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Equities Market Sheds 2% on Negative Investor Sentiment

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equities Market Sheds 2% on Negative Investor Sentiment

The positive performance recorded by the Nigerian stock market the previous week could not be sustained last week as investors’ confidence weakened following poor results by some companies.

The market had rebounded the previous week as investors were optimistic companies would soon begin to declare dividends for the 2016 financial year. As a result, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index (NSE ASI) had appreciated by 0.40 per cent.

However, the market returned to the red zone last week with the NSE ASI declining by 2.0 per cent to close at 25,802.54, while market capitalisation ended at N8.892 trillion. Many investors got high disappointed that Forte Oil Plc, which was the first firm to declare 2016 full year results, posted a decline of 50 per cent in profit after tax and neither recommended a dividend nor bonus issue. Similarly, leading soft drink bottling firm, Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc recorded a loss of N2.9 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2016. The market was bearish for four days and recorded an appreciation only one day. At the end of week, the index shed 2.0 per cent.

Similarly, all other Indices finished lower during the week with the exception of the NSE Premium Index and NSE Industrial Goods Indices that appreciated by 0.15 per cent and 4.37 per cent respectively, while the NSE ASem Index closed flat. The NSE Oil & Gas Index led the losers with a decline of 5.0 per cent.

Daily Market performance

The market opened for the week on a bearish note as investors’ sentiments remained weak. The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index fell by 0.42 per cent to close at 26,217.18. Market capitalisation shed same margin to close lower at N9.02 trillion.

The depreciation recorded in the share prices of Oando, GTBank, Zenith Bank, Dangote Cement and Access Bank were mainly responsible for the loss recorded on Monday.

Investors traded 143.52 million shares worth N2.19 billion in 2,139 deals. The first five stocks that drove volume included AIICO (56.8 million), Transcorp (16.0 million), UBA (7.75 million), FBN Holdings (7.64 million) and Fidelity Bank (7.4 million). Analysts at SCM Capital Limited said they expected the market to exhibit another depressed mood the following day.

“We expect market to exhibit another depressed mood at tomorrow`s session due to weak volume. However, the current valuation presents an attractive entry opportunities for risk tolerant investors to position ahead of the earnings season,” they had said.

In line with the negative outlook, the equity market slumped further on Tuesday with the NSE ASI, depreciating by 0.69 per cent to close at 26,036.24. Losses by Nestle, GTBank, Guinness, Nigerian Breweries and Access Bank accounted for the decline. Consequently, the market closed the first month of 2017 with a decline of 3.12 per cent.

The total value of stocks traded on Tuesday N2.76 billion up by 265.5 per cent from N755.89 million of the previous day, while total volume of stocks traded was 205.77 million in 2,914 deals.

The market prolonged the bearish mood on Wednesday with the NSE ASI declining below the 26,000 psychological mark. Specifically, the index closed lower at 25,903.55.

Investors’ sentiments remained dampened by weak corporate earnings by some companies. Market operators said investors were being cautious as they await more corporate results for 2016 full year and quarterly performance. Already, Guinness Nigeria Plc, a leading brewing firm had announced a loss of over N4.6 billion for the half year to December 31, 2016. Similarly, Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc, declared a loss of N4.8 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2016.

Forte Oil Plc, which announced its full year results ended December 2016, posted a drop of 50 per cent in profit after tax and did not declare a dividend for the year.

“These results are serious concerns for shareholders who are not enthusiastic about increasing demand for stocks for now until positive results begin to come in to the market,” a stock dealer said.

In all, only nine stocks appreciated while 25 stocks depreciated on Wednesday led by Forte Oil with 5.0 per cent to close at N67.66 per share. Guinness Nigeria Plc and Unilever Nigeria Plc trailed with a decline of 4.9 per cent apiece.

Forte had posted a revenue of N148.6 billion in 2016, up by 19.3 per cent from N124.6 billion in 2015. However, profit before tax fell by 24 per cent to N5.3 billion, from N7.0 billion, while profit after tax declined by 50 per cent to N2.9 billion, compared with N5.8 billion recorded in 2015.

The market gained for the first time on Thursday as the index appreciated by 0.13 to close at 25,936.24 as bargain hunting in banking stocks drove the index northwards. Gains recorded by UBA, GTBank, Guinness, Access Bank and Zenith Bank bolstered trading to close in green.

Performance across sector was broadly bullish as all indices closed in the green save for the NSE Oil & Gas Index which declined 1.6 per cent as losses in Forte Oil Plc (-9.7 per cent) and Seplat (-0.03 per cent) more than offset gains in Oando (+4.8 per cent), while the NSE Industrial Goods Index closed flat. The NSE Banking Index gained the most, rising by 0.9 per cent on account of buying interest in UBA (+2.9 per cent) and Zenith (+1.4 per cent).

Similarly, the NSE Insurance and NSE Consumer Goods indices closed 0.6 per cent and 0.02 per cent.

Market turnover

Meanwhile, market turnover stood at total turnover of 1.153 billion shares worth N8.032 billion in 12,783 deals, compared with a total of 990.584 million shares valued at N18.823 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 14,917 deals.

But the Financial Services Industry maintained the number position on the activity chart with 841.221 million shares valued at N3.065 billion traded in 7,102 deals; thus contributing 72.93 per cent and 38.16 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Services Industry followed with 91.826 million shares worth N139.497 million in 265 deals. The third place was occupied by Industrial Goods Industry with a turnover of 67.010 million shares worth N247.141 million in 510 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Continental Reinsurance Plc, FBN Holdings Plc and Med-View Airline Plc accounted for 381.262 million shares worth N788.588 million in 1,008 deals, contributing 33.05 per cent and 9.82 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Price gainers and losers

The price movement chart showed that 23 equities appreciated in price last week, lower than 29 equities of the previous week. Conversely, 37 equities depreciated in price, compared with 30 equities of the previous week, while one 115 equities remained unchanged lower than 116 equities recorded in the preceding week.

Caverton led the price gainers with 15.9 per cent, trailed by Lafarge Africa Plc with a gain of 9.8 per cent. Unity Bank Plc appreciated by 8.1 per cent, just as Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc and Seven-Up Bottling Company Plc garnered 4.3 per cent and 3.8 per cent in that order.

Other top price gainers included: United Capital Plc (3.2 per cent); May & Baker Nigeria Plc (3.0 per cent); Sterling Bank Plc (2.7 per cent) and Guinness Nigeria Plc (2.4 per cent).

Conversely, Forte Oil Plc led the price losers with 15.1 per cent, followed by Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc with 15.0 per cent. UACN Property Development Company Plc went down by 13.8 per cent, while Total Nigeria Plc and Diamond Bank Plc dipped by 10.3 per cent and 10.1 per cent in that order.

Nestle Nigeria Plc, Wema Bank Plc and Continental Reinsurance Plc shed 9.3 per cent and 9.0 per cent respectively. Custodian and Allied Plc and UAC of Nigeria closed the week 7.5 per cent and 7.3 per cent lower in that order.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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