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Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook August 8 – 12

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The US labor market added stunning 255,000 jobs to the payrolls in July, even with an uninspiring 1.2 percent second quarter GDP growth rate and weaker than expected orders. The labor market doesn’t seem to be slowing down anytime soon. Both wages and average work week also surged in July, confirming the strength of the jobs created as it cuts across manufacturing, healthcare, retails, temporary-help agencies and leisure and hospitality industries.

Even though, the unemployment rate remains low at 4.9 percent in July. The General concerns remain the divergence between the US labor market and the economic growth rate. While labor market is skyrocketing, the economic growth is below 2.6 percent expected by economists in the second quarter — raising questions about the US economic outlook in 2016, if it will be enough to raise rates this year.

Nevertheless, the US dollar gained part of its losses against all its counterparts on Friday.

In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England cut rates by 25 basis points to record low on Thursday and extends stimulus to safe the economy from the aftermath of the Brexit. The pound has since lost about 1.7 percent against the dollar to 1.3061.

While the Reserve Bank of Australia also lowered its official cash rate by 25 basis points to contain surging Aussie dollar and boost exports as explained last week, but sadly the local currency continued to gain against the US dollar after investors abandoned the greenback for the Japanese yen prior to the job report released on Friday. Prompting economists to think the RBA will have to do more to get its consumer prices up.

This week, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to cut rates by at least 25 basis points from current 2.5 percent to 2 percent on Thursday, and another 25 basis points in November to 1.75 percent if Kiwi gains must be capped and inflation target met.  The RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler said earlier that the higher exchange rate is damping the growth outlook and that action will be taken as deem appropriate.

In Canada, a total of 31,200 jobs were lost in July and trade balance deficit dipped to 3.6 billion in June, more than 2.6 billion expected, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.9 percent. The Canadian dollar tumbled the most since June on Friday, after the nation’s labor market showed the most jobs were lost since November 2015. Yes, things are not looking good for the loonie, especially with weak consumer spending, weak manufacturing sector and falling oil prices.

This week, EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and AUDUSD top my list.

EURUSD

For the past six weeks this pair has top my list, largely because the greenback is the most balanced currency with clear cut policies to envisage future occurrences. While Euro-single currency has struggled since the U.K. exit the European Union, currently the Euro-manufacturing sector is moderately okay but the risks in the region outweigh its offering investment wise. Another reason why I think this pair could offer a substantial sell opportunity is positive US non-farm payrolls report, what we want to do is ride the sentiment as it becomes clearer.

EURUSDWeekly

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Not forgetting, that even at dollar worse moments last week, the Euro-single currency has failed to gain enough against the US dollar to cross the ascending channel started in November to confirm a bullish continuation. So this week, I remain bearish on the EURUSD with 1.0821 as the target, provided 1.1233 resistance holds.

USDCAD

Last week I mentioned the USDCAD and the possibility of what it holds, this week I remain bullish on this pair after breaking 1.3142 resistance amid dwindling Canadian employment rate.  The double bottom formed by the last two candlesticks last week aligned with the higher-lows trend line, a technical break above 1.3142 will confirm our bullish continuation. As long as price remains above 1.3142, I am bullish on USDCAD with a 1.3387 target.

USDCADDaily

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USDCHF

Last week, I explained the viability of the USDCHF following the decision of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to intervene in the forex market. Since my last analysis the USDCHF has gained 89 pips to close at 0.9809.

USDCHFWeekly

Click to enlarge

This week, I remain bullish on USDCHF because the new found strength of the US labor market will likely continue to pressure this pair as investors struggle to decipher the situation with SNB, I believe a sustained break of 0.9843 resistance will open 1.0000 parity level, then our target 2 at 1.0093.

USDCHFDaily

Click to enlarge

To read AUDUSD analysis click here

Last Week Recap

The GBPJPY lost 199 pips to close at 132.93 on Friday — below the long established downward trend line and short of our 129.86 target. This week I am bearish on GBPJPY with 129.86 as the target.

GBPJPYDaily

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USDJPY

This pair lost 139 pips before the US dollar gained back part of its losses to the Japanese yen to closed at 101.77, this week I am standing aside on this pair.

USDJPYDaily

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For update on AUDUSD pair click here.

 

 

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Naira

Daily Naira Exchange Rates; Monday, March 1, 2021

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Naira Exchange Rates; Monday, March 1, 2021

Naira exchanged at N482 to a United States Dollar on Monday on the parallel market, while it traded at N480 to a US Dollar at the bureau de change section of the foreign exchange market.

Daily Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
01/03/2021 475/482 662/672 575/583 60/68 385/395 382/300
26/02/2021 475/482 660/672 575/583 60/68 385/395 382/300
25/02/2021 475/480 660/670 572/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
24/02/2021 475/480 655/670 570/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
23/02/2021 475/480 655/665 575/582 60/68 385/395 282/300
22/02/2021 475/480 652/660 575/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
19/02/2021 474/478 648/655 570/577 60/68 385/395 282/300
18/02/2021 472/477 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
17/02/2021 472/478 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
16/02/2021 465/473 645/652 565/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
15/02/2021 465/473 642/652 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
12/02/2021 465/473 642/650 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
11/02/2021 465/475 640/650 560/570 60/70 385/400 280/300
10/02/2021 472/478 645/652 565/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
09/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
08/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
05/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
04/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
03/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
02/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
01/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
29/01/2021 474/480 642/652 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300

 Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
01/03/2021 470/480 660/669 574/580
26/02/2021 470/480 660/669 574/580
25/02/2021 470/480 658/665 574/580
24/02/2021 470/478 654/660 570/578
23/02/2021 470/478 654/660 570/578
22/02/2021 470/477 650/656 570/577
19/02/2021 465/476 645/656 565/573
18/02/2021 465/475 640/652 563/570
17/02/2021 465/477 640/655 562/572
16/02/2021 460/475 640/652 562/570
15/02/2021 460/475 638/652 561/568
12/02/2021 467/475 635/650 562/570
11/02/2021 465/475 640/655 560/575
10/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
09/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
08/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
05/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
04/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
03/02/2021 471/478 640/650 572/580
02/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
01/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
29/01/2021 471/477 640/648 570/579

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

Date Currency Buying(NGN) Central(NGN) Selling(NGN)
2/26/2021 US DOLLAR 379 379.5 380
2/26/2021 POUNDS STERLING 527.7196 528.4158 529.112
2/26/2021 EURO 459.0448 459.6504 460.256
2/26/2021 SWISS FRANC 418.3685 418.9204 419.4723
2/26/2021 YEN 3.5644 3.5691 3.5738
2/26/2021 CFA 0.6873 0.6973 0.7073
2/26/2021 WAUA 547.559 548.2813 549.0037
2/26/2021 YUAN/RENMINBI 58.6007 58.6785 58.7562
2/26/2021 RIYAL 101.0505 101.1838 101.3171
2/26/2021 SOUTH AFRICAN RAND 25.2827 25.316 25.3494

 

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Naira

Daily Naira Exchange Rates; Thursday, February 25, 2021

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lending

Daily Naira Exchange Rates; Thursday, February 25, 2021

The Nigerian Naira traded at N480 to a United States Dollar in the early hours of Thursday, February 24, 2020 at the parallel market popularly known as the black market. While the British pound was exchanged at N672 and Euro sold for N583. See the details below.

