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$2.3bn NNPC funds: CBN Bars 9 Banks From Forex Market

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The Central Bank of Nigeria on Tuesday wielded the big stick as it barred nine Deposit Money Banks from the nation’s foreign exchange market for failing to remit the sum of $2.334bn belonging to the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation to the Treasury Single Account.

President Muhammad Buhari had last September ordered all the DMBs in the country to remit all Federal Government funds to the TSA.

The banks are: First Bank of Nigeria Limited ($469m); Diamond Bank Plc ($287m); Sterling Bank Plc ($269m); Skye Bank Plc ($221m); Fidelity Bank ($209m); United Bank for Africa ($530m); Keystone Bank ($139); First City Monument Bank (FCMB) $125m; and Heritage Bank ($85m).

Officials of the CBN officials told our correspondent that the sanction would remain until the DMBs could remit the funds to the CBN.

The officials further said the further disciplinary actions awaited the errant banks after remitting the funds in full to the Federal Government’s coffers.

As of time of filing this report, it was learnt that some bank executives were meeting with the CBN Governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele, over the development.

However, the Head, Corporate Communications, UBA, Mr. Charles Aigbe, said the bank was not among the banks sanctioned by the CBN.

In a statement issued on Tuesday, Aigbe said, “Our attention has been drawn to report of the ban of UBA from the foreign exchange market by the CBN over the non-remittance of the NNPC/NLNG dollar deposits.

“We wish to state very categorically that UBA has completely remitted all the NNPC/NLNG dollar deposits. We thank all our numerous customers, business partners and other. stakeholders who have reached out to us on account of this report.”

The spokespersons for First Bank, Mr. Babatunde Lasaki, said the lender would issue a statement on the development.

But as of the time of filing this report, he had yet to do so.

Spokesperson for FCMC, Mr. Diran Olojo, in a terse response, said, “We are working with the CBN on an amicable resolution. This is really a function of the dire macroeconomic situation and illiquidity in the FX markets, rather than concealment or wilful non-compliance by banks.”

Spokesperson for Diamond Bank, Mr. Mike Omeife, did not respond to telephone calls and text messages seeking their reaction on the development.

The Skye Bank spokesperson, Mr. Ndumechi Ezurike, could not be reached for comments.

Spokespersons for Fidelity Bank, Sterling Bank and Heritage Bank could not comment immediately.

However, sources in the banks said their managements were working with the CBN to resolve the matter.

It was learnt that Fidelity Bank had been following a payment plan agreed with the CBN on the funds.

Following the President’s directive on the TSA last September, majority of the banks had complied by remitting all the Federal Government funds including that of the NNPC to the TSA.

However, the CBN reportedly fined First Bank, UBA and Skye Bank for failing some billions of naira to the Federal Government coffers in line with the TSA directive.

Further investigations by our correspondent revealed that following the presidential directive on the TSA, most of the DMBs remitted all naira-denominated funds in their possession including that of the NLNG/NNPC to the CBN.

However, the dollar components of the NLNG/NNPC funds in the banking system, estimated at about $5bn, could not be remitted immediately due to scarcity of forex in the country.

However, the banks reached an agreement with the CBN to start remitting the funds on monthly basis.

The monthly payment plan submitted by the banks to the CBN, it was learnt, was being followed by the some banks while other defaulted.

Following the compliance of some of the banks to the payment plan, the dollar component of the NLNG/NNPC funds was reduced to $2.3bn.

The failure of some banks to comply with the payment plans and the dire need for the CBN to shore up the nation’s fast-depleting external reserves, it was learnt, forced the regulator to adopt a measure.

This, findings revealed, forced the CBN to bar the banks from the forex market.

A top bank executive close to the development, who spoke under the condition of anonymity, said, “We need to admit we have a national problem. The NLNG deposit in the banking system was about $5bn. The banks have been paying and what is remaining now is just about $2bn. The banks have submitted a payment plan and they are following it. The banks have the naira equivalent of the outstanding amount. The challenge is that they cannot get dollar to buy to settle the money.”

