Wholesale prices in the U.S. unexpectedly fell in July by the most in almost a year, a sign inflation is likely to stay muted.
The 0.4 percent drop in the producer-price index, the biggest since September, followed a 0.5 percent gain the prior month, a Labor Department report showed Friday in Washington. The median forecast of 63 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.1 percent advance.
Prices in the production pipeline remain tame, reflecting the lingering influence of lower energy costs, the strong dollar and weak global demand. Federal Reserve officials, considering when to lift interest rates, are watching for signs of whether inflation is moving toward their goal.
“There’s really not much inflationary pressure at all in producer prices,” Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James Financial Inc. in St. Petersburg, Florida, said before the report. “We’re looking at a very soft global economy. The strong dollar is still a factor.”
Separately, the Commerce Department reported that retail sales were little changed in July as rising demand for autos limited purchases of other goods.
Projections for producer prices ranged from a drop of 0.4 percent to an advance of 0.4 percent, according to the Bloomberg survey of economists.
The decline in the producer price index was paced by a 1 percent decrease in energy costs and a 1.1 percent drop in food, the report showed. Profit margins at retailers and other trade services also retreated, led by a 6 percent plunge clothing and jewelry merchants that was the biggest since records began in 2012.
From a year earlier, producer prices fell 0.2 percent.
Excluding food and energy, wholesale prices declined 0.3 percent following a 0.4 percent advance the prior month. Those costs were up 0.7 percent from July 2015.
Excluding food and energy and also eliminating trade services, producer costs were little changed. Some economists prefer this reading because it strips out the most volatile components of PPI.
One caveat to the otherwise weak readings was that health-care prices, which are used to calculate the Commerce Department’s consumer spending inflation index — the Fed’s preferred price measure — picked up. Those costs rose 0.3 percent in July before adjusting for seasonal variations following, the biggest gain since October, according to the report.
The producer price gauge is one of three monthly inflation reports released by the Labor Department, the other two being import costs and consumer prices.
Communities in Delta State Shut OML30 Operates by Heritage Energy Operational Services Ltd
The OML30 operated by Heritage Energy Operational Services Limited in Delta State has been shut down by the host communities for failing to meet its obligations to the 112 host communities.
The host communities, led by its Management Committee/President Generals, had accused the company of gross indifference and failure in its obligations to the host communities despite several meetings and calls to ensure a peaceful resolution.
The station with a production capacity of 80,000 barrels per day and eight flow stations operates within the Ughelli area of Delta State.
The host communities specifically accused HEOSL of failure to pay the GMOU fund for the last two years despite mediation by the Delta State Government on May 18, 2020.
Also, the host communities accused HEOSL of ‘total stoppage of scholarship award and payment to host communities since 2016’.
The Chairman, Dr Harrison Oboghor and Secretary, Mr Ibuje Joseph that led the OML30 host communities explained to journalists on Monday that the host communities had resolved not to backpedal until all their demands were met.
Crude Oil Recovers from 4 Percent Decline as Joe Biden Wins
Oil Prices Recover from 4 Percent Decline as Joe Biden Wins
Crude oil prices rose with other financial markets on Monday following a 4 percent decline on Friday.
This was after Joe Biden, the former Vice-President and now the President-elect won the race to the White House.
Global benchmark oil, Brent crude oil, gained $1.06 or 2.7 percent to $40.51 per barrel on Monday while the U.S West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained $1.07 or 2.9 percent to $38.21 per barrel.
On Friday, Brent crude oil declined by 4 percent as global uncertainty surged amid unclear US election and a series of negative comments from President Trump. However, on Saturday when it became clear that Joe Biden has won, global financial markets rebounded in anticipation of additional stimulus given Biden’s position on economic growth and recovery.
“Trading this morning has a risk-on flavor, reflecting increasing confidence that Joe Biden will occupy the White House, but the Republican Party will retain control of the Senate,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney.
“The outcome is ideal from a market point of view. Neither party controls the Congress, so both trade wars and higher taxes are largely off the agenda.”
The president-elect and his team are now working on mitigating the risk of COVID-19, grow the world’s largest economy by protecting small businesses and the middle class that is the backbone of the American economy.
“There will be some repercussions further down the road,” said OCBC’s economist Howie Lee, raising the possibility of lockdowns in the United States under Biden.
“Either you’re crimping energy demand or consumption behavior.”
Nigeria, Other OPEC Members Oil Revenue to Hit 18 Year Low in 2020
Revenue of OPEC Members to Drop to 18 Year Low in 2020
The United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) has predicted that the oil revenue of members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will decline to 18-year low in 2020.
EIA said their combined oil export revenue will plunge to its lowest level since 2002. It proceeded to put a value to the projection by saying members of the oil cartel would earn around $323 billion in net oil export in 2020.
“If realised, this forecast revenue would be the lowest in 18 years. Lower crude oil prices and lower export volumes drive this expected decrease in export revenues,” it said.
The oil expert based its projection on weak global oil demand and low oil prices because of COVID-19.
It said this coupled with production cuts by OPEC members in recent months will impact net revenue of the cartel in 2020.
It said, “OPEC earned an estimated $595bn in net oil export revenues in 2019, less than half of the estimated record high of $1.2tn, which was earned in 2012.
“Continued declines in revenue in 2020 could be detrimental to member countries’ fiscal budgets, which rely heavily on revenues from oil sales to import goods, fund social programmes, and support public services.”
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