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Banks’ Deposit Declines by N213bn

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  • Banks’ Deposit Declines by N213bn

BANKS’ deposit fell by N213 billion in December, reflecting impact of the economic recession on individuals and businesses. Meanwhile, Federal Government’s Bonds, FGB, recorded significant sell-off last week leading to a fall in prices in both the OTC platform and the Eurobond market.

Banks are mandated to keep 22.5 percent of their total deposit as Cash Reserve with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Consequently, the apex bank, on a monthly basis, debits banks for 22.5 percent of any increase in bank deposit for the month.

However, if a bank records decline in deposit, the CBN credits the bank 22.5 percent of that decline in deposit.

Financial investigations reveal that last week, the CBN credited banks N48 billion for CRR for the month of December, implying that banks in the country recorded a decline in deposit to the tune of N213 billion.

Earlier in June 2016 the Financial Stability Report of the CBN for half year 2016, stated that “Banks’ deposit with the CBN fell by 12.50 per cent at end-June 2016, compared with the 3.84 per cent decline at the end of the second half of 2015.

The Report had indicated that banks’ deposit fell to N3.69 trillion at the end of June 2016, from N3.95 trillion at the end of December 2015. Similarly, the share of banks’ deposit in the total deposit with CBN fell to 35.1 percent in June 2016 from 42.3 percent in December 2015.

N84bn inflow moderate cost of funds

Meanwhile cost of funds dropped to previous level after rising by almost 100 percent during the week. From 7.0 percent at the opening of business on Monday, short interest rates (Overnight borrowing and Open Buy Back, OBB) rose sharply to 14 percent by midweek following outflow of N222 billion for purchase of treasury bills. This was further compounded by outflow of another N2.2 billion for foreign exchange purchase. Hence market liquidity fell from N174 billion on Monday to N17 billion on Wednesday.

Market liquidity

Market liquidity was however revived due to inflow of N84 billion comprising N48 billion for CRR credit and N36.7 billion inflow from excess crude reserve. The inflows prompted market liquidity to rise and close at N56 billion.

Meanwhile the CBN will sell N195.9 billion worth of treasury bills this week in continuation of its effort to manage excess liquidity in the interbank money market. These comprise N36.77 billion worth of 91 Days bills, N39.17 billion of 182 Days bills and N120 billion worth of 364 Days bills. However due to inflows from payment of maturing bills of similar tenors and value, as well as inflow from statutory funds, the interbank money market is expected to be liquid this week with relative stability of cost of funds.

Investors dump FGN Bonds

Last week was a reversal of fortunes for federal government bonds, as there was massive sell-off by investors in Over-The-Counter (OTC) segment and the Eurobond segment.

According to analysts at Cowry Asset, a Lagos based investment firm: “In the just concluded week, FGN bonds traded at the OTC segment depreciated in value for all maturities amid sell pressure. The 20-year, 10.00 percent FGN July2030 debt10-year,16.39 percent FGNJAN2022debt, the7-year16.00 percent FGNJUN 2019 debt and the 5-year, 15.10 percent FGNAPR2017 debt depreciated by N0.67, N0.38, N0.39 and N0.14 respectively; theircorresponding yields rose to 16.30 percent (from 16.13 percent), 16.41 percent (from 16.24 percent), 16.37 percent (from 16.17 percent) and 14.82 percent (from 14.38 percent) respectively.

Elsewhere, FGN Eurobonds traded on theLondon Stock Exchange decreased in value across allmaturities amid sell pressure.The 10-year, 6.75 percent JAN28,2021bond, the5-year,5.13 percent JUL12,2018bondand the10-year,6.38 percent JUL12,2023bondlostUSD0.15 (yield rose to 5.75 percent),$0.35 (yield rose to 3.45 percent) and$0.32 (yield rose to 6.42 percent) respectively. This week, we expect a mix of bargain hunting and profit taking at the OTC market.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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