- Forex Threatens Power Production
The imbalance in the foreign exchange (forex) market has hindered smooth operation by the nation’s power sector as dollar exchanged for about N470 at the parallel market.
Despite the implementation of the flexible exchange rate mechanism that allowed for sourcing of forex from multiple sources, operators in the sector are battling scarcity of dollars.
It was gathered that firms, on account of high exchange rates, are unable to repay the loans they took to buy the assets of the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) in 2013.
Also, it is difficult for the firms to get enough dollars to import meters, transformers, and other materials needed to meet their obligations to customers.
Industry sources said operators may be forced to further prune down the cost of operation if naira continues its free fall amid the recession in the economy, by downsizing the workforce and reducing output.
The Group Leader Generation, Sahara Power Group, Micheal Uzoigwe, said the lopsidedness in the exchange rate was affecting activities in the industry.
According to him, the high cost of foreign exchange has resulted in price increase of spare parts by 90 per cent. He added that the issue was having ripple effects on the sector and the economy, explaining that output in the value chain has reduced to an abysmal level due to high cost of obtaining dollar in Nigeria.
Uzoigwe said: “Getting enough dollars for transactions and achieving optimal capacity is a problem to electricity generation companies (GenCos). The reason is because the price of gas is denominated in dollar and that power generation companies are unable to get enough money to buy the product. He said firms were paying N165 per unit of gas two years and they are now paying between N460 to N470 for the same unit of gas in 2016, then there is a problem.
“Two things are likely to happen. First, the GenCos would not be able to get enough millions of cubit of gas for generation. Secondly, the firms would find it extremely difficult to break even in the industry.”
Uzoigwe said Sahara Power Group, bought Egbin power plant for $400million in 2013 when dollar exchanged for N165, adding that the Group now pays a lot to service the debt.
“We at (Sahara Group) bought Egbin Power Plant for $400million few years ago. The Group took loans from the banks to buy the plant. Now we are repaying the loan. Given the fact that the value of dollar has increased greatly, the Group is paying more money to service the debt. The additional money that is being paid on the debt would have been channelled to a more productive usage,” he added.
Also, the Chief Executive officer, MOMAS Nigeria Limited, Mr. Kola Balogun said operators across the value chain are struggling to survive in the face of bad economy.
He said the woes of the operators have been compounded by the rise in the value of dollar in recent times, adding that companies are not recording growth because Nigeria runs an import-dependent economy.
He said many operators in the sector rely on accessories imported from abroad for production, stressing that they spend a lot of money on production when cost of importation is factored in.
Balogun asked: “Are we to talk of gas that its price is denominated in dollar? Are we to talk of pre-paid meters, sub-station equipment and other tools that are imported? Are we to talk of money spent on seeking partners abroad by power firms?”
Balogun, whose firm manufactures meters said indigenous meter producers are having problems despite the fact that they are sourcing 60 per cent of their materials locally.
Increased Demand Paves The Way for Expansion of Africa’s Sugar Industry
Africa, June 2021: A new focus report produced by the Oxford Business Group (OBG), in partnership with the International Sugar Organization (ISO), explores the potential that Africa’s sugar industry holds for growth on the back of an anticipated rise in regional demand. The report was presented to ISO members during the MECAS meeting at the Organization’s 58th Council Session, on June 17th 2021.
Titled “Sugar in Africa”, the report highlights the opportunities for investors to contribute to the industry’s development by helping to bridge infrastructure gaps in segments such as farming and refining and port facilities.
The report considers the benefits that the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) could deliver by supporting fair intra-African sugar trade efforts and bringing regulatory frameworks under a common umbrella, which will be key to improving competitiveness.
The increased international focus on ESG standards is another topical issue examined. Here, the report charts the initiatives already under way in Africa supported by green-focused investment with sustainability at their core, which will help to instil confidence in new investors keen to adhere to ESG principles in their decision-making.
In addition, subscribers will find coverage of the impact that Covid-19 had on the industry, with detailed analysis provided of the decrease in both worldwide sugar production and prices, as movement restrictions and social-distancing measures took their toll on operations.
The report shines a spotlight on sugar production in key markets across the continent, noting regional differences in terms of output and assessing individual countries’ roles as net exporters and importers.
It also includes an interview with José Orive, Executive Director, International Sugar Organisation, in which he maps out the particularities of the African sugar industry, while sharing his thoughts on what needs to be done to promote continental trade and sustainable development.
