Connect with us

Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook May 30 – June 3

Published

on

Jared Martinez

The U.S. dollar continues its run after data showed first quarter GDP growth was higher than previously estimated, and revised upward from 0.5 percent to 0.8 percent. Also, unemployment claims post moderate decline to 268,000 from 278,000, beating economists forecast of 275,000. While this is not bad, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Friday said an interest rate hike is “Probably appropriate in the coming months“. This is a big statement considering the fact that the market has already priced in the possibility of a June rate hike, and as more investors come to terms with the possibility of unchanged rate in June I expect US dollar to lose some gains. And even more as the odds changes. So I am going to pay attention to the US dollar differently this week, especially with Unemployment rate, ECB press conference, Non-Farm Payrolls and average hourly earnings due this week. Also, I be looking into GBPJPY, NZDUSD and USDCAD.

GBPJPY

The pound has been battered by brexit and its politics, but as the votes draw closer more politicians are coming out to support the Union of Europe and Great Britain, which is gradually increasing investors’ confidence in the region once again. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan is still looking for ways to curtail the yen gains in order to ease the pressure on its manufacturing sector due to weak oversea orders, and with continuous comments from both Japan’s Finance Minister Taro Aso and BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda on why current gain is bad for Japan and the needs for them to intervene, they have strategically rendered the yen unattractive. Hence, paving way for GBPJPY buyers.

GBPJPYDaily

Click to enlarge

So looking at the chart, this pair has gained 597 pips since three weeks ago that I first posted the chart and breach 161.71 resistance level twice but failed to sustain it. Further confirming this upsurge is the three higher-lows double bottom established on the daily chart from the retest to last week Monday/Tuesday and Friday candlestick  that closed as a pin bar. As long as price remains above 161.71 price level, I am bullish on GBPJPY with 165.66 as the first target and 169.21 as the second.

NZDUSD

New Zealand dollar continues to lose ground even after recording $292 million trade surplus from the previous $189 million, and beating analysts forecast of $40 million. The economy is still struggling with low exports and drop in price of global dairy products as China, its largest trading partner is far from recovery.

NZDUSDDaily

Click to enlarge

This pair has lost about 151 pips in the last three weeks and hit our 0.6771 target, as long as new resistance 0.6771 holds, I am bearish on NZDUSD pair with 0.6609 as the target. Global Dairy Trade report is due on Wednesday.

USDCAD

This week, Canadian monthly GDP and Trade balance reports are due. But since 1.3142 target was hit three weeks ago after May 4th break-out from the downward trend that started on January 20 this year. I can’t help but to treat current trend as a continuation of the break-out, and with the Friday’s bullish pin bar I am bullish on USDCAD this week, and expect a sustained break of 1.3142 resistance level to attract enough buyers to open up 1.3387 target. It is important to keep an eye on Tuesday GDP and make adjustments accordingly.

USDCADDaily

Click to enlarge

Last Week Recap

Last week EURUSD dropped 132 pips in our favour to 1.1109, but short of 1.0925 target. This week, I am neutral on eurusd because of numerous economic data coming out later in the week and uncertainties surrounding June rate hike and brexit.

GBPUSD

Cable rose as high as 1.4738 after the report of “EU Remain” polls were made public. The pair has since lost 132 pips, this week, I am bearish on cable as long as 1.4732 holds, with 1.4509 as the target.

GBPUSDDaily

Click to enlarge

AUDUSD

Last week,  Australia’s private capital expenditure for the first quarter of the year plunged 5.2 percent from 1.8 percent recorded in the final quarter of 2015.  Showing investors are gradually losing confidence in the economy. The pair dropped 114 pips last week to 0.7144, this week I am still bearish on the Aussie dollar with 0.7088 as the first target, and if the building permit and first quarter GDP report schedule to be released later in the week support this analysis, 0.6699 will be the second target.

AUDUSDDaily

Click to enlarge

A wonderful week to us all, and please drop comments.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Naira

Dollar to Naira Today January 24, 2022

Published

on

Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

Here is the daily dollar to Naira exchange rates at both the official and black markets today, January 24, 2022.

Read and follow Investors King daily update on the official exchange rate for the dollar as well as Black Market rates, Bureau de Change (BDC) rates and CBN rates.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today, January 24, 2022, at the Official Market?

The official exchange rate for $1 dollar to naira = ₦415.64/$1, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria official exchange rates.

However, FMDQ Group forex data puts the dollar to naira exchange rate at ₦416 to $1 on Friday, 21st January 2022. The Investors and Exporters forex platform is yet to be updated today.

How Much is Black Market Exchange Rate for Dollar to Naira Today?

The dollar to naira exchange rate at the unregulated forex market popularly known as the black market is N560 for buyers and sells at N565 today, Monday, January 24, 2022, according to sources cited by Bureau De Change (BDC).

The Central Bank of Nigeria has warned against patronising the black market and directed all Nigerians to visit their banks for their forex needs.

