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Dollar Climbs as Job Gains Bolster Case for Fed Rate Increase

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The dollar rose, touching its strongest in a week against the euro, after a report on U.S. job growth for July backed the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

The greenback climbed versus major currencies as the Labor Department said nonfarm payrolls climbed 255,000 in July, compared with the 180,000 median forecast in a Bloomberg survey.

Evidence of strength in the world’s biggest economy may help the dollar rebound from a slump of about 4 percent this year by reviving expectations that U.S. monetary policy will further diverge from that of the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank, which are adding stimulus to spur growth.

“We’ve been long-term bullish on the dollar and we continue to be,” said Kathy Jones, New York-based chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab & Co. “This number should push us more towards a rate hike and more divergence.”

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the currency against 10 major peers, rose 0.3 percent as of 8:41 a.m. in New York. The greenback gained 0.4 percent to $1.1089 per euro, and 0.3 percent to 101.56 yen.

The Fed kept rates unchanged at its meeting last week, while saying “near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished.” Officials also underscored a plan to stick to a gradual pace of policy tightening.

The payrolls data may allay concern fueled by a much weaker-than-projected report on second-quarter economic growth last week.

The market-implied probability of a rate increase this year rose to 45 percent, from about 36 percent in the minutes before the release of the labor figures, futures data show.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Naira

Naira Opens the Week at N413.30 Against U.S Dollar

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira opened better than expected against the United States Dollar at the Investors and Exporters forex window on Monday following a record decline on Friday.

The local currency opened at N413.30 against the U.S Dollar on Monday, representing N1.6 or 0.39 percent improvement when compared to Friday’s closing rate of N414.90.

On Friday, investors turnover at the Investors and Exporters forex window stood at $193.59 million. While Naira spot rate dropped to as low as N415 against the United States Dollar and forward rate of the local current hits N432.05 to a greenback.

However, at the unregulated parallel market, the Naira remained at over N550 to a United States Dollar on Monday, according to operators.

Despite the Central Bank of Nigeria stopping the sale of forex to bureau de change operators and forcing media companies from publishing black market rates, the naira remained under pressure and trading at record lows across key foreign exchange markets.

Efforts to curb further decline and boost the local currency’s value are yet to crystalise as chronic scarcity due to years of weak foreign revenue and over-reliance on importation continues to weigh on Naira outlook.

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Naira

Naira Gained Slightly at I&E Forex Window to N412.81/$US

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Naira - Investors King

Despite the Nigerian Naira trading at a record-low across the nation’s unregulated black market, the embattled currency opened slightly higher at N412.81 to a United States Dollar on Monday at the Investors and Exporters Forex Window, representing an increase of 0.08 percent when compared to the N412.88 it closed on Friday.

The improvement in Naira value was after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) directed all depoisit money banks operating in the country to freeze bank accounts linked to Oniwinde Olusegun Adedotun, the founder of www.abokfx.com, a forex rate publishing platform.

Godwin Emefiele, the Governor, CBN had blamed black market and bureau de change operators for the constant plunge in Naira value against its global counterparts and insisted that forex rates remained the apex bank stipulated rates and not the unregulated rates imposed by speculators and hoarders and published to the public by Abokifx and other business platforms.

There was a particular time I asked our colleagues to call the so-called owner of abokiFX, that we want to understand his model and how he came about advertising those rate, we find him as someone, a Nigerian who lives in England and conducts this nefarious activity on our economy.

“It is economic sabotage and we will pursue him, wherever he is, we will report him to international security agencies, we will track him, Mr Oniwinde, we will find you, because we cannot allow you to continue to conduct an illegal activity that kills our economy.” Emefiele said.

The governor further stated that the website was set up primarily manipulate and speculate forex rates. He said “they get naira loans, use to purchase dollars, take a position, change the rate over a given period, sell the dollars they purchased and make a profit, this is completely illegal, unacceptable and we will pursue them.”

On Friday, the last time Abokifx published unregulated forex rates, Naira was qouted at N570 to a United States Dollar while the British Pound and the Euro were quoted at N770 and N655, respectively.

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Dollar

U.S Dollar Jumps to Three Weeks High on Better Than Expected Retail Sales

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Dollar Cryptocurrency - Investors King

The United States Dollar rose to a three-week high after data from the Commerce Department showed that the U.S retail sales rebounded in the month of August despite falling consumer confidence.

The US Dollar Index rose to 93.40 on Monday to extend Friday breakout above the 93.00 key resistance level.

U.S retail sales jumped to its highest in five months in the month of August to beat 0.8 percent decline predicted by experts. Retail sales grew by 0.7 percent in August to increase the odds of the US Federal Reserve announcing tapering during next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

U.S. consumption is not slowing as quickly as it appeared a month ago despite the fading stimulus, and the Delta variant did not much affect the industries feeding into retail sales,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial in New York. “The economy continued to hum in August.”

Against the Japanese Yen, the U.S dollar strengthened to 109.48 from 109.91 attained on Friday on broad-based selloff during London trading session, while heavy selloff plunged British pound against the U.S dollar 1.36610 before reboundling slightly to 1.36946.

The Euro dropped from 1.17883 recorded on Friday to 1.16995 on Monday during London trading session.

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