Some top bankers said the approach the CBN was adopting was capable of compounding the problem.

“This could affect the banks image and their ability to get foreign investors; we need to admit we have a national problem and seek for ways to resolve it,” one of the bankers said.

The NLNG was paying dividends from the investment of the government in the company (NLNG) to the NNPC.

The dividends had accumulated to about $5bn; the

NNPC was investing this dividend payment in a dedicated account as fixed deposits with commercial banks.

It was learnt that when the Federal Government raised the issue that the dividends should have been paid into the Federation Account, the CBN governor invited the CEOs of all the banks that had the funds to Abuja for a reconciliation of the amount in each bank with the records of the CBN/NNPC, and agreed to a repayment time table of the funds with the banks

As of the time the TSA Implementation commenced in September 2015 some of the banks had paid back over 50 per cent of the funds based on the repayment timetable

This repayment by the banks was the bailout of $2.1bn (N414bn) that was shared by the FGN and state governments in July/August 2015.

When the TSA commenced, the banks reported these funds as part of government deposits they had but it was not remitted like other TSA funds because of the remittance timetable that had been agreed with the CBN.

The NNPC invited banks earlier this year to submit a revised repayment plan for the balance of the funds offers.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Dip on Sluggish Demand Signs and Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook

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Oil prices on Monday dipped as the U.S. Federal Reserve officials’ comments showed a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments.

The dip in prices reflects concerns over the outlook for global economic growth and its implications for energy consumption in the world’s largest economy.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, slipped by 7 cents or 0.1% to $82.72 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil stood at $78.21 per barrel, a 5 cents decline.

Auckland-based independent analyst Tina Teng highlighted that the oil market’s focus has shifted from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to the broader world economic outlook.

Concerns arose as China’s producer price index (PPI) contracted in April, signaling continued sluggishness in business demand.

Similarly, recent U.S. economic data suggested a slowdown, further dampening market sentiment.

The discussions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the adequacy of current interest rates to stimulate inflation back to the desired 2% level added to market jitters.

While earlier in the week, concerns over supply disruptions stemming from the Israel-Gaza conflict had provided some support to oil prices, the attention has now turned to macroeconomic indicators.

Analysts anticipate that the U.S. central bank will maintain its policy rate at the current level for an extended period, bolstering the dollar.

A stronger dollar typically makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thus contributing to downward pressure on oil prices.

Furthermore, signs of weak demand added to the bearish sentiment in the oil market. ANZ analysts noted that U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased in the week preceding the start of the U.S. driving season, indicating subdued demand for fuel.

Refiners globally are grappling with declining profits for diesel, driven by increased supplies and lackluster economic activity.

Despite the prevailing challenges, expectations persist that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies, collectively known as OPEC+, may extend supply cuts into the second half of the year.

Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, expressed commitment to voluntary oil production cuts and emphasized cooperation with member countries to stabilize global oil markets.

However, Iraq’s suggestion that it had fulfilled its voluntary reductions and reluctance to agree to additional cuts proposed by OPEC+ members stirred speculation and uncertainty in the market.

ING analysts pointed out that Iraq’s ability to implement further cuts might be limited, given its previous shortfall in adhering to voluntary reductions.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the oil rig count declined to its lowest level since November, signaling a potential slowdown in domestic oil production.

As oil markets continue to grapple with a complex web of factors influencing supply and demand dynamics, investors and industry stakeholders remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments and adjusting their strategies accordingly in an ever-evolving landscape.

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Brent Crude Hovers Above $84 as Demand Rises in U.S. and China

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Brent crude oil continued its upward trajectory above $84 a barrel as demand in the United States and China, the two largest consumers of crude globally increased.

This surge in demand coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has bolstered oil markets, maintaining Brent crude’s resilience above $84 a barrel.

The latest data revealed a surge in demand, particularly in the U.S. where falling crude inventories coincided with higher refinery runs.