How Much is Bitcoin to Naira Today?

Bitcoin to Naira exchange rate dipped by 0.25 percent in the last 24 hours to N14.630 million while Ethereum [ETH] to Naira stood at N979,245, representing a decline of 3.40 percent.

The entire cryptocurrency plunged in December 2021 after the US Federal Reserve announced plans to adjust its monetary policy to accommodate the change in the nation’s economic realities. Experts are predicting that an increase in interest rate will impact the crypto space as capital inflow is projected to drop.

Meanwhile, the minister of finance Mrs Zainab Ahmed on Monday said the federal government has suspended plans to remove fuel subsidy in 2022 given the nation’s inflation rate.

Speaking at National Assembly, she said  “We discovered that practically, there is still heightened inflation and that the removal of subsidy would further worsen the situation and impose more difficulties on the citizenry,” Ahmed said at the meeting.

“Mr. President does not want to do that. What we are now doing is to continue with the ongoing discussions and consultations in terms of putting in place a number of measures.

“One of these include the roll-out of the refining capacities of the existing refineries and the new ones which would reduce the amount of products that would be imported into the country.”

Continue Reading

Naira

Naira Slides Marginally Against US Dollar, Exchanges at N415

Published

on

Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira fell slightly against the United States Dollar on Monday, according to the last update from the Central Bank of Nigeria.

The local currency was exchanged at N414.89 per dollar on Friday before depreciating by N0.11 or 0.03 percent to N415 on Monday.

It should be recalled that the Naira plunged to N435 against the United States on Friday 31, December 2021 when the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) adjusted its exchange rate by N2 to accommodate the change in Nigeria’s economic realities.

The Naira has now improved by about 4.6 percent against the United States Dollar from the year to date. The improvement was after the market digested and interpreted the CBN action as the usual forex devaluation in line with the apex bank policy.

At the unregulated black market, traders in Abuja sold the greenback at N570 a unit and buy it at N569. CBN had attributed Nigeria’s forex challenges to the activities of black market operators and warned Nigerians to stop patronising that section of forex.

Meanwhile, the crypto space remained bearish across the board ahead of US Federal Reserve rate decisions. Bitcoin to Naira exchange rate declined by 2.5 percent to N17.346 million in the last 24 hours while Eth shed 3.6 percent.

Other cryptocurrencies suffer the same fate as Binance coin, Tether, Cardano and XRP depreciated by 3.70 percent, 0.31 percent, 1.72 percent and 2.93 percent.

Bitcoin looks vulnerable above the $41,000 support level, largely due to the drop in capital inflow into the crypto space ahead of a possible interest rate increase in the world’s largest economy, the United States.

Bitcoin continues to look vulnerable having failed to bounce back strongly off the recent lows. It appeared to be gathering some upside momentum at times last week but it quickly ran into resistance just shy of $45,000 where it had previously seen support. All eyes are now on $40,000 and whether we’re going to see another run at that major support level,” said Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA, OANDA, in an email to Investors King.

Continue Reading

Naira

Naira Gains 1.58 Percent to N416 at Official FX Market, Bitcoin, Other Cryptocurrencies Plunge

Published

on

Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira gained 1.58 percent or N7.56 against the United States Dollar at the official forex market on Wednesday.

The local currency opened the day at N423.56 to a US Dollar before improving in value to N416 against the greenback. At the official forex window managed by the FMDQ Group, investors traded $114.95 million on Wednesday.

The improvement in Naira value was after the market had digested the Central Bank of Nigeria’s currency adjustment. The central bank had adjusted the Naira to Dollar exchange rate by N2 from N411 to N413 on Friday, leading to devaluation outcry across Africa’s largest economy.

On Friday, the Naira plunged to as low as N435 against the United States Dollar at the official forex trading market and N575 at the unregulated parallel market, popularly known as the black market, before moderating to N416.

Meanwhile, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies plunged across the board. Bitcoin depreciated by 7.16 percent to $43,058 per coin in the last 24 hours. The decline does not stop there as the second most capitalised digital asset, Eth dipped by 9.77 percent to $3,441.

Solana, Ripple (XRP), Luna and Cardano (ADA) lost 11.48 percent, 8.13 percent, 9.5 percent and 8.6 percent, respectively.

The decline was after the US Federal Reserve minutes of December 14 – 15 meeting released on Wednesday revealed that policymakers are planning to raise interest rates as early as March 2022 to curb escalating inflation rate. Generally, hawkish monetary policy is negative for cryptocurrency as it drags on capital inflow into the space and encourages investors to look into more stable assets for higher interest rates.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the “Federal Reserve officials at their meeting last month eyed a faster timetable for raising interest rates this year, potentially as soon as in March, amid greater discomfort with high inflation.

“Minutes of their Dec. 14-15 meeting, released Wednesday, showed officials believed that rising inflation and a very tight labor market could call for lifting short-term rates “sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated.”

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending