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Forex Weekly Outlook August 8 – 12




The US labor market added stunning 255,000 jobs to the payrolls in July, even with an uninspiring 1.2 percent second quarter GDP growth rate and weaker than expected orders. The labor market doesn’t seem to be slowing down anytime soon. Both wages and average work week also surged in July, confirming the strength of the jobs created as it cuts across manufacturing, healthcare, retails, temporary-help agencies and leisure and hospitality industries.

Even though, the unemployment rate remains low at 4.9 percent in July. The General concerns remain the divergence between the US labor market and the economic growth rate. While labor market is skyrocketing, the economic growth is below 2.6 percent expected by economists in the second quarter — raising questions about the US economic outlook in 2016, if it will be enough to raise rates this year.

Nevertheless, the US dollar gained part of its losses against all its counterparts on Friday.

In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England cut rates by 25 basis points to record low on Thursday and extends stimulus to safe the economy from the aftermath of the Brexit. The pound has since lost about 1.7 percent against the dollar to 1.3061.

While the Reserve Bank of Australia also lowered its official cash rate by 25 basis points to contain surging Aussie dollar and boost exports as explained last week, but sadly the local currency continued to gain against the US dollar after investors abandoned the greenback for the Japanese yen prior to the job report released on Friday. Prompting economists to think the RBA will have to do more to get its consumer prices up.

This week, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to cut rates by at least 25 basis points from current 2.5 percent to 2 percent on Thursday, and another 25 basis points in November to 1.75 percent if Kiwi gains must be capped and inflation target met.  The RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler said earlier that the higher exchange rate is damping the growth outlook and that action will be taken as deem appropriate.

In Canada, a total of 31,200 jobs were lost in July and trade balance deficit dipped to 3.6 billion in June, more than 2.6 billion expected, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.9 percent. The Canadian dollar tumbled the most since June on Friday, after the nation’s labor market showed the most jobs were lost since November 2015. Yes, things are not looking good for the loonie, especially with weak consumer spending, weak manufacturing sector and falling oil prices.

This week, EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF and AUDUSD top my list.


For the past six weeks this pair has top my list, largely because the greenback is the most balanced currency with clear cut policies to envisage future occurrences. While Euro-single currency has struggled since the U.K. exit the European Union, currently the Euro-manufacturing sector is moderately okay but the risks in the region outweigh its offering investment wise. Another reason why I think this pair could offer a substantial sell opportunity is positive US non-farm payrolls report, what we want to do is ride the sentiment as it becomes clearer.


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Not forgetting, that even at dollar worse moments last week, the Euro-single currency has failed to gain enough against the US dollar to cross the ascending channel started in November to confirm a bullish continuation. So this week, I remain bearish on the EURUSD with 1.0821 as the target, provided 1.1233 resistance holds.


Last week I mentioned the USDCAD and the possibility of what it holds, this week I remain bullish on this pair after breaking 1.3142 resistance amid dwindling Canadian employment rate.  The double bottom formed by the last two candlesticks last week aligned with the higher-lows trend line, a technical break above 1.3142 will confirm our bullish continuation. As long as price remains above 1.3142, I am bullish on USDCAD with a 1.3387 target.


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Last week, I explained the viability of the USDCHF following the decision of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to intervene in the forex market. Since my last analysis the USDCHF has gained 89 pips to close at 0.9809.


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This week, I remain bullish on USDCHF because the new found strength of the US labor market will likely continue to pressure this pair as investors struggle to decipher the situation with SNB, I believe a sustained break of 0.9843 resistance will open 1.0000 parity level, then our target 2 at 1.0093.


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To read AUDUSD analysis click here

Last Week Recap

The GBPJPY lost 199 pips to close at 132.93 on Friday — below the long established downward trend line and short of our 129.86 target. This week I am bearish on GBPJPY with 129.86 as the target.


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This pair lost 139 pips before the US dollar gained back part of its losses to the Japanese yen to closed at 101.77, this week I am standing aside on this pair.


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For update on AUDUSD pair click here.



Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq,, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Dollar Hits Four-Month Low as Rate Cut Speculations Grow



Forex Weekly Outlook March 6 - 10

The US dollar extended its decline, reaching the lowest level since early August as swap traders increased bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate cut as early as May.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index registered its fifth consecutive day of losses, reflecting concerns about a potential recession and dovish comments from the Fed that are prompting investors to speculate on a reversal of the central bank’s aggressive tightening cycle.

Global Head of Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., Win Thin, emphasized the dollar’s vulnerability, stating, “The dollar remains vulnerable until we see a shift in market expectations for the Fed, and that may be a 2024 story.”

He added, “With the dollar rally stalled, it will take some firm real sector data to challenge the current dovish Fed narrative.”

Amid these developments, the New Zealand dollar led gains among Group-of-10 peers, propelled by the central bank’s warning of potential rate hikes in the coming year.

Simultaneously, the Japanese yen strengthened to a two-month high as concerns about elevated US rates diminished.

The prevailing narrative suggests that unless there is a notable change in market expectations for the Fed, the dollar is likely to remain under pressure, with potential shifts anticipated in 2024.