Daily Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
25/02/2021 475/480 662/672 575/583 60/68 385/395 282/300
24/02/2021 475/480 655/670 570/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
23/02/2021 475/480 655/665 575/582 60/68 385/395 282/300
22/02/2021 475/480 652/660 575/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
19/02/2021 474/478 648/655 570/577 60/68 385/395 282/300
18/02/2021 472/477 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
17/02/2021 472/478 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
16/02/2021 465/473 645/652 565/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
15/02/2021 465/473 642/652 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
12/02/2021 465/473 642/650 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
11/02/2021 465/475 640/650 560/570 60/70 385/400 280/300
10/02/2021 472/478 645/652 565/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
09/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
08/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
05/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
04/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
03/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
02/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
01/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
29/01/2021 474/480 642/652 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300

 Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
25/02/2021 470/480 658/665 574/580
24/02/2021 470/480 654/660 570/578
23/02/2021 470/478 654/660 570/578
22/02/2021 470/477 650/656 570/577
19/02/2021 465/476 645/656 565/573
18/02/2021 465/475 640/652 563/570
17/02/2021 465/477 640/655 562/572
16/02/2021 460/475 640/652 562/570
15/02/2021 460/475 638/652 561/568
12/02/2021 467/475 635/650 562/570
11/02/2021 465/475 640/655 560/575
10/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
09/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
08/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
05/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
04/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
03/02/2021 471/478 640/650 572/580
02/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
01/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
29/01/2021 471/477 640/648 570/579

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

Date Currency Buying(NGN) Central(NGN) Selling(NGN)
2/24/2021 US DOLLAR 379 379.5 380
2/24/2021 POUNDS STERLING 535.7923 536.4992 537.206
2/24/2021 EURO 461.0914 461.6997 462.308
2/24/2021 SWISS FRANC 417.6309 418.1818 418.7328
2/24/2021 YEN 3.5805 3.5853 3.59
2/24/2021 CFA 0.6825 0.6925 0.7025
2/24/2021 WAUA 546.5445 547.2656 547.9866
2/24/2021 YUAN/RENMINBI 58.7606 58.8386 58.9166
2/24/2021 RIYAL 101.0505 101.1838 101.3171
2/24/2021 SOUTH AFRICAN RAND 26.0338 26.0681 26.1025

 

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Naira

Daily Naira Exchange Rates; Wednesday, February 24, 2021

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Daily Naira Exchange Rates; Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Naira remained weak against global counterparts as the local currency opened at N480 against the United States Dollar on the black market in the early morning of Wednesday,  February 24, 2020.

Daily Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

Morning * Midday** Evening *** Final Rates

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
24/02/2021 475/480 655/670 570/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
23/02/2021 475/480 655/665 575/582 60/68 385/395 282/300
22/02/2021 475/480 652/660 575/580 60/68 385/395 282/300
19/02/2021 474/478 648/655 570/577 60/68 385/395 282/300
18/02/2021 472/477 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
17/02/2021 472/478 645/655 570/575 60/68 385/395 282/300
16/02/2021 465/473 645/652 565/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
15/02/2021 465/473 642/652 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
12/02/2021 465/473 642/650 562/570 60/68 385/395 282/300
11/02/2021 465/475 640/650 560/570 60/70 385/400 280/300
10/02/2021 472/478 645/652 565/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
09/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
08/02/2021 474/480 645/655 567/575 60/70 385/400 280/300
05/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
04/02/2021 474/480 645/653 567/578 60/70 385/400 280/300
03/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
02/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
01/02/2021 474/480 642/655 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300
29/01/2021 474/480 642/652 575/580 60/70 385/400 280/300

 Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
24/02/2021 470/480 654/660 570/578
23/02/2021 470/478 654/660 570/578
22/02/2021 470/477 650/656 570/577
19/02/2021 465/476 645/656 565/573
18/02/2021 465/475 640/652 563/570
17/02/2021 465/477 640/655 562/572
16/02/2021 460/475 640/652 562/570
15/02/2021 460/475 638/652 561/568
12/02/2021 467/475 635/650 562/570
11/02/2021 465/475 640/655 560/575
10/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
09/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
08/02/2021 472/478 640/655 565/575
05/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
04/02/2021 472/478 640/650 565/575
03/02/2021 471/478 640/650 572/580
02/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
01/02/2021 471/478 640/655 572/580
29/01/2021 471/477 640/648 570/579

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

 

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