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Stocks: Analysts Predict Bearish Trading This Week

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  • Stocks: Analysts Predict Bearish Trading This Week

The Nigerian equities market is expected to see more of bearish trading this week despite the negative trend that pervaded the market last week.

Sell pressures prevailed in the market last week as investors began profit taking activities on stocks that have been trading at high prices following the recent bullish run.

“We expect trading activities in the coming week to mirror that of the week past albeit at a moderated level. A positive close is not unexpected as we envisage pockets of bargain-hunting in the week following this week’s significant loss,” analysts at Meristem Securities Limited said.

Following weeks of consecutive gains in the Nigerian Stock Exchange, the Exchange’s All-Share index declined significantly by 4.99 per cent, to settle the year-to-date return at 19.53 per cent last week.

Also, volume traded and market turnover declined by 15.53 per cent and 23.30 per cent, respectively. Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc emerged the top performer last week, after the counter advanced by 44.12 per cent to close at N0.98. Contrarily, Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc was the top underperformer during the week after it shed 23.12 per cent.

For the banking sector, in what was a negative week for the market in general, there were severe profit taking activities on all, but one of the sector’s counters. “We expect the sector to close in line with the general market mood this week,” the Meristem analysts said.

In the week, as expected, the agric sector halted its gaining streak following the sell pressure on Okomu Oil Palm Plc, which resulted in a week-on-week loss. The analysts envisaged continued sell sentiments this week as investors take profit on the sector major players, having recorded significant gains in the past weeks.

The consumer goods sector recorded continued sell pressures on stocks which had recorded significant gains in the past weeks. This week, it is expected that the sector’s performance would in line with general market sentiments.

After weeks of closing in the green zone, profit-taking activities dominated the health sector stocks last week. However, trickles of bargain-hunting were witnessed among the less popular counters in the sector. Given the recent market mood, the analysts did not rule out a continuation of these buy pressures. Nonetheless, speculators may cash in on the gains recorded due to the companies’ weak fundamentals.

For the industrial goods sector, the Meristem analysts said despite the positive sentiments in the sector evidenced by the market breadth, it closed underwater. “We attribute this loss to the share price decline of the sector’s heavyweights (Dangote Cement Plc and Lafarge Africa Plc). We expect the profit taking to continue this week,” they added.

Mixed sentiments were witnessed in the insurance sector last week as indicated by the sector’s breadth, and according to analysts, the sector’s activities this week would be largely dictated by the general market mood.

For the oil and gas sector, they stated, “We attribute the loss last week to the decline in the share prices of the sector’s heavyweights. We also note the positive sentiments towards Conoil Plc following the release of impressive results alongside dividend declaration in the week. This week, we expect the sector to close positive.

Activities in the services sector mirrored the general market last week as profit taking on a lot of counters prevailed. This week, analysts expect the performance of the sector to remain in line with the market.

Commenting on the this week’s market expectations, analyst at Vetiva Capital Management Limited said, “Given the sustained negative market sentiment at last week’s close – indicated by the widely negative market breadth on Friday and through the week – we expect bearish trading to extend into this week.

For the fixed income market, barring any aggressive mop ups by the Central Bank of Nigeria, the Vetiva analysts foresee increased demand in the Treasury bills market, spurred by the Federation Account Allocation Committee injection and the anticipated N236bn Open Market Operation maturity this week, though the bond space should remain mixed.

The bond market opened last week on a slightly bearish note, with selloffs observed on select tenors even as trading activity in the space remained relatively muted. The bearish sentiment persisted till midweek when the monthly bond auction was conducted.

At the auction, the Debt Management Office offered N140bn and eventually sold N99bn across the five-year, 10-year and 20-year tenors at respective stop rates of 16.1900 per cent, 16.1900 per cent and 16.1965 per cent – lower than secondary market levels.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Finance

NAIC Pays N1.7bn Claims to Farmers

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The Nigerian Agricultural Insurance Corporation (NAIC) said it paid a total of N1.7 billion claims to over 5,000 farmers in the past two years.

NAIC, which is the only federal government owned insurance company authorised to offer agric insurance services to farmers at subsidised rate, said a breakdown of the paid claims showed that it paid N856 million to insured farmers in 2019 and N848 million in 2020.

Commenting on the development, NAIC Managing Director, Mrs. Folashade Joseph, said the claims were paid to the farmers to cover losses incurred in the course of doing business.

Joseph, enjoined agricultural investors and lending institutions to continue to partner NAIC by taking agricultural insurance cover that will enable them remain firm in business despite unforeseen circumstances from weather conditions and other risks in order to realise the food security agenda of President Muhammadu Buhari.