This trend indicates growing consumption patterns and a positive outlook for oil demand in the world’s largest economy.

In China, oil imports for April exceeded last year’s figures, driven by signs of improving trade activity, as exports and imports returned to growth after a previous contraction.

ANZ Research analysts highlighted the ongoing strength in demand from China, suggesting that this could keep commodity markets well supported in the near term.

The positive momentum in demand from these key economies has provided a significant boost to oil prices in recent trading sessions.

However, amidst these bullish indicators, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added further support to oil markets. Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack setting fire to an oil refinery in Russia’s Kaluga region have heightened concerns about supply disruptions and escalated tensions in the region.

Also, ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip has fueled apprehensions of broader unrest, particularly given Iran’s support for Palestinian group Hamas.

Citi analysts emphasized the geopolitical risks facing the oil market, pointing to Israel’s actions in Rafah and growing tensions along its northern border. They cautioned that such risks could persist throughout the second quarter of 2024.

Despite the current bullish sentiment, analysts anticipate a moderation in oil prices as global demand growth appears to be moderating with Brent crude expected to average $86 a barrel in the second quarter and $74 in the third quarter.

The combination of robust demand from key economies like the U.S. and China, coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continues to influence oil markets with Brent crude hovering above $84 a barrel.

As investors closely monitor developments in both demand dynamics and geopolitical events, the outlook for oil prices remains subject to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty.

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Brent Plunges Below $83 Amidst Rising US Stockpiles and Middle East Uncertainty

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

The global oil declined today as Brent crude prices plummeted below $83 per barrel, its lowest level since mid-March.

This steep decline comes amidst a confluence of factors, including a worrisome surge in US oil inventories and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

On the commodity exchanges, Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, experienced a sharp decline, dipping below the psychologically crucial threshold of $83 per barrel.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, the US benchmark, also saw a notable decrease to $77 per barrel.

The downward spiral in oil prices has been attributed to a plethora of factors rattling the market’s stability.

One of the primary drivers behind the recent slump in oil prices is the mounting stockpiles of crude oil in the United States.

According to industry estimates, crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI futures contracts, surged by over 1 million barrels last week.

Also, reports indicate a significant buildup in nationwide holdings of gasoline and distillates, further exacerbating concerns about oversupply in the market.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to add a layer of uncertainty to the oil market dynamics.

The Israeli military’s incursion into the Gazan city of Rafah has intensified concerns about the potential escalation of conflicts in the region.

Despite efforts to broker a truce between Israel and Hamas, designated as a terrorist organization by both the US and the European Union, a lasting peace agreement remains elusive, fostering an environment of instability that reverberates across global energy markets.

Analysts and investors alike are closely monitoring these developments, with many expressing apprehension about the implications for oil prices in the near term.

The recent downturn in oil prices reflects a broader trend of market pessimism, with indicators such as timespreads and processing margins signaling a weakening outlook for the commodity.

The narrowing of Brent and WTI’s prompt spreads to multi-month lows suggests that market conditions are becoming increasingly less favorable for oil producers.

Furthermore, the strengthening of the US dollar is compounding the challenges facing the oil market, as a stronger dollar renders commodities more expensive for investors using other currencies.

The dollar’s upward trajectory, coupled with oil’s breach below its 100-day moving average, has intensified selling pressure on crude futures, exacerbating the latest bout of price weakness.

In the face of these headwinds, some market observers remain cautiously optimistic, citing ongoing supply-side risks as a potential source of support for oil prices.

Factors such as the upcoming June meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and the prospect of renewed curbs on Iranian and Venezuelan oil production could potentially mitigate downward pressure on prices in the coming months.

However, uncertainties surrounding the trajectory of global oil demand, geopolitical developments, and the efficacy of OPEC+ supply policies continue to cast a shadow of uncertainty over the oil market outlook.

As traders await official data on crude inventories and monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East, the coming days are likely to be marked by heightened volatility and uncertainty in the oil markets.

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