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National Reserves 8,000 Tonnes Can’t Solve Food Crisis — Officials

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  • National Reserves 8,000 Tonnes Can’t Solve Food Crisis

The quantity of food items stored in the 23 national reserves across the country are extremely low and cannot effectively address the rising prices of food in Nigeria, various officials at the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development and operators in the sector have said.

According to them, Nigeria’s store houses for food have the capacity to take over one million tonnes of agricultural produce but the reserves currently have only about 8,000 tonnes of food valued at N1.5bn.

On Wednesday, the Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Chief Audu Ogbeh, stated that the Federal Government was considering opening the nation’s food reserves as part of measures aimed at reducing food prices in Nigeria.

“We shall be looking into our reserves if in the next few days the situation persists, to see what we can bring out to lower the prices because another bumper harvest will be coming up at the end of March,” the minister had said.

But operators in the sector and officials at the FMARD noted that the quantity of food items in the reserves were very low and should be restocked.

When asked if the country had enough food in its reserves to open up in order to address the rising food prices, a senior official at the FMARD, who spoke to our correspondent in confidence on Saturday, said, “No, we don’t have.”

One of the officials added, “It is very low; in fact, extremely very low! And the reserves are low because sometime last year, we distributed about 38,000 tonnes to IDPs (Internally Displaced Persons), and the Poultry Association of Nigeria and we were not able to replenish our stock due to lack of adequate budgetary provision.

“For instance, the budget of 2016 can only give us 3,000 tonnes when we have a capacity of almost about a million tonnes. But the ministry is making an arrangement to get extra funds from the Federal Ministry of Finance to see whether they can give us money so that we can take off what the private grain stock holders have with them now and put in the reserves.”

On the conservative value of foodstuff in the reserves, the official said, “As it is now, we have about 8,000 tonnes and this will give you just about N1.5bn. To fully stock the reserves of about one million tonnes capacity will require trillions of naira, which is why it is not something that only the Federal Government should do.

“I think there has to be a partnership between the federal and state governments or the federal and private sector players through public private partnership.”

Another official at the ministry, however, noted that the government might not commence the distribution of food from the nation’s reserves at the moment, unless there was an extreme situation or scarcity.

The source said, “It has to be extreme, but you know that presently we are expecting dry season harvest from the ongoing dry season farming in many states. Therefore, before the next harvest, the price of food should come down because the produce from the various dry season farms will be coming in at the end of March this year.

“It is important to let Nigerians know what the ministry is facing and how we are tackling the issues despite the very limited resources at our disposal. Also, people should know that there isn’t much in the reserves so that they won’t relax with the hope that government has enough in its store houses, no!”

The official explained that on occasions when food from the reserves were shared, the government usually adopted measures that forestall a hijack of the distribution process by middlemen.

The official said, “It cannot be hijacked by any middleman because we do direct sales to the public or give directly to beneficiaries who are primarily those that need it, so that they won’t have to go to the market. We don’t give it to those who don’t need it.”

According to the source, the quality of different food items in the reserves are good enough, adding that Nigeria has a total of 23 functional store houses.

“We have 23 reserves, comprising of 13 old and 10 new ones, while another 10 are under construction. They are located in almost every state in Nigeria except for Rivers and Enugu, which are the states I can remember for now that don’t have. Other states have food reserves,” the official said.

Confirming the drop in food reserves and measures being put in place to increase the production of agricultural produce, the Project Manager, Micro Reforms for Africa, who doubles as the Abuja Liaison Manager for Fertiliser Producers and Suppliers Association of Nigeria, Mr. Gideon Negedu, told our correspondent that food prices would crash soon once the various industry-wide programmes began to have effect.

Negedu said, “We know there are challenges, particularly with respect to food availability and cost, but I can tell you with all confidence that food prices are going to come down tremendously because the cost of production is going to fall seriously. So as far as production and input is concerned, the price of food will come down.”

When asked to specifically state when Nigerians will start experiencing the crash in food prices, Negedu replied, “Very, very soon. When I mean very soon, I’m saying very, very soon because it’s going to be unprecedented.”

Similarly, the Coordinator, Nigeria Agribusiness Group, Mr. Emmanuel Ijewere, also confirmed that food prices were going to crash and agricultural produce would become available once the regulatory framework on fertiliser production and other initiatives in the industry began to take shape.

“There is a new paradigm going on in Nigeria. We are creating a seamless opportunity for win-win outcomes for private and public sector investments in the agribusiness space. This will not only result in adequate fertiliser, but will make food affordable to many,” he said.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Dangote Mega Refinery in Nigeria Seeks Millions of Barrels of US Crude Amid Output Challenges

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The Dangote Mega Refinery, situated near Lagos, Nigeria, is embarking on an ambitious plan to procure millions of barrels of US crude over the next year.