She said the above-mentioned amount was shared among five million farmers who suffered various setbacks in their farms as a result of natural course.

According to her, the NAIC Agric Insurance Scheme was launched in 1987 by federal government to restore the confidence and productivity of Nigerian farmers who suffered losses as a result of natural disaster such as flood, drought, pest and diseases.

The NAIC boss explained that the essence of the sensitisation campaign embarked by the corporation was to let the farmers know and understand exactly what NAIC does, the importance of insurance, and make them understand how insurance works, how they can access NAIC products and services, how to process their claims, as well as what insurance stands to do for them.

“Agribusiness is evolving fast and so many risks are being thrown up, many new participants are coming into the business of agriculture, and the risks are on the increase if you look at them across the value chain, there is no so many participants so we need to keep sensitising the farmers and let them know we are serving them, and we need to know from them how to serve them,” she explained.

Speaking further, she said, “our assurance to farmers is that when they are insured and they suffer losses covered by any of the policies they purchased, including natural disasters and whatever, they will get paid for their losses, and that is the purpose of insurance and setting up NAIC.

“Our motor is ‘Plowing the Farmer Back to Business, Plowing the Farmers into Prosperity’, and we settle claims.”

She said NAIC currently deals with thousands of farmers (Small, Medium, and Large scale farmers) across the country, adding that the corporation serves farmers with investment as little as N100, 000, and at the same time serves multinational farmers.

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Banking Sector

UBA Organises Capacity Building Forum

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As part of its commitment to support the growth and sustainability of micro, small and medium-scale enterprises (MSME) in the continent, the United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, is set to organise the next edition of its UBA Business Series.

The UBA Business Series which is a monthly event, is an MSME Workshop as well as a capacity building initiative of the bank where business leaders and professionals share well-researched insights on best practices for running successful businesses, especially in the face of the difficult operating environment that dominates the African business landscape.

Through this initiative, UBA has been assisting with essential tips to help businesses re-examine their models and strategies and ensure that they stay afloat and remain thriving, a statement from the bank explained.

The topic for the next edition of the series is, “Managing Performance for Business Growth,” and it will be held today, via Microsoft Teams.

At this session, the Managing Director, Secure ID Limited, Mrs Kofo Akinkugbe, will be sharing useful tips and insights on the key strategies of performance management to boost business growth.

Akinkugbe is the founder of SecureID Nigeria, a MasterCard, VISA and Verve certified Smartcard Personalization Bureau and Digital Technology company. She currently serves as the Managing Director/CEO, Secure Card Manufacturing, – a Smartcard manufacturing plant producing high security identity cards and documents for the Banking, Telecoms and Public sectors across Africa and beyond.

UBA’s Head, SME Banking, Sampson Aneke said of Akinkugbe, “with her vast experience garnered over the years from various sectors, she will help business owners understand how performance management strategies can be effectively implemented to ensure business growth.”

He emphasised UBA’s commitment and deep passion for small businesses, which according to him, remains the engine of any developing economy adding, “We know small businesses are the backbone of the economy in every country. In many climes, businesses with fewer than 100 employees account for 98.2 per cent of all businesses. This no doubt captures the importance of SMEs to a thriving economy which is why UBA is committed to seeing them flourish.”

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Banking Sector

CBN to Extend Credit Risk Management System to OFIs

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In an effort to curb growing bad debt, the Central Bank of Nigeria has said it will extend its Credit Risk Management System to Other Financial Institutions (OFIs) operating in Nigeria to protect them from bad debtors.

According to the apex bank, this is important following the successful implementation of the credit risk system in other lending institutions operating in Nigeria.

The bank disclosed this in a circular titled ‘Credit Risk Management System: Commencement of enrolment of all Development Finance Institutions, Microfinance Banks, Primary Mortgage Banks and Finance Companies’ and signed by Kelvin Amugo, the Director, Financial Policy and Regulation Department, on Monday.

In part, the circular read, “As part of efforts to promote a safe and sound financial system in Nigeria, the CBN introduced the CRMS to improve credit risk management in commercial, merchant and non-interest banks as well as to prevent predatory borrowers from undermining the banking system.

“With the successful implementation of the CRMS in deposit money banks, it has become expedient to commence the enrolment of Other Financial Institutions on the CTMS platform.

“Accordingly, all DFIs, MfBs, PMBs and FCs are required to report all credit facilities (principal and interest) to the CRMs and to update same on monthly basis.

“OFIs shall note the Bank Verification Numbers and Tax Identification Numbers are the only basis for regulatory renditions”.

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