“The region is well advanced in terms of sugar production overall, but several challenges still hinder its full potential,” he said. “It is not enough to just produce sugar; producers must be able to move it to buyers efficiently. When all negotiations related to the AfCFTA have concluded, we expect greater investment across the continent and a clearer regulatory framework.”
Karine Loehman, OBG’s Managing Director for Africa, said that while the challenges faced by Africa’s sugar producers shouldn’t be underestimated, the new report produced with the ISO pointed to an industry primed for growth on the back of anticipated increased consumption across the continent and higher levels of output in sub-Saharan Africa.
“Regional demand for sugar is expected to rise in the coming years, driven up by Africa’s population growth and drawing a line under declines triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic,” she said. “With sub-Saharan Africa’s per capita sugar consumption currently standing at around half of the global average, the opportunities to help meet increasing domestic need by boosting production are considerable.”
The study on Africa’s sugar industry forms part of a series of tailored reports that OBG is currently producing with its partners, alongside other highly relevant, go-to research tools, including a range of country-specific Growth and Recovery Outlook articles and interviews.
Global Demand for Investment Gold Plunged by 70% YoY to 161 Metric Tons in Q1 2021
Last year, investors flocked to gold as stock markets crashed on a gloomy economic outlook due to the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the second quarter of 2020, global demand for investment gold surged to over 591 metric tons, the second-highest level since 2016. However, the investors’ demand for gold has dropped significantly this year.
According to data compiled by AksjeBloggen, global demand for investment gold plunged by 70% year-over-year to 161 metric tons in the first quarter of 2021.
The Lowest Quarterly Figures after Record Gold Investments in 2020
In 2016, the global gold demand amounted to 4,309 metric tons, revealed Statista and the World Gold Council data. By the end of 2019, this figure rose to 4,356 metric tons. Investment gold accounted for 30% of that amount. Worldwide gold jewelry demand volumes reached 2,118 metric tons that year. Central banks and technology followed with 648 and 326 metric tons, respectively.
Statistics show the global demand for investment gold surged amid the COVID-19 outbreak, growing by 35% YoY to almost 1,800 metric tons in 2020. Demands for gold used in technology also rose by 17% to 383.4 metric tons, while central banks and other institutions bought 326.2 metric tons of gold in 2020, a 50% plunge in a year.
However, after record gold investments in 2020, the global demand for gold for investment purposes dropped to the lowest quarterly level in years.
The Price of Gold Dropped by 5% Since January
The average gold value tends to increase during a recession, making it an attractive investment in uncertain times. In February 2019, a troy ounce of gold cost $1,320.07, revealed the Statista and World Gold Council data. By the end of that year, the price of gold rose to $1,479.13.
The gold price continued growing throughout 2020, reaching an all-time high of over $2,000 in August. By the end of the year, the precious metal price slipped to $1,864 and then rose to over $1,950 in January 2021.
However, the first quarter of the year brought a negative trend, with the price of gold falling to $1,684 by the end of March. Statistics indicate the price of gold stood at around $1,860 last week, a 5% drop since the beginning of the year.
Gold, Other Safe Haven Assets Plunge Ahead of Fed Rate Hikes
Gold and other safe-haven assets plunged last week as the Federal Reserve signals the possibility of raising interest rates twice in 2023 given the ongoing economic recovery post-COVID-19.
The price of gold dropped by 6.04 percent last week as investors rushed to move their funds out of safe-haven assets including the new gold, cryptocurrency.
The entire crypto space sheds $898 billion in market value to hover around $1.625 trillion last week, down from $2.523 trillion recorded on Wednesday 12, 2021. Its highest market capitalisation till date.
The Federal Reserve raised inflation expectations to 3.4 percent and shifted the year it is expected to increase interest rates from near-zero to 2023 from the previously projected 2024.
The new hawkish stance of the central bank led to capital outflow from safe havens and subsequently boosted dollar attraction.
The United States Dollar gained across the board with the dollar index that tracks its performance against six major currencies, rising by 0.63 percent to 91.103 last week.
However, on Monday morning the gold showed signs of recovery, gaining 0.5 percent to $1,772.34 per ounce following the retreat in U.S. treasury yield that boosted the attraction of non-yielding metal.
Bitcoin, the most dominant cryptocurrency coin, pared losses to $33,245 per coin, up from the $32,658 decline it posted last week.
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