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Black Market Exchange Rate Today 28th November 2023

What is the Dollar to Naira exchange rate at the parallel market, known as the black market (Abokifx) today? As of November 28th, 2023, the dollar to naira exchange rate is 1 USD to 1157 NGN at the black market.



New Naira notes

What is the Dollar to Naira exchange rate at the parallel market, known as the black market (Abokifx) today? As of November 28th, 2023, the dollar to naira exchange rate is 1 USD to 1157 NGN at the black market.

This means that for every one US dollar, you can exchange it for ₦1157, Investors King reports.

This digital business news platform has obtained the official dollar to naira exchange rate in Nigeria today including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC) rate, and CBN rates.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

This rate is subject to change depending on a variety of factors including global economic trends, political developments, and market fluctuations. However, you can buy and sell 1 USD at ₦1157 and ₦1153 as of the time of writing today.

What is the current exchange rate of the dollar to naira in the black market today?

According to Investors King, as of the time this report was filed, a dollar can be purchased at the Lagos parallel market (black market) for ₦1157 and sold for ₦1153.

Exchange Rate of Dollar To Naira in Black Market Today?

Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Selling Rate 1153
Buying Rate 1157

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Naira Exchange Rates for Banks

Investors King understands that although the dollar to naira opened at N1157 per $1 in the parallel market today, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the parallel market, also referred to as the black market. The CBN has instructed individuals in need of forex to approach their bank as the I&E window is the sole recognized exchange.

On Tuesday, November 28th, 2023, individuals in the black market purchased one US dollar for N1157 and sold it for N1153. This shows that the value of the Naira declined when compared to Monday, November 27th, 2023 when the local currency was exchanged at N1155 to a Dollar and a Dollar was purchased at N1145.

To stay informed about the dollar to naira exchange rate, there are a number of reliable sources that you can turn to. Here are some tips for staying up-to-date:

  • Check the Central Bank of Nigeria’s website: The CBN is responsible for regulating the country’s monetary policy and is a reliable source for the latest exchange rates. You can check their website regularly for updates.
  • Follow financial news outlets: Financial news outlets such as Investors King, Bloomberg, Reuters, and CNBC provide regular updates on the global currency markets, including the dollar to naira exchange rate.
  • Use online currency converters: There are a number of online currency converters that allow you to quickly and easily check the exchange rate between the dollar and the naira.
  • Follow social media accounts of financial experts: Following social media accounts of financial experts such as analysts, economists, and financial advisors can give you valuable insights into the latest trends in the currency markets.

By staying informed about the dollar-to-naira exchange rate, you can make informed decisions when buying or selling foreign currencies. Whether you are a business owner looking to trade in foreign currencies or an individual looking to invest in the currency markets, knowledge of the latest exchange rates is key to success. Keep these tips in mind and stay informed about the latest trends in the global currency markets.

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Dollar Declines Amid Rising Optimism on Fed Rate Cut Prospects

Global Markets React to Growing Confidence in Fed’s Cautious Stance



U.S dollar - Investors King

The dollar faced a fourth consecutive day of decline, setting it on course for its worst month since November last year.

This trend is bolstered by increasing optimism among traders regarding the Federal Reserve’s trajectory toward rate cuts.

The South Korean won and Thai baht led the gains in Asia, with the won experiencing its most significant jump in almost two weeks.

Simultaneously, Treasuries stabilized after a previous rally, with yields on the two-year note, sensitive to the Fed’s rate path, hitting a one-week low.

The market sentiment reflects a broader positive outlook, with Wall Street forecasters becoming more upbeat about the prospects for the coming year.

Improved investor sentiment and reduced expectations of a recession have fueled this optimism, along with the belief that the Fed has completed its rate-hiking cycle, prompting a rally in the S&P 500.

Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, cautioned about the potential consequences of rate cuts, stating, “If the market is right in expecting that rate cuts could start maybe even at the end of the first quarter, in the first half, that would require to some degree a weaker economic and labor market backdrop than what we’re seeing right now.”

Despite the positive market sentiment, concerns about the economic and labor market backdrop persist.

The Bloomberg US Treasury Index has turned positive for the year, reflecting slowing inflation and measured job growth that triggered a rally and sent yields plummeting.

Traders are closely monitoring economic data this week, including the Fed’s preferred measure of underlying inflation.

Also, corporate earnings reports from prominent firms such as Crowdstrike Holdings Inc., Salesforce Inc., and Dell Technologies Inc. will provide insights into the evolving landscape of cybersecurity priorities and corporate expenditure.

The Fed’s expressed concern about inflation persisting above the 3% target adds a layer of complexity to the market’s reaction, as analysts anticipate potential pushback against implied easing and the recent rally in bonds and shares.

As investors navigate through these evolving dynamics, gold remains stable near its highest level since May, supported by lower Treasury yields and expectations of impending Fed interest rate cuts.

Meanwhile, oil prices extend their decline as the market weighs the possibility of deeper output cuts from OPEC+ against signs of supply outpacing demand.

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