The refinery, established by Aliko Dangote, Africa’s wealthiest individual, has issued a term tender for the purchase of 2 million barrels a month of West Texas Intermediate Midland crude for a duration of 12 months, commencing in July.

This development revealed through a document obtained by Bloomberg, represents a shift in strategy for the refinery, which has opted for US oil imports due to constraints in the availability and reliability of Nigerian crude.

Elitsa Georgieva, Executive Director at Citac, an energy consultancy specializing in the African downstream sector, emphasized the allure of US crude for Dangote’s refinery.

Georgieva highlighted the challenges associated with sourcing Nigerian crude, including insufficient supply, unreliability, and sometimes unavailability.

In contrast, US WTI offers reliability, availability, and competitive pricing, making it an attractive option for Dangote.

Nigeria’s struggles to meet its OPEC+ quota and sustain its crude production capacity have been ongoing for at least a year.

Despite an estimated production capacity of 2.6 million barrels a day, the country only managed to pump about 1.45 million barrels a day of crude and liquids in April.

Factors contributing to this decline include crude theft, aging oil pipelines, low investment, and divestments by oil majors operating in Nigeria.

To address the challenge of local supply for the Dangote refinery, Nigeria’s upstream regulators have proposed new draft rules compelling oil producers to prioritize selling crude to domestic refineries.

This regulatory move aims to ensure sufficient local supply to support the operations of the 650,000 barrel-a-day Dangote refinery.

Operating at about half capacity presently, the Dangote refinery has capitalized on the opportunity to secure cheaper US oil imports to fulfill up to a third of its feedstock requirements.

Since the beginning of the year, the refinery has been receiving monthly shipments of about 2 million barrels of WTI Midland from the United States.

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Oil Prices Hold Steady as U.S. Demand Signals Strengthening

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil prices maintained a steady stance in the global market as signals of strengthening demand in the United States provided support amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, holds at $82.79 per barrel, a marginal increase of 4 cents or 0.05%.

Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw a slight uptick of 4 cents to $78.67 per barrel.

The stability in oil prices came in the wake of favorable data indicating a potential surge in demand from the U.S. market.

An analysis by MUFG analysts Ehsan Khoman and Soojin Kim pointed to a broader risk-on sentiment spurred by signs of receding inflationary pressures in the U.S., suggesting the possibility of a more accommodative monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

This prospect could alleviate the strength of the dollar and render oil more affordable for holders of other currencies, consequently bolstering demand.

Despite a brief dip on Wednesday, when Brent crude touched an intra-day low of $81.05 per barrel, the commodity rebounded, indicating underlying market resilience.

This bounce-back was attributed to a notable decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, gasoline, and distillates.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a reduction of 2.5 million barrels in crude inventories to 457 million barrels for the week ending May 10, surpassing analysts’ consensus forecast of 543,000 barrels.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM, underscored the significance of increased refinery activity, which contributed to the decline in inventories and hinted at heightened demand.

This development sparked a turnaround in price dynamics, with earlier losses being nullified by a surge in buying activity that wiped out all declines.

Moreover, U.S. consumer price data for April revealed a less-than-expected increase, aligning with market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

The prospect of monetary easing further buoyed market sentiment, contributing to the stability of oil prices.

However, amidst these market dynamics, geopolitical tensions persisted in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Palestinian factions. Israeli military operations in Gaza remained ongoing, with ceasefire negotiations reaching a stalemate mediated by Qatar and Egypt.

The situation underscored the potential for geopolitical flare-ups to impact oil market sentiment.

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Shell’s Bonga Field Hits Record High Production of 138,000 Barrels per Day in 2023

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Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) has achieved a significant milestone as its Bonga field, Nigeria’s first deep-water development, hit a record high production of 138,000 barrels per day in 2023.

This represents a substantial increase when compared to 101,000 barrels per day produced in the previous year.

The improvement in production is attributed to various factors, including the drilling of new wells, reservoir optimization, enhanced facility management, and overall asset management strategies.

Elohor Aiboni, Managing Director of SNEPCo, expressed pride in Bonga’s performance, stating that the increased production underscores the commitment of the company’s staff and its continuous efforts to enhance production processes and maintenance.

Aiboni also acknowledged the support of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and SNEPCo’s co-venture partners, including TotalEnergies Nigeria Limited, Nigerian Agip Exploration, and Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited.

The Bonga field, which commenced production in November 2005, operates through the Bonga Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel, with a capacity of 225,000 barrels per day.

Located 120 kilometers offshore, the FPSO has been a key contributor to Nigeria’s oil production since its inception.

Last year, the Bonga FPSO reached a significant milestone by exporting its 1-billionth barrel of oil, further cementing its position as a vital asset in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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