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We’ve Injected N2.419tn Into Economy – FG

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  • We’ve Injected N2.419tn Into Economy 

The Federal Government has injected over N2.419tn into the economy out of the total of N6.06tn budgeted for 2016, according to its 2017-2019 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper.

The figure covered recurrent and capital expenditures incurred as of the end of June this year.

The recurrent expenditure alone, covering salaries, overheads, pensions, among others, gulped N1.479tn between January and June.

The documents obtained on Monday, indicated that revenue challenges affected capital payments, but noted that “capital releases (including capital share of statutory transfers) amounted to N331.58bn.”

The government stated, “These investments, in combination with other policy measures, are expected to revive economic activities.”

Domestic debt servicing claimed N609bn, while foreign debt servicing stood at N567bn.

President Muhammadu Buhari had laid the MTEF and the FSP before the National Assembly last week in Abuja, revealing the government’s plan to budget N6.8tn for 2017.

The figure will be about 13.3 per cent or N806bn above the N6.06tn budgeted for 2016.

The government said crude oil crisis and challenges in the Niger Delta affected oil revenue performance, making it to turn to “financing from borrowing and other sources” to fund the 2016 spending.

The country’s total debt, according to the documents, stood at $61.45bn as of June or “about N16.3tn.”

The government said, “The total debt stock is composed of external debt stock of $11.26bn (or about N3.19tn) and domestic debt stock of $50.19b (N13.11tn).

“Of the total domestic debt, the Federal Government was responsible for about 74.6 per cent, while the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory accounted for the balance.”

Despite the rising cost of debt servicing, the government said borrowing was still “within the global threshold of 56 per cent for the country’s peer group.”

It explained further, “While the government maintains an expansionary fiscal policy over the short-to-medium-term and despite the country’s rising total debt service costs, the strategy is to keep the debt-to-GDP ratio within the present country specific ratio of 19.39 per cent and potentially review same to not more than 25 per cent in 2017.”

The documents projected the GDP growth of 3.02 per cent in 2017, while inflation was “expected to moderate to 12.92 per cent”, but consumption would increase to N80.05tn.

Its assumptions on crude oil production indicated 2.2mbpd in 2017; 2.3mbpd in 2018; and 2.4mbpd in 2019.

On the benchmark, it projected $42.5 per barrel for 2017 budget and $45 for 2018. For 2019, the figure was put at $50.

For the exchange rate, the government pegged it at N290 per dollar.

It explained, “It is also based on an average growth in employment and labour productivity, as well as an average gross fixed capital formation of 9.41 per cent of the GDP.”

The budgeted crude oil benchmark for 2016 was $38, while in 2015, it was $53. Both projections faced implementation challenges.

Meanwhile, data obtained from the Debt Management Office in Abuja on Monday, showed that while the Federal Government spent a total of N424.63bn to service domestic debt in the first quarter of the year, it spent a total of N217.05bn in the second quarter ending June 30.

On monthly basis, the Federal Government spent N140.39bn in January; N150.27bn in February; and N133.97bn to service its domestic debt.

For the months in the second quarter, the Federal Government spent N82.29bn in April; N71.49bn in May; and N63.27bn in June.

For the 12 months of 2015, the Federal Government spent a total of N1.02tn to service its domestic debt.

In the first half of 2015, the Federal Government spent N1 53.06bn in January, N75.42bn in February; N82.55bn in March; N90.12bn in April; N61.69bn in May; and N65.69bn in June to service domestic debt.

This means that for the first six months in 2015, the Federal Government spent a total of N528.54bn to service its domestic debt.

The implication of this is that compared to a similar period in 2015, the amount used to service the Federal Government’s domestic debt in the first six months of the year rose by N113.14bn.

This shows an increase of 21.49 per cent in the cost of servicing domestic debt within a period of one year.

The domestic debt of the Federal Government stood at N10.61tn as of the end of June while as of the end of June 2015, its domestic debt stood at N8.4tn.

It was discovered that the Federal Government spent a total of N2.95trn to service domestic debts for a period of five years, from 2010 to 2014. The cost of servicing domestic debt rose from N334.66bn in 2010 to N846.64bn by the end of December 2014.

Each year, the Federal Government sets apart some money in the budget for the servicing of both foreign and domestic debts. The actual amount paid, however, may differ from what was budgeted.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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