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Third-quarter Results to Shape Market Trend – Analysts

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Third-quarter Results to Shape Market Trend

Financial analysts have said that the release of the third quarter results will determine the outcome of the stock market trading sessions this week.

The analysts, said the capital market was likely to experience increased trading activities as some investors had begun to take position in terms of investment decisions.

They, however, attributed the market performance last week to a mix of bargain hunting and profit taking activities by investors.

“In the coming week, we expect an influx of corporate scorecards for the Q3 2016 to dictate the general market mood,” analysts at Meristem Securities Limited said in the firm’s weekly market analysis.

Mixed reactions pervaded the Nigerian equities market last week, as index appreciated in three out of five trading days of the week.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange All-Share Index gained marginally by 0.09 per cent week-on-week to settle year-to-date return at –2.73 per cent.

Due to the holiday effect in the penuktimate week, the volume and value of transactions appreciated by 24.38 per cent and 45.52 per cent week-onm-week. For the week, 22 stocks gained as against 43 decliners, representing a negative market breath.

For the fixed income market, system liquidity increased last week, following the Open Market Operations repayment of N233bn. However, there was OMO auction worth N152bn in the week.

The Central Bank of Nigeria through the Debt Management Office conducted a primary market bond auction and raised N10bn, N45bn and N40bn of 14.50 per cent Federal Government of Nigeria July 2021; 12.50 per cent FGN January 2026; and 12.40 per cent FGN March 2036 bond instruments, accordingly.

Bearish sentiments pervaded the treasury bills market, as average Treasury bills yield pared by 1.18 per cent to settle at 17.72 per cent. Also, in the Treasury bonds space, investors signalled strong appetite towards the shorter-term bond instruments.

Consequently, average bond yield declined marginally by 0.03 per cent to settle at 16.12 per cent at the end of the trading week.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the naira depreciated by 1.06 per cent to settle at N307.77/dollar at the close of the week.

But the naira appreciated by 2.83 per cent to close at N460/dollar in the parallel market. Average forward quote stood at N324.83/dollar at the close of the week.

To this end, analysts at Vetiva Capital Management Limited, said, “As the Q3 earnings season opens up further, we expect trading activity to pick up as investors position ahead of the numbers.”

For the fixed income market, they said with no inflows expected at the start of the week to ease system liquidity, “we expect the upward trend in yields to persist.

“For the currency, we do not rule out the possibility of the naira strengthening further as the impact of the CBN’s directive further unfolds.”

For banking stocks, the Meristem analysts said the gain recorded last week was due to the bargain-hunting activities on ‘tier 1’ banks that had witnessed poor market sentiments in the prior week. “As we enter the earnings season, we anticipate nine-month 2016 results to dictate market performance in the period,” it added.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Slips With Energy Prices in Europe Halts Record Rally

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil dipped toward $72 a barrel in New York after prices of energy commodities in Europe halted a record-breaking run.

West Texas Intermediate futures fell 0.6%, having reached the highest intraday level since early August on Wednesday. A rally in European gas and power prices to unprecedented levels was set to end as industries were starting to curb consumption. The surge in energy rates could temporarily boost diesel demand by as much as 2 million barrels a day as consumers switch fuels, according to Citigroup Inc.

Still, the bullish signals for oil are continuing to increase. U.S. crude inventories dropped by more than 6 million barrels last week to a two-year low, according to government figures, as coronavirus vaccination programs permit economies to reopen. Chevron Corp. Chief Executive Officer Mike Wirth warned that the world is facing high energy prices for the foreseeable future.

The investor optimism is showing up in key oil time spreads widening. Trading of bullish Brent options also surged to a two-month high on Wednesday.

Prices have been pushed higher in recent days “by supply outages combined with expectations of switching from gas to oil in the power sector,” said Helge Andre Martinsen, a senior oil market analyst at DNB Bank ASA. “We still believe in softer prices toward year-end and early next year as curtailed production returns and OPEC+ continues to increase production.”

Strong prices for gas, liquefied natural gas and oil are expected to last “for a while” as producers resist the urge to drill again, Chevron’s Wirth told Bloomberg News. Norway’s Equinor ASA said Thursday it also expects European gas prices to remain high over winter.

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Energy

Fuel Scarcity: Petrol Sells N220 Per Litre in Nsukka

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petrol scarcity Nigeria

Premium Motor Spirit, otherwise called petrol, now sells for between N200 and N220 per liter at the independent marketers’ service stations in Nsukka, Enugu State.

