Connect with us

Markets

Egypt Stocks Continue Slide as Iran Re-entry Drives Oil Prices Lower

Published

on

Egyptian Stock Exchange in Cairo

Egypt stocks continued to fall on Sunday in line with regional markets as global oil prices hit new lows after economic sanctions on Iran were officially lifted.

Egypt’s main EGX30 index was down 1.66 percent at the end of the session to reach 5,760 points as local investors, who account for over 81 percent of trade, dumped a net LE23.9 million worth of shares, according to bourse data.

Market bellwether Commercial International Bank dropped 1.59 percent to trade at LE31.03 a share while the second largest listed share TMG Holding fell 2.21 percent to LE5.30 a share.

Blue chip Global Telecom Holding fell 3.01 percent to LE1.61 a share, while state-owned landline operator Telecom Egypt saw its share price drop 1.91 percent to LE5.65.

Saudi stocks were down close to 6 percent at the time of writing, while Dubai’s index tumbled 6 percent in the first hour of trade after benchmark oil prices fell to a 12-year low of $29 over the weekend in anticipation of the worsening of a global supply glut with increased production from Iran.

The oil-producing Iran has said that it plans to export an additional 500,000 extra barrels of crude oil a day in the short-term, after inspections on Saturday confirmed it had fulfilled the requirement of a nuclear agreement allowing for the lifting of international economic sanctions on the country for the first time in 40 years.

The EGX30 had reached a low of 5,531 points at the beginning of the day’s session before rebounding.

The Egyptian bourse issued a press release to calm investors on Sunday amid the sell-off, according to which 60 percent of the listed companies have P/E ratios of under 10, and that 11 percent of the companies had PE ratios of between 10 and 15.

Chairman Mohamed Omran also said in the release that 37 percent of the listed companies who issued coupons offered yields exceeding 10 percent.

The bourse had issued another statement last Thursday after a week of losses calling on listed companies to disclose their 2015 financial statements “so as to reflect the real situation of those companies in a way to help the investor form a realistic vision about their performance away from the cases of unexplained panic sweeping markets at some times, which is not built on a sound economic basis.”

Foreign investors were heavy sellers of Egyptian and other emerging market stocks last week, prompting local Egyptian investors to follow suit.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Crude Oil

Oil Dips Below $62 in New York Though Banks Say Rally Can Extend

Published

on

Oil

Oil Dips Below $62 in New York Though Banks Say Rally Can Extend

Oil retreated from an earlier rally with investment banks and traders predicting the market can go significantly higher in the months to come.

Futures in New York pared much of an earlier increase to $63 a barrel as the dollar climbed and equities slipped. Bank of America said prices could reach $70 at some point this year, while Socar Trading SA sees global benchmark Brent hitting $80 a barrel before the end of the year as the glut of inventories built up during the Covid-19 pandemic is drained by the summer.

The loss of oil output after the big freeze in the U.S. should help the market firm as much of the world emerges from lockdowns, according to Trafigura Group. Inventory data due later Tuesday from the American Petroleum Institute and more from the Energy Department on Wednesday will shed more light on how the Texas freeze disrupted U.S. oil supply last week.

Oil has surged this year after Saudi Arabia pledged to unilaterally cut 1 million barrels a day in February and March, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. predicting the rally will accelerate as demand outpaces global supply. Russia and Riyadh, however, will next week once again head into an OPEC+ meeting with differing opinions about adding more crude to the market.

“The freeze in the U.S. has proved supportive as production was cut,” said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN Amro. “We still expect that Russia will push for a significant rise in production,” which could soon weigh on prices, he said.

PRICES

  • West Texas Intermediate for April fell 27 cents to $61.43 a barrel at 9:20 a.m. New York time
  • Brent for April settlement fell 8 cents to $65.16

Brent’s prompt timespread firmed in a bullish backwardation structure to the widest in more than a year. The gap rose above $1 a barrel on Tuesday before easing to 87 cents. That compares with 25 cents at the start of the month.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and oil trader Vitol Group shot down talk of a new oil supercycle, though they said a lack of supply response will keep prices for crude prices firm in the short term.

Continue Reading

Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rise With Storm-hit U.S. Output Set for Slow Return

Published

on

Crude oil

Oil Prices Rise With Storm-hit U.S. Output Set for Slow Return

Oil prices rose on Monday as the slow return of U.S. crude output cut by frigid conditions served as a reminder of the tight supply situation, just as demand recovers from the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Brent crude was up $1.38, or 2.2%, at $64.29 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate gained $1.38, or 2.33%, to trade at $60.62 per barrel.

Abnormally cold weather in Texas and the Plains states forced the shutdown of up to 4 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude production along with 21 billion cubic feet of natural gas output, analysts estimated.

Shale oil producers in the region could take at least two weeks to restart the more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude output affected, sources said, as frozen pipes and power supply interruptions slow their recovery.

“With three-quarters of fracking crews standing down, the likelihood of a fast resumption is low,” ANZ Research said in a note.

For the first time since November, U.S. drilling companies cut the number of oil rigs operating due to the cold and snow enveloping Texas, New Mexico and other energy-producing centres.

OPEC+ oil producers are set to meet on March 4, with sources saying the group is likely to ease curbs on supply after April given a recovery in prices, although any increase in output will likely be modest given lingering uncertainty over the pandemic.

“Saudi Arabia is eager to pursue yet higher prices in order to cover its social break-even expenses at around $80 a barrel while Russia is strongly focused on unwinding current cuts and getting back to normal production,” said SEB chief commodity analyst Bjarne Schieldrop.

Continue Reading

Crude Oil

Crude Oil Rose Above $65 Per Barrel as US Production Drop Due to Texas Weather

Published

on

oil

Crude Oil Rose Above $65 Per Barrel as US Production Drop Due to Texas Weather

Oil prices rose to $65.47 per barrel on Thursday as crude oil production dropped in the US due to frigid Texas weather.

The unusual weather has left millions in the dark and forced oil producers to shut down production. According to reports, at least the winter blast has claimed 24 lives.

Brent crude oil gained $2 to $65.47 on Thursday morning before pulling back to $64.62 per barrel around 11:00 am Nigerian time.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 2.3 percent to settle at $61.74 per barrel.

“This has just sent us to the next level,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York. “Crude oil WTI will probably max out somewhere pretty close to $65.65, refinery utilization rate will probably slide to somewhere around 76%,” Yawger said.

However, the report that Saudi Arabia plans to increase production in the coming months weighed on crude oil as it can be seen in the chart below.

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi Arabian Energy Minister, warned that it was too early to declare victory against the COVID-19 virus and that oil producers must remain “extremely cautious”.

“We are in a much better place than we were a year ago, but I must warn, once again, against complacency. The uncertainty is very high, and we have to be extremely cautious,” he told an energy industry event.

Continue Reading

Trending