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Cash Crunch Hits Banks as CBN Mops up Naira

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Naira - Investors King
  • Cash Crunch Hits Banks as CBN Mops up Naira

In order to reduce demand for foreign exchange, especially the dollar, the Central Bank of Nigeria has engaged in continuous and aggressive mop up of cash from the economy in the past six months.

The development is said to be responsible for the cash crunch that has hit the economy with a heavy toll on consumers (households), companies and commercial banks, especially mid-size lenders in the country.

Specifically, through its twice-a-month primary market auction of Treasury Bills and now almost daily Open Market Operations (secondary market auction), the CBN has mopped up trillions of naira in the past six months, according to top bankers who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The development has made the lending rate to soar, especially among the Tier-1 banks, which are able to do little lending at the moment.

While mid-sized banks are struggling to maintain their liquidity positions due to the shortage of naira, the situation is making it increasingly difficult for companies to access credit to expand their operations.

“The loan book of banks is growing leaner and leaner because of the tight liquidity situation the CBN’s actions have put the banks,” a top executive of a commercial bank, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said.

Just on Friday, the CBN disclosed that it sold about N204.9bn in treasury bills following its auction held on Wednesday July 19, 2017.

It sold one-year treasury bills at 23 per cent and 182 days at 19 per cent true yield, respectively.

The CBN reportedly raised N1.129tn through the auction of the TBs in the second quarter of 2017.

In its TB issuance programme, running from March 16 to June, the apex bank also said N1.086tn worth of bills would mature during the same period.

The CBN is planning to issue the TBs worth N1.24tn in the third quarter of this year.

A CBN debt calendar for the third quarter released on Friday showed that it would sell N1.24tn worth of treasury bills from June 15 to August 31.

The apex bank aims to auction N226.64bn in 91-day bills, N311.32bn in 182-day and N698.64bn in 364-day debt.

Aside from the regular mop up of liquidity through the regular primary and secondary markets’ action of the TBs, the CBN was said to be mopping up huge amounts of cash from the banking system through a special Open Market Operation.

The special OMO has been described by industry players as a pre-emptive action by the CBN to stop banks from speculating against the naira.

It was learnt that the CBN was not ready to allow the banks to be in possession of large amounts of cash to buy the dollars the regulator was pushing into the forex markets almost on weekly basis.

A top banker, who chose to speak on condition of anonymity, explained, “The CBN has carried out about three of such special OMOs this year. This is a situation where the CBN forced down the TBs on some banks, whether they want it or not. This happens when the CBN carefully watched the maturity day of some particular TBs.

“Once it sees that some banks have huge cash at the maturity date of some instruments, the regulator debits their accounts and offers the TBs, whether they want it or not. The idea is just to ensure that banks don’t have huge cash to buy forex. The legality of this special OMO is another thing entirely.

“It is part of the proactive moves to stop banks and other key players from attacking the naira through speculative demand.”

According to other bankers, the CBN forces the special OMOs on banks, which have refused to lend to others and buy the TBs.

Industry analysts said the development had reduced the purchasing power of most households with many consumers no longer able to afford high-value goods.

They added that high-ticket transactions like yearly house rents were now being settled in instalments.

The Chief Executive Officer, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, said, “The policy measures may be counter-productive, because it may slow down the rate of economic recovery due to low purchasing power and slow economic activities.

“Due to the cash crunch we are now experiencing in the country, banks are not able to lend to firms to expand their business. This is going to affect growth and economic recovery.”

According to the analyst, low purchasing power of consumers will reduce the demand for products and services, thereby affecting the rate of economic activities, which will in turn affect growth.

The chief executive officer of a commercial bank, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the cash crunch had been made worse by the regulator’s tactical move to make the Cash Reserve Ratio higher than the official figure of 27.5 per cent.

The bank CEO said, “Since March this year, what the CBN has been doing is that whenever there is an increase in the deposit reserves of banks, the CBN debits the banks in line with the CRR figure of 27.5 per cent of the marginal amount.

“This effectively increases the CRR. But whenever there is a decrease in the deposit reserves of banks, the CBN fails to credit them. This way, the apex bank has made the CRR higher than the official figure of 27.5 per cent.”

It is unclear if the CBN intends to review its strategy in the near future. Its spokesperson, Mr. Isaac Okorafor, could not be reached for immediate comments. Calls and text messages sent to his telephone line were not responded to.

An economist and industry expert, Mr. Amoo Abegunde, said the CBN should not have sacrificed the need to maintain a stronger naira for economic growth, noting that growth was key to the country.

Corroborating other economists, he said the current rate of N365/dollar might not be sustainable if the CBN continued to deny the economy of the needed naira in order to achieve a stronger currency.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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