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Sale of National Assets’ll Reduce Govt Borrowing

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Malaysian Ringgits And Stock Boards Inside RHB Investment Bank
  • Sale of National Assets’ll Reduce Govt Borrowing — Experts

As the debate over the nation’s debt sustainability continues, economic and financial experts have advised the Federal Government to sell some national assets as part of measures to increase its revenue.

The nation’s rising debt profile has raised concerns among experts and other stakeholders in recent times, with the World Bank describing the government’s debt servicing costs as unsustainable.

The Federal Government’s interest-to-revenue ratio rose from 33 per cent in 2015 to 59 per cent in 2016, the World Bank said in a report released earlier this month.

Last week, the Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, admitted that the debt burden had escalated when she said the government could not borrow any more and needed to generate funds domestically to fund its budget.

In a contradiction to Adeosun’s statement, the Ministry of Finance on Thursday said the government would continue to borrow from foreign and domestic financial institutions to fund its programmes.

But experts said the government should look more inwards by selling some idle national assets to shore up its revenue.

The Chairman, Nigerian Economic Summit Group, a private sector think-tank and policy advocacy group, Mr. Kyari Bukar, said, “The government should look at the possibility of selling some of its assets. That can generate cash that will then be used to invest properly in infrastructure.

“There are many assets that the government should look at,” he said, citing joint venture assets in the oil and gas industry as an example.

Bukar said, “The other thing that I do believe very strongly, which I don’t know whether is on the table, is that we ought to be looking at listing the NNPC on the stock exchange. Saudi Aramco is going to be listed.

“I think they are trying to put up about five per cent of the company and do an IPO. Everybody is saying this might be the largest IPO in the world. I think the Saudis are being extremely smart. Petrobras in Brazil is pretty much a publicly-owned entity.”

The Managing Director, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, said the government could get some quick cash from sale of idle assets with some economic realisable value.

He said, “Today, we have airports that are not being optimised. Take for instance the Lagos international airport; there is no reason why we should not build it into a regional hub so that it will be a transit airport for almost all the countries of West Africa. That way, the government will attract a lot of revenue.

“Nothing stops us from privatising the airports; give them to private sector operators who will now modernise the airports into world-class standard over a period of time.

“Look at the stadia; the one in Lagos has been idle for almost 20 years. Abuja stadium is hardly used. There is nothing that stops the government from privatising the stadia for them to be restructured. There is nothing that stops the government from adopting the concession arrangement for the Lagos-Kano rail corridor, which is commercially viable.”

Chukwu said the government had continued to pump money into the turnaround maintenance of the nation’s refineries rather than selling them.

“Look at the Federal Secretariat in Ikoyi; it is almost a dead asset. That can be a massive hotel complex if it is in the hands of private operators,” he added.

An economist and faculty member at the Lagos Business School, Dr. Bongo Adi, said the government had gone on a borrowing spree because it felt that the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio was low.

He noted that the debt servicing had gulped so much of government’s revenue, adding, “So, if they go ahead to borrow more, that increases the debt servicing going into next year, and that means the government won’t have money to do anything.”

The Federal Government, in its Economic Recovery and Growth Plan, a Medium Term Plan for 2017 to 2020, said it would reduce its stake in Joint Venture oil assets, refineries and other downstream subsidiaries such as pipelines and depots.

There have been calls for the government to consider the sale of some critical national assets to raise money to finance critical infrastructure in order to raise money to reflate the economy.

For instance, the Senate President, Dr. Bukola Saraki, on September 20, 2016 recommended the sale of some national assets and the utilisation of the proceeds for infrastructure development.

He said this was necessary for the nation to fight its way out of the current recession, adding that the measures should include the sale of the Nigeria LNG Limited; reduction of government’s share in upstream oil joint venture operations and financial institutions; and the privatisation and concession of major/regional airports and refineries.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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