively shorter time span.

According to him, a 20,000 bpsd modular refinery will cost about $250m, and it is easier to access funds for modular plants.

Ogbuigwe stressed the need for full deregulation of the downstream sector, adding that the private sector should drive new refinery investments and access to crude oil supplies should be made easier for investors on commercial terms.

He urged the government to divest its equity in the existing refineries to below 40 per cent, which should be managed by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation.

A Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Mr. Pedro Omontuemhen, said Nigeria’s refineries had continued to operate at abysmally low utilisation rates, with 8.5 per cent combined utilisation last year.

He said, “To actualise the country’s quest for self sufficiency and end reliance on importation of refined petroleum products by 2019, modular refineries provide a cost-effective, flexible and commercially viable option.”

According to him, imports currently account for over 80 per cent of West Africa’s refined product supply.

Omontuemhen said, “Current demand for refined products in the region is estimated at 39 billion litres and refineries such as SIR (Ivory Coast), SOGARA (Gabon) and SAR (Senegal) cannot meet this. There is an opportunity for potential uptake by neighbouring countries if the market has Nigeria’s refined products readily available.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Treasury Bills

CBN Set to Auction N166.1 Billion in Treasury Bills Amid Economic Data Releases

Published

on

FG Borrows

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced plans to auction N166.1 billion in Treasury bills.

This auction comes amidst a flurry of economic data releases and amidst concerns over the nation’s fiscal health.

Scheduled for the upcoming week, the auction will include N27.11 billion for the 91-day tenor, N1.49 billion for the 182-day tenor, and N137.50 billion for the 364-day tenor.

This strategic allocation shows the CBN’s efforts to manage liquidity and control inflationary pressures during global economic uncertainties.

The decision aligns with broader fiscal strategies as the United States and India prepare to release crucial consumer price index reports, expected to influence global market sentiment.

Concurrently, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is set to unveil its monthly oil market report, detailing shifts in global oil supply and demand dynamics.

Nigeria’s economic landscape has recently faced challenges, with May witnessing a dip in oil production to 1.25 million barrels per day, down from 1.28 million in April.

This decline has been attributed to various factors, including oil theft in the Niger Delta and aging infrastructure—a setback impacting national revenue streams.

The Treasury bill auction is a cornerstone of the CBN’s monetary policy toolkit, aiming not only to fund government operations but also to influence short-term interest rates and manage inflation expectations.

Analysts anticipate keen interest from both domestic and international investors, gauging Nigeria’s commitment to fiscal discipline amid fluctuating oil prices and global economic shifts.

Moreover, the stability of Nigeria’s foreign exchange market, marked by the recent convergence of the naira/dollar rate at N1,520 across official and parallel markets, is expected to complement the CBN’s monetary actions.

This convergence signifies progress in the CBN’s efforts to stabilize the currency amidst external economic pressures.

Looking ahead, the outcome of the Treasury bill auction will likely set the tone for Nigeria’s financial markets, providing insights into investor confidence and the government’s ability to manage fiscal challenges.

As stakeholders await the results, the economic landscape remains poised for further developments, influenced by both local policy measures and global economic indicators.

Continue Reading

Investment

Nigeria Sees Record $3.38 Billion in Q1 Foreign Investments

Published

on

US Dollar - Investorsking.com

Nigeria attracted a record $3.38 billion in foreign investments during the first quarter of 2024, the highest quarterly inflow in four years.

This surge in investments is largely attributed to reforms implemented by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), as revealed in the latest capital importation report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The report highlighted a 210.2 percent increase in foreign investments from the $1.09 billion recorded in the previous quarter.

Year-on-year, foreign capital inflows rose by an impressive 198.1 percent from $1.13 billion in Q1 of 2023.

Analysts point to several key reforms by the CBN that have boosted investor confidence. These include the harmonization of the foreign exchange rate market, the clearance of forex backlogs, naira devaluation, and high interest rates aimed at curbing inflation.

These measures have collectively sent positive signals to investors, prompting a significant increase in capital inflows.

Portfolio investment was the largest contributor to the foreign investment surge, accounting for $2.08 billion, or 61.5 percent of the total.

Other investments followed, with $1.18 billion (34.9 percent), while foreign direct investment (FDI) lagged behind, contributing only $119.2 million (3.53 percent).

Money market instruments under portfolio investment saw a dramatic increase, surging by 592.7 percent to $1.61 billion in Q1 from $231.8 million in Q4. Compared to Q1 of the previous year, this represents an astonishing rise of 1,175.2 percent.

“On the money market front, open market operations (OMO) were the major contributors. Foreign investors were attracted to the over 25 percent yield for a carry trade in naira while managing the attendant FX risks,” explained Temitope Omosuyi, investment strategy manager at Afrinvest Limited.

The CBN is also expected to receive a $1 billion loan from Afrexim as part of a $3.3 billion inflow from a commodity swap deal.

This anticipated inflow further shows the growing confidence in Nigeria’s economic prospects.

Foreign inflows into stocks jumped fivefold in the first three months of the year to N93.37 billion from N18.12 billion in the same period last year, the highest in any three-month period since 2019.

“The CBN’s reforms have transformed Nigeria from being uninvestable a year ago to an attractive investment destination today,” commented a foreign portfolio manager who preferred to remain anonymous. “The settlement of the FX backlog, shift to a more market-determined exchange rate, and a more credible monetary policy are proving too hard to resist for investors.”

The NBS report also showed that the banking sector recorded the highest capital inflows with $2.07 billion, representing 61.2 percent of the total.

This was followed by the trading sector, valued at $494.9 million (14.7 percent), and the production/manufacturing sector, which attracted $191.9 million (5.68 percent).

Geographically, the capital importation report revealed that most of the investments originated from the United Kingdom, contributing $1.81 billion (53.5 percent).

The Republic of South Africa followed with $582.3 million (17.3 percent) and the Cayman Islands with $186.2 million (5.52 percent).

Lagos State emerged as the top destination for foreign capital, receiving $2.78 billion, or 82.4 percent of the total capital imported. It was followed by Abuja (FCT) with $593.6 million (17.6 percent) and Ekiti with $0.01 million.

Stanbic IBTC Bank Plc received the highest capital importation into Nigeria with $1.26 billion (37.2 percent), followed by Citibank Nigeria Limited with $547.7 million (16.2 percent), and Rand Merchant Bank Plc with $528.7 million (15.7 percent).

Despite the positive outlook, experts caution against celebrating too early. Adeola Adenikinju, president of the Nigerian Economic Society, said, “While foreign portfolio investment (FPI) is on the rise, it is crucial to ensure these inflows translate into foreign direct investments (FDI) that generate employment and reduce poverty. FPI may not necessarily create the same long-term economic benefits.”

President Bola Tinubu, who assumed office in May 2023, has taken significant steps to attract foreign investment, including the removal of petrol subsidies and partial foreign exchange reforms.

Continue Reading

Treasury Bills

CBN Treasury Bills Auction Oversubscribed by 338%, Raises N284.26bn

Published

on

FG Borrows

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has successfully raised a total of N284.26 billion through its latest Nigerian Treasury Bills (T-Bills) auction.

The auction, which was initially set to offer N228.72 billion, saw an overwhelming subscription of N773.98 billion, indicating an oversubscription rate of 338%.

This substantial interest highlights the ongoing demand for government securities amid Nigeria’s economic conditions, providing a crucial source of funding for the government’s short-term expenditure.

According to the auction results released by the Debt Management Office (DMO) and confirmed by data on the CBN website, the strong investor turnout underscores the perceived safety and attractiveness of T-Bills as an investment option.

Surge in Treasury Bill Debt

The successful auction comes at a time when Nigeria’s T-Bills debts have soared to unprecedented levels.

Between December 2023 and March 2024, the debt rose sharply from N6.5 trillion to N10.4 trillion, marking a 60% increase in just three months.

This rise reflects the government’s heavy reliance on T-Bills to finance short-term fiscal needs amid ongoing economic challenges.

Breakdown of the Auction

The auction featured three tenors: 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day bills. Each tenor saw significant investor interest, with the 364-day bills attracting the highest subscriptions:

  • 91-day bills: Offered at N29.83 billion, received subscriptions worth N36.29 billion, with an allotment of N28.15 billion. The stop rate was 16.30%.
  • 182-day bills: Offered at N30.67 billion, received subscriptions of N40.58 billion, with an allotment of N36.44 billion. The stop rate was 17.44%.
  • 364-day bills: Offered at N168.21 billion, received overwhelming subscriptions of N697.11 billion, with an allotment of N219.67 billion. The stop rate was 20.68%.

Investor Confidence and Government Strategy

The significant oversubscription across all tenors highlights strong investor confidence in Nigerian T-Bills as a secure investment avenue, even amidst prevailing economic uncertainties.

The high subscription rate, particularly for the 364-day bills, indicates a preference for longer-term securities, likely driven by expectations of future economic stability and favorable returns.

Government’s Debt Management

This auction underscores the critical role of T-Bills in the government’s debt management strategy.

Treasury bills and Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bonds are considered risk-free investments, providing a safe haven for investors while helping the government manage its debt profile and finance short-term expenditures.

Rising Domestic Debt

The surge in T-Bills debt has contributed to an increase in Nigeria’s total domestic debt profile, which rose to N65.6 trillion in Q1 2024, up from N59.1 trillion in December 2023.

While the external debt profile saw a slight dip from $42.9 billion to $42.1 billion, the overall public debt in naira terms stood at N114.7 trillion as of March 2024.

Economic Outlook

Despite the rising debt levels, experts highlight the importance of these instruments in managing liquidity and supporting government financing needs.

Treasury bills not only help in raising funds but also play a role in controlling the money supply, which is crucial for implementing effective monetary policy.

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending