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Real Sector Gets CBN’s $2.5b Forex in Four Months

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forex
  • Real Sector Gets CBN’s $2.5b Forex in Four Months

Amid foreign exchange scarcity, the nation’s real sector operators were able to access about $2.53 billion at the interbank market in a period of four months.

During the period, the increased intervention helped to reduce the backlog of demand among manufacturing companies for raw materials, as well as keep some pharmaceuticals in operations.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the lender of last resort, through its special intervention programme, ensured a three-month access to forex for the operators amounting to $1.53 billion and ended the year with a $1 billion sale on the Forwards Market.

The $1 billion on the forward market sale in December, which is the largest special auction since the inauguration of the flexible exchange rate policy in June last year, was aimed at clearing a backlog of dollar obligations in key economic sectors.

Before the intervention, banks were told to prioritise airlines, manufacturing firms, petroleum products importers and agriculture sectors, in their requests and disbursements.

Just before the $1 billion Forwards Market sale, apex bank granted access to over N1 billion ($3.3 million) through the inter-bank window to enable respective industries procure industrial raw materials and machine spare-parts.

The industrial raw material group got the highest share of N483.1 million ($1.6 million), representing 48.1 per cent.

According to the bank, the petroleum and the aviation sectors received N372.1 million ($1.2 million) and N123.7 million ($405,462), representing 37.1 per cent and 12.2 per cent respectively, while agriculture received N24.5 million ($80,381) or 2.1 per cent.

A summary of the forex utilisation for the month of October 2016, showed that about 7,792 requests for foreign exchange valued at over $867 million were given access through the inter-bank window to enable them source vital raw materials and spare parts for their respective industries.

A breakdown of the figures showed that the raw materials sector received the highest allotment of $355.7 million, representing 40.99 per cent of the total value of Forex utilisation for the month put at $867.8 million.

Also, the manufacturing and petroleum industries got access to $91.3 million and $150.8 million, respectively.

Companies and other interests in the agricultural sector got access to $13.7 million for the period, while entities in the aviation sector received $10.3 million and the finished goods and others got $43.8 million and $10.8 million, respectively.

The invisibles items, comprising school fees, students’ upkeep and medicals, among others, received $191.3 million, representing 22.05 per cent of the figure.

Acting Director, Corporate Communications Department, CBN, Isaac Okorafor, who made the disclosure, said the release of the figures underscored the transparency of the apex bank in foreign exchange management.

He pointed out that the bank is committed to its pledge to ease the foreign exchange pressure on manufacturing and agricultural sectors, particularly through forward sales under the new flexible forex regime.

In September 2016, manufacturing industries accessed over $660 million in the inter-bank market to source raw materials and spare parts for their industries.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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