The News Agency of Nigeria is reporting the hike in the price against the official pump price of N162 per liter.

It said it started about a fortnight ago due to the scarcity of the commodity in the town and its environs.

Some residents of the town expressed deep worry over the development in separate interviews with NAN on Wednesday.

A civil servant, Stephen Ozioko, said the situation had further compounded the economic difficulties in the area.

Ozioko said many private car owners had been compelled to park their vehicles at home and move around in public transport.

He said: “Since the scarcity started, I decided to park my car and take public transport to the office and back home. N220 per liter is exorbitant and I cannot afford it considering my salary as a civil servant. I shall continue to use public transport until the situation returns to normal.”

A building material dealer, Timothy Ngwu, said the development had also led to an increase in transport fare in the area.

Ngwu said: “Some people now trek from Nsukka Old Park to Odenigbo Roundabout because of the 100 percent hike in fares from N50 to N100 by tricycle.

“Before now, transport fare from Nsukka to Enugu was N500, but transporters now charge between N800 and N1000.”

Also, a commuter bus driver, Victor Ogbonna, described the scarcity and hike in the price of petrol as “unfortunate and an ugly development”.

Ogbonna added: “Today, only a few filling stations are selling the commodity in Nsukka town, while others are shut.”

He alleged that some filling stations, which claimed to be out-of-stock, were selling to black marketers at night.

He said: “This is why black marketers have sprung up everywhere in the town, selling the commodity for about N300 per liter.”

NAN reports that virtually all the major marketers in the area have stopped the sale of petrol, claiming to be out-of-stock.

The people called on the government to urgently intervene in order to bring the situation under control and also put an end to its harsh economic effects on the messes.

NAN.

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Energy

DPR Targets N3.2T Revenue by Year-End

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Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR)-Investors king

Nigeria’s Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) will hit the N3.2 trillion revenue target by December 2021, according to its Director/ Chief Executive Officer, Mr Sarki Auwalu.

Auwalu made the disclosure when he led a delegation of the DPR management team to the Executive Secretary of Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PTDF), Mr Bello Gusau, in Abuja on Wednesday.

He said that 70 percent of the revenue projection had already been met. “Last year, we exceed our revenue budget. We were given N1.5 trillion but we were able to generate N2.7trillion.

“This year, our revenue budget was N3.2 trillion. By the end of August 2021, we have generated up to 70 per cent.

“So, we with September, October, November and December, it is only the 30 per cent that we will work over,’’ he said

He noted that the government took advantage of fiscal terms within the old and new legislation, thereby creating a level of increased signature bonuses.

“We reorganise the work programme that is normally being done in the DPR to key into the new operational structure as we see it in the bill, now an act.

“That programme is being handled by the planning and strategic business unit as against what we use to have because the entire work programme is supposed to show not only technical but also commercial and viability of oil fields and to guarantee the return on investment for investors.

“We have also created an economic value and benchmarking unit to key into the new fiscal provisions of the PIA,’’ he said.

Commenting on capacity, Auwalu said the country stands at the advantage of exporting skills to emerging oil and gas countries across Africa with proper implementation of the newly passed Petroleum Industry Act.

This, he said, the DPR was ready to partner with the Fund to continue to build capacity in the oil and gas sector

He noted that the Federal Government was determined to create leeway that would encourage investors and drastically improve the nation’s petroleum industry.

He further noted that no fewer than 300 legal battles in the oil and gas industry in Nigeria, which had been stalled for the past 20 years in courts, had been resolved through alternative dispute resolution.

According to Auwalu, the DPR is strategising well to ensure effective implementation of the PIA.

Responding, Gusau commended the DPR for enabling the industry and enhancing business activities in the oil and gas sector.

He said that DPR remained the head of the oil and gas industry in Nigeria adding that the Fund was grateful to benefit from the wealth of ideas from DPR.

“The last time we visited, we had a good discussion and issues raised are being implemented like tracking the inflow of funds in signature bonus accounts.

“We extended the meeting and involved ministry of Finance, Accountant General office and even the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

“Sitting at field development plans and attending significant meetings, helped us to know where and what the industry is trying to do and it also helps to inform our decisions in training and capacity plans,’’ he said

He urged the DPR to continue on its effort to ensure an efficient and productive petroleum industry in Nigeria

He assured collaboration with all as the head of the implementation committee of the Petroleum Industry Act. (NAN)

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