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Equities Market Sheds 5.1% in First Quarter

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equities Market Sheds 5.1% in First Quarter

The equities market rebounded last week as the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index rose by 0.24 per cent to close at 25,516.34 due to bargain hunting by investors following some impressive corporate results. Some of the companies that reported their 2016 full year results announced dividends for investors, a development that bolstered confidence in the market.

Consequently, the negative performance in the market the previous week was reversed last week. However, the 0.24 per cent was not enough to lift the market from decline in the first quarter. Consequently, the NSE ASI declined by 5.1 per cent in the Q1. Analysis of the market in the last week of the quarter showed that it gained two out of the five trading sessions.

Daily Market performance

Trading at nation’s stock market resumed on a positive note on Monday following investors’ reactions to some improved earnings results reported by companies.

The NSE ASI appreciated 0.12 per cent to close at 25,485.17 as buy interest in Unilever Nigeria, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc and Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc boosted the performance. The three companies had previous week released their audited results for the year ended December 31, 2016, showing improved bottom-lines.

For instance, Stanbic IBTC’s profit after tax (PAT) jumped by 51 per cent to N28.5 billion, fromN18.9 billion in 2015. UBA grew its PAT by 21 per cent from N59.6 billion to N72.6 billion, while Unilever’s PAT soared by 157 per cent from N1.19 billion to N3.07 billion in 2016. Besides, the companies recommended dividends for their various shareholders.

Apparently reacting to the improved performance, investors increased demand for the equities at the stock market, leading to growth in their prices. Unilever appreciated by 5.0 per cent, while UBA and Stanbic IBTC garnered 2.0 per cent and 1.6 per cent respectively. In all, 17 stocks advanced compared to 12 stocks that declined.

However, Lafarge Africa Plc, which rode on the back of its 2016 results to gain 13 per cent the preceding week, began last week on bearish note as some investors moved in to lock in part of the gains. As a result, Lafarge Africa went down by 2.7 per cent and contributed to the fall in NSE Industrial Goods Index, which shed 1.1 per cent.

All other sectors closed in the green led by the NSE Consumer Goods Index with 0.5 per cent on the back of gains in Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc (+5.3 per cent) and Unilever (+5.0 per cent). In the same vein, the NSE Insurance Index and NSE Banking Index appreciated by 0.2 per cent and 0.1 per cent in that order. The NSE Oil & Gas Index recorded a marginal gain of 0.01 per cent.

The positive momentum could not sustain on Tuesday as the price decline suffered by the highest capitalised company in the market, Dangote Cement plc sent the market back to the bears’ territory. Consequently, the Nigerian Stock Exchange All-Share Index fell 0.31 per cent to close at 25, 406.72.

However, the 1.8 per cent decline recorded by Dangote Cement contributed to the bearish close of the market. Ex-Dangote Cement, the index would have appreciated by 0.40 per cent.

In all 22 stocks appreciated compared with 14 that shed value. Seplat Petroleum rode to the top of gainers chart with 10.2 per cent, trailed by Custodian and Allied Plc and International Breweries Plc that chalked up 5 per cent apiece. Fidelity Bank Plc and Seven-Up Bottling Company went up by 3.9 per cent and 3.7 per cent respectively.

Ecobank Transnational Incorporated and Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc led the losers with five per cent each. Total Nigeria trailed with 4.7 per cent, just as Livestock Feeds Plc and Continental Reinsurance Plc shed 4.4 and 4.3 per cent in that order.

Investors traded 916 million shares worth N2.4 billion in 3,342 deals, with Niger Insurance Plc accounting for 724 million shares. In terms of sectoral performance, three indices gained while two declined. The NSE Oil & Gas Index led with 2.7 per cent as a result of price appreciation in Seplat (+10.3 per cent). Similarly, the NSE Banking and the NSE Consumer Goods Indices grew 0.7 per cent and 0.2 per cent on account of gains in GTBank (+1.7 per cent) and International Breweries Plc(+5.0 per cent) respectively.

On the negative side, the NSE Industrial Goods Index declined the most, shedding 2.0 per cent on the back of losses in Lafarge (-2.6 per cent) and Dangote Cement (-1.5 per cent) while the NSE Insurance Index went down by 0.7 per cent.

The equity market declined further on Wednesday, the NSE ASI fell by 0.55 per cent to close at 25,267.68 points. The depreciation recorded in the share prices of Unilever, FBN Holdings, Diamond Bank, Oando and Continental Reinsurance were mainly responsible for the loss.

The total value of stocks traded was N2.62 billion, up by 8.42 per cent from N2.41 billion recorded the previous day. The total volume of stocks traded was 771.65 million in 2, 703 deals. The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (296.44 million), Consumer Goods (32.82 million) and, Conglomerates (4.48 million) while the three most actively traded stocks were: Custodian and Allied (284.53 million), Continental Insurance (250.71 million) and Diamond Bank (127.27 million).

After two days of loses, the market recovered on Thursday with the NSE ASI appreciating by 1.05 per cent to close at 25,533.82, while market capitalisation rose to N8.84 trillion.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, investors traded 3.195 billion shares worth N104.217 billion in 14,674 deals last week un from 1.309 billion shares valued at N10.323 billion that exchanged hands in 13,042 deals the previous week. The Financial Services Industry remained the most active in volume terms recording 2.784 billion shares valued at N7.932 billion traded in 9,129 deals; thus contributing 87.12 per cent and 7.61 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Oil and Gas Industry followed with 233.982 million shares

worth N92.545 billion in 1,410 deals. The third place was occupied by Consumer Goods Industry with a turnover of 80.623 million shares worth N1.957 billion in 2,138 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 52,885 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N425,464.25 executed in 19 deals compared with a total of 11,585 units valued at N144,678.50 transacted the preceding week in five deals.

Similarly, a total of 2,870 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N2.638million were traded this week in seven deals, compared with a total of 18,144 units valued at N17.555 million transacted the previous week in 12 deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

A look at the price movement chart showed that 36 equities appreciated in price higher than the 16 equities of the previous week, while 24 equities depreciated in price, lower compared with 35 equities of the previous week. Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 14.8 per cent, trailed by Cadbury Nigeria Plc which shed 11.7 per cent.

Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc added 10.2 per cent, just as Transcorp Hotels Plc and Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc appreciated by 10 per cent and 9.2 per cent respectively.

Trans-Nationwide Express Plc garnered 8.7 per cent, while Unilever Nigeria Plc and United Bank for Africa Plc chalked up 8.3 per cent and 7.1 per cent in that order. International Breweries Plc and Forte Oil Plc went up by 6.6 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively.

Conversely, Livestock Feeds Plc led the bears with 16.9 per cent trailed by UACN Property Development Company Plc with 6.3 per cent. Guaranty Trust Bank Plc and Ecobank Transnational Incorporated shed 6.0 per cent and 5.2 per cent in that order. Other top price losers were: Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc, May & Baker Nigeria Plc (5.0 per cent apiece). Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc (4.8 per cent), Jaiz Bank Plc (4.7 per cent), Unity Bank Plc (4.4 per cent) and Transcorp Plc (4.0 per cent).

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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