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Stocks: CBN Special Forex Window Attracts N2.715tn Investments

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  • CBN Special Forex Window Attracts N2.715tn Investments

The Nigerian equities market has attracted N2.715tn investments owing to the foreign exchange window for investors and exporters introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria on April 21 this year.

Stocks have seen a huge rally across board evident in the soaring Nigerian Stock Exchange market capitalisation of listed equities, the All-Share Index, number of deals, as well volumes traded vis-a-vis their values.

The NSE market capitalisation has appreciated by 31.04 per cent between April 20 (last trading day before the window’s opening) and July 14 (latest trading day), from N8.748tn to N11.463tn.

In the same vein, the All-Share Index, volumes traded, deals and value of transactions as of April 20 were 25,282.75 basis points, 147.887 million, 2,578 and N836.842m, respectively.

While as of July 14, the respective figures had risen to 33,261.66 basis points, 311.608 million, 3,113 and N3.27bn.

The special forex window tagged, ‘Investors and Exporters FX Window’, according to the apex bank, will boost liquidity in the forex market and ensure timely execution and settlement of eligible transactions.

Small-scale investors and exporters have always decried the closure of several outfits due to lack of access to foreign exchange to procure necessary facilities to support their operations.

The central bank had earlier opened a special window for Small and Medium Enterprises to facilitate the importation of eligible finished and semi-finished items.

However, the eligible transactions covered under the new window include invisible transactions, such as loan repayments, loan interest payments, dividends/income remittances, capital repatriation, management service fees and consultancy fees.

Also covered by the forex window are software subscription fees, technology transfer agreements, personal home remittances, bills for collection and any other trade-related payment obligations at the instance of the customer.

Other eligible transactions like ‘miscellaneous payments’ detailed under Memorandum 15 of the CBN foreign exchange manual, are also covered under the new window.

Also, transactions and bills for collection are eligible to purchase foreign currencies sourced from the CBN forex window limited to secondary market intervention sales, wholesale (spot and forwards) only.

The only items excluded under the new window are international airlines ticket sales’ remittances, which will only be eligible to access forex at the CBN FX window.

For the apex bank, the supply of dollars to the new window shall be through portfolio investors, exporters, authorised dealers and other parties with foreign currencies to exchange to naira.

The Acting Managing Director, Afrinvest Securities Limited, Mr. Ayodeji Ebo, said in a telephone conversation with our correspondent that the introduction of the I & E FX window attracted significant foreign inflows as well as domestic funds to the capital market.

He said, “The mere fact that the foreign investors got more naira for their dollars, at between N305/dollar and N385/dollar, gave the boost.

“The FX liquidity and economic challenges had pushed most stock prices to all-time lows, creating opportunities for significant upside. The stock market has rallied over 23 per cent since the introduction of the new FX window.”

Ebo added that the eventual convergence of the Nigerian Inter-bank Foreign Exchange Fixing to the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Rate Fixing would further boost investors’ sentiments.

According to him, the performance of corporates in the half-year period will also shape the market direction.

The Managing Director, Investment One Venture Capital, Dr. Ore Sofekun, told our correspondent that the special FX window of the apex bank was working as some sort of convergence had been seen among FX rates.

She added, “The main thing is that we have some sort of convergence between the official and parallel FX rates.

“We should continue to work towards a common FX window to further boost confidence in the market. However, the situation is getting more market-determined.”

Also, the Vice-President, Equity Sales, Renaissance Capital, Mr. Daniel Ugwuoke, said the adjustment by the CBN had been very positive considering the level of rallying experienced in the capital market.

According to him, the country is headed in the right direction, but not where it should be yet.

Ugwuoke said many foreign investors were still playing the waiting game, given the multiplicity of FX rates in the Nigerian market space like the inter-bank rate, NAFEX, fuel marketers’ rate and the parallel rate.

He explained that the foreign investors were awaiting a single FX rate, adding, “They still believe the naira is over-valued. They don’t leverage on the NAFEX because they feel it lacks transparency, but are using the Inter-bank rate.

“The CBN is expected to unify the rates at this time. It is time for the CBN to do it. By not doing the adjustment now, the CBN is not only deterring investors, but is threatening the country’s Morgan Stanley International Capital standing.”

The MSCI recently increased the weighting assigned to Nigerian stocks to 7.9 per cent from 6.5 per cent previously in its frontier markets’ basket of equities.

The index designed to track and measure stock markets was rebalanced by Morgan Stanley, and the new weightings took immediate effect.

The MSCI Frontier Market Index Nigeria comprises of 16 companies listed on the NSE, including Nigerian Breweries Plc, Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Zenith Bank Plc, Nestle Nigeria Plc, Dangote Cement Plc, Forte Oil Plc, Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc and FBN Holdings Plc.

The MSCI report stated that there would not be any specific review changes for any securities in the country in the MSCI Nigeria-specific index or composite index based on the ongoing issues with the forex market.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s status in the MSCI Frontier Markets Index remains under consideration for a “standalone” re-classification.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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