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Market Gains N267bn amidst Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Market Gains N267bn amidst Profit Taking

The Nigerian equities market ended last week on bullish note for the fifth consecutive time despite moves by some investors to take profit. While investors have been taking booking profits on some stocks as a result of unprecedented price rise in the past weeks, the growth was sustained as other investors increased demand for consumer and industrial goods following impressive half year financial performance.

As a results, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index appreciated by 2.07 per cent to close at 38,198.60 to bring the year-to-date growth to 42.1 per cent. Similarly, the market capitalisation added N266.6 billion to close at N13.17 trillion.

Daily Market Performance

The equity market resumed on Monday on a positive noted with the index appreciating by 0.27 per cent to close at 37,525.38 , while the ,market capitalisation ended at N12.90 trillion. The appreciation recorded in the share prices of Nestle, Mobil, Nigerian Breweries, Lafarge Africa, and GTBank was bolstered the gain recorded in the index. Investors committed N5.80 billion to 254.48 million shares in 4,600 deals the first day, which was however lower than the N6.30 billion invested the previous day.

The three most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (176.74 million shares), Consumer Goods (40.26 million shares), and Conglomerates (11.09 million shares), while the the three most actively traded stocks were: Access Bank (46.28 million shares), Zenith Bank (29.57 million shares) and GT Bank (25.54 million shares).

Only two sectors appreciated, while three depreciated. The NSE Consumer Goods Index led sector led with a 2.2per cent appreciation, following gains in Nestle (+3.3 per cent) and Nigerian Breweries (+3.1 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Industrial Goods Index trailed with 0.6 per cent growth as a result of uptick in Lafarge Africa (+1.7 per cent).

Conversely, losses in AXA Mansard Insurance Plc and Continental Reinsurance Plc dragged the NSE Insurance Index 2.0 per cent lower. In the same vein, the NSE Banking and NSE Oil & Gas indices fell by 0.2 per cent apiece.

Tuesday was another positive day as the market hit a 34-month high. The market capitalisation crossed the N13 trillion mark, closing at N13.1 trillion, just as the index stood at 37,999.56 to record a year-to-date growth of 41.4 per cent.

The positive momentum was sustained due to high demand for consumer goods bellwethers and mid-cap banking stocks. Despite the positive performance by the benchmark index, performance across sectors was bearish as all indices closed in the red except for the NSE Consumer Goods Index that rose by 5.4 per cent. The NSE Oil & Gas Index led the bears, falling by 0.8 per cent, trailed by the NSE Insurance Index, which shed 0.6 per cent. The NSE Industrial Goods Index closed 0.2 per cent lower as a result of weak demand for Dangote Cement, and Cement Company of Northern Nigeria, just as the NSE Banking Index shed 0.1 per cent.

The Nigerian stock market maintained its gaining streak on Wednesday surging further to record a year-to-date growth of 41.9 per cent. The index The Nigerian advanced by 0.38 per cent to close higher at 38,144.02, while market capitalisation added N49.8 billion to close at N13.147 trillion.

The bullish trend was driven by sustained interest in consumer goods and banking stocks such as Nestle Nigeria Plc, Guinness Nigeria Plc and Guaranty Trust Bank Plc.

In all, 21 stocks appreciated compared with 23 stocks that depreciated. However, volume and value traded rose 50.6 per cent and 20.3 per cent to 328.7 million shares and N6.1 billion respectively.

According to analysts at Meristem Securities Limited, “despite the profit taking activities on some stocks, the market’s gain recorded at the close of trades may be attributed to the sustained rally on some large cap tickers in the consumer goods space.”

Guinness Nigeria Plc led the price gainers, rising by 10.2 per cent to close at N87.50 per share, trailed by Jaiz Bank Plc, which advanced by 10 per cent.

Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc closed as the third highest price gainer, chalking up 9.9 per cent. Dangote Flour Mills Plc appreciated by 9.5 per cent, while Vitafoam Nigeria Plc garnered 5.02 per cent.

Conversely, Champion Breweries Plc led the price losers with 9.3 per cent, trailed by Livestock Feeds Plc with 5.0 per cent. Conoil Plc and Continental Reinsurance Plc went down by 4.5 per cent apiece among others.

The equities market bucked a seven-day gaining streak on Thursday as investors moved in for profit taking on blue-chip stocks. Consequently, the index fell by 0.11 per cent to close at 38,102.85 points while the YTD return moderated to 41.8per cent. The bearish performance was largely dragged by sell-offs in Tier-1 banking stocks including Zenith Bank and GTBank Plc that offset gains recorded by Stanbic IBTC, Nestle and Unilever.

The market recovered on Friday, rising by 0.25 per cent, hence the closing the week with a gain of 2.07 per cent.

Market Turnover

The market recorded a turnover of 1.518 billion shares worth N28.868 billion in 23,053 deals were traded by investors on the floor of the exchange in contrast to a total of 2.518 billion shares valued at N114.117 billion that exchanged hands in 23,546 deals the previous week.

The Financial Services Industry led the activity chart with 1.178 billion shares valued at N14.445 billion traded in 11,520 deals, thus contributing 77.63 per cent and 50.04 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Consumer Goods Industry followed with 183.850 million shares worth N12.508 billion in 5,807 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 53.758 million shares worth N126.669 million in 819 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Access Bank Plc, Zenith Bank Plc and Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, accounted for 500.113 million shares worth N11.910 billion in 3,870 deals, contributing 32.95per cent and 41.26 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Also traded during the week were a total of 2,461 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N296,837.94 executed in nine deals compared with a total of 1.166 million units valued at N16.169 million transacted the previous week in 17 deals.

Similarly, total of 9,615 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N8.301million were traded in 21 deals, compared with a total of 5,850 units valued at N5.702 million transacted two weeks ago.

Price Gainers and Losers

Meanwhile, 32 equities appreciated during the review week as against 38 equities of the previous week, while 37 equities depreciated in price, compared with 28 equities of the previous week.

Guinness Nigeria Plc led with 27.1 per cent trailed by Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc with 20.2 per cent. Dangote Flour Mills Plc garnered 18.3 per cent, just as Nestle Nigeria Plc, while Jaiz Bank Plc, Unilever Nigeria Plc and Union Bank of Nigeria Plc chalked up 13.5 per cent, 10.3 per cent, and 10.1 per cent respectively. B.O.C Gases Plc, Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc, Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc advanced by 10 per cent, 9.3 per cent and 8.8 in that order.

Conversely, N.E.M Insurance Plc led the price losers with 18.5 per cent, followed by Morison Industries Plc with 13.2 per cent. Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc and Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc went down by 12.5 per cent, just as Continental Reinsurance Plc, Forte Oil Plc, and Conoil Plc shed 12.2 per cent, 10.5 per cent and 10.4 per cent respectively.

Other top price losers included: African Prudential Plc (8.0 per cent); Unity Bank Plc(7.9 per cent) and Champion Breweries Plc (7.7 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Finance

Moniepoint Strengthens Efforts to Broaden Financial Access Through Collaborative Initiatives

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Africa’s fastest growing financial institution according to the Financial Times, Moniepoint Inc has underscored the importance of a collaborative and holistic stakeholder approach in advancing the future of financial and economic inclusion in Nigeria.

In a recent high-level policy dialogue between the Nigerian government and private sector stakeholders held in Washington DC, Moniepoint Inc’s Group CEO and Co-Founder, Tosin Eniolorunda emphasized the importance of public-private collaborations in addressing trust issues that have slowed down the adoption of innovative fintech solutions for economic and financial inclusion.

“Moniepoint has long championed the importance of financial inclusion and financial happiness. Building trust with the public and government, improving business and consumer access to the financial system are critical issues that are aligned to our philosophy. As testament to our commitment, we recently launched a landmark report investigating Nigeria’s informal economy, highlighting opportunities to widen financial inclusion to historically underserved communities. The outputs from this strategic gathering will go a long way in bolstering Nigeria’s economy even as closer linkages are formed from public-private collaboration which will be a huge boost to the overall development and competitiveness of the larger financial services industry,“ Eniolorunda said.

The event, which brought together government officials, regulators, law enforcement agencies, and fintech industry leaders at George Washington University, aimed to leverage innovative approaches to drive a sustainable and inclusive financial system in Nigeria.

Vice President Kashim Shettima, addressing the gathering via video conference, highlighted the urgent need for financial innovation to drive Nigeria’s economic and financial inclusion agenda. This aligns with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration’s commitment to bringing over 30 million unbanked Nigerians into the formal financial sector as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

“We must develop a sustainable collaboration approach that will facilitate the adoption of inclusive payment to achieve our objective of economic and financial inclusion,” Vice President Shettima stated.

The dialogue focused on addressing critical challenges in Nigeria’s fintech ecosystem, including regulatory oversight, security concerns, and trust issues that have hindered the widespread adoption of innovative financial solutions. Participants explored strategies to enhance interagency collaboration and strengthen the overall effectiveness of the financial services sector.

Philip Ikeazor, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria responsible for Financial System Stability, emphasized the need for ongoing collaboration among all stakeholders to meet the goals of the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion.

Kashifu Inuwa Abdullahi, Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), advocated for “a digital-first approach and the fusion of digital literacy with financial literacy to address trust issues affecting the inclusive payment ecosystem.”

Dr. Nurudeen Zauro, Technical Advisor to the President on Economic and Financial Inclusion, explained that the gathering aims to evolve into a mechanism providing relevant information to the Office of the Vice President, facilitating effective decision-making for economic and financial inclusion.

The event resulted in various recommendations covering rules, infrastructure, and coordination, with a focus on implementable actions and clear accountabilities. As discussions continue, Moniepoint remains dedicated to leveraging its expertise and technology to support the government’s financial inclusion goals and create a more financially inclusive society for all Nigerians.

Other notable speakers included Inspector General of Police Mr. Kayode Egbetokun, Executive Director of the Center for Curriculum Development and Learning (CCDL) at George Washington University Professor Pape Cisse, Assistant Vice President at Merrill Lynch Wealth Management Mr. Reginald Emordi, Regional Director for Africa at the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) Mr. Lars Benson, and United States Congresswoman representing Florida’s 20th congressional district, The Honorable Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, Prof Olayinka David-West from the Lagos Business School among others.

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Banking Sector

CBN Rate Hikes Raise Borrowing Costs for Banks Seeking FX

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Retail banking

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a significant adjustment to its borrowing rates.

The move, which follows the CBN’s recent decision to adjust the asymmetric corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), has led to an increase in the cost of borrowing for banks seeking foreign exchange (FX).

This decision comes amid heightened concerns over the Naira’s performance and inflation rates.

According to Bismarck Rewane, Managing Director/CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, the adjustment means that banks now face borrowing costs of nearly 32% from the CBN, a sharp increase from the previous rate of approximately 26%.

This change in borrowing costs is intended to deter banks from relying on the CBN for FX purchases, thereby reducing pressure on the Naira.

Data reveals that in the first five days of July 2024, banks borrowed an unprecedented N5.38 trillion from the CBN, marking a record high.

The increased borrowing costs are expected to reduce this practice, thereby alleviating some of the strain on the Naira.

Despite these efforts, the Naira has continued to struggle. On Tuesday, the Naira depreciated by 3.13% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate falling to N1,548.76.

This decline is attributed to reduced dollar supply and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Nigeria’s foreign reserves.

The black market saw an even sharper drop, with the Naira falling to 1,687 per dollar, reflecting broader concerns about currency stability.

Rewane highlighted that the recent rate hikes are part of a broader strategy by the CBN to manage inflation and stabilize the Naira.

“The increase in borrowing costs is a necessary step to address the carry trade practices where banks use cheap funds from the CBN to buy FX and sell it at higher rates,” he explained.

The CBN’s decision to raise borrowing costs comes amid a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Over the past three years, the CBN has raised interest rates 12 times, with recent adjustments aimed at managing liquidity and curbing inflation.

As of June 2024, Nigeria’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 34.19%, up from 33.95% in May.

The central bank’s policy changes are expected to have mixed effects.

Analysts at FBNQuest anticipate that banks will continue to benefit from the high-interest rate environment, potentially leading to a shift of assets from equities to fixed-income securities as investors seek higher yields.

The CBN remains committed to navigating Nigeria through these challenging economic conditions.

By adjusting borrowing costs and implementing tighter monetary policies, the central bank aims to strike a balance between managing inflation, stabilizing the Naira, and supporting overall economic growth.

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Finance

Senate Passes Bill for 70% Windfall Levy on Banks’ Forex Gains

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Senate has approved an amendment to the Finance Act of 2023, increasing the windfall levy on banks’ foreign exchange gains from 50% to 70%.

The bill was passed during a plenary session on Tuesday after a thorough review by the Finance Committee.

The Senate’s decision aims to address the significant profits banks have accrued due to recent foreign exchange policy shifts.

This windfall is viewed as a product of government intervention rather than the banks’ strategic efforts, prompting the call for redistribution.

The additional revenue from this levy is expected to contribute to financing the N6.2 trillion Appropriation Amendment Bill.

This funding will support various government projects and initiatives, ensuring that the windfall benefits are reinvested into the economy.

The Senate also approved amendments to the payment timeline, setting the levy to take effect from the start of the new foreign exchange regime through 2025, avoiding retrospective application from January 2024.

Also, the Upper Chamber removed the proposed jail term for principal officers of defaulting banks.

Instead, banks that fail to remit the levy will incur a penalty of 10% per annum on the withheld amount, alongside interest at the prevailing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Minimum Rediscount Rate.

This legislative move aligns with President Tinubu’s broader fiscal strategy, which aims to optimize national revenue through independent sources.

The amendment underscores the Senate’s commitment to leveraging bank profits for national development, especially amid economic challenges.

While some industry stakeholders express concerns about the impact on banking operations, others see this as a necessary step towards equitable wealth distribution and economic stability.

The bill’s passage is anticipated to have significant implications for both the financial sector and the broader